Report
Benoit Valleaux ...
  • Johanna Jourdain
  • Louis Boujard, CFA
  • Matthias Desmarais
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Steven Gould
  • Sven Edelfelt

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/12/2020

Investors are desperately trying to determine a floor for the valuation of indices. Until this is achieved the risk/opportunity ratio cannot be calculated and volatility will persist. We therefore understand that the winning “Buy the Dip” mantra since March 2009 is no longer a magic utterance. We propose four scenarios (weak shock, moderate shock, strong shock, and crisis) and five methods to calculate the Stoxx 600 target. In short, if you believe the epidemic will be rapidly brought...
Underlyings
ABN AMRO Bank NV Depositary receipts

ABN Amro Bank NV is a bank based in the Netherlands. The Bank provides various financial products and services across a variety of channels, including its Mobile Banking app and Internet Banking. The Bank's product portfolio includes insurances, mortgages, savings, investments, loans and payments, among others. The Bank serves retail, private and corporate clients worldwide.

Accor SA

Accor is a hotel operator. Co. offers its guests and partners the expertise of a hotel operator and brand franchisor (HotelServices) and a hotel owner and investor (HotelInvest). Co. divides its activities into three segments: Luxury-upscale, Midscale and Economy. Luxury-upscale makes up 11% of Co.'s portfolio and comprises brands such as Sofitel, Pullman, MGallery, and Grand Mercure; Midscale makes up 43% of its portfolio and comprises the Novotel, Suite Novotel, Mercure and Adagio brands; and Economy makes up 46% the Co.'s portfolio, comprising the brands ibis, ibis Styles, ibis budget and hotelF1. At Dec 31 2013 Co. operated around 3,600 hotels and 460,000 rooms in 92 countries.

AGRICULTURAL CREDIT SA

Credit Agricole is active in the market of retail banking and related businesses. Co. provides day-to-day banking, savings products, mortgage and consumer loans, insurance, private banking, asset management, lease finance and factoring, corporate and investment banking. Its activities can be divided into six business lines: French Retail Banking - Regional Banks; French Retail Banking - LCL; International Retail Banking; Specialized Financial Services; Savings Management and Insurance; and Corporate and Investment Banking. Co.'s customers are personal customers, farmers, small businesses, companies and local authorities. As of Dec 31 2013 Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro1,536,873,000,000.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria is an international financial group, engaged primarily on providing banking services and consumer finance to private individuals and businesses in Spain and Portugal; providing real estate activity in Spain; providing services to international companies and investment banking, capital markets and treasury management services to clients; and providing the banking, insurance and pension businesses in Mexico and the U.S., as well as in South America.

Banco Santander S.A.

Banco Santander is a holding company, providing a range of financial products. Co.'s products and services include: retail banking business that covers all customer banking businesses; wholesale banking business; as well as asset management and insurance business. Co.'s principal operations are in Spain, the U.K., Portugal, Germany, Italy and Latin America. As of Dec 31 2014, Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro1,266,296,000,000 and total customer deposits amounted to Euro647,627,000,000.

BNP Paribas SA Class A

BNP Paribas is engaged in the provision of banking and financial services. Co.'s business activities are divided into two segments: Retail Banking & Services and Corporate and Investment Banking. The Retail Banking and Services business includes domestic markets and international financial services. The Corporate and Institutional Banking comprises of corporate banking, global markets, and securities services. Other activities include principal investments, which related to Co.'s central treasury function, some costs related to crossbusiness projects, the residential mortgage lending business of personal finance, and certain investments.

CaixaBank SA

Caixabank is an investment company based in Spain. Co. is involved in investment portfolio management activities across two areas: Services and Financial Business and Insurance. In the services area, Co. provides investment solutions for companies involved in the infrastructure, energy, services and entertainment sectors. In the financial business and insurance area, Co. is engaged in the investments for international banks, insurance and specialist financial services. Co. focuses most of its banking investments in India, China, the U.S., and Central and Eastern Europe with a particular interest in retail banking. Co. is also involved in the disinvestments activities.

Commerzbank AG

Commerzbank operates through five segments: Private Customers, which comprises the Private Customers, Direct Banking and Commerz Real divisions; Mittelstandsbank, which include the Mittelstand Germany, Corporate Banking & International and Financial Institutions divisions; Central and Eastern Europe, which consists of the universal and regional banking and direct banking activities; Corporates and Markets, which consists the Equity Markets & Commodities, Fixed Income & Currencies, Corporate Finance and Credit Portfolio Management divisions; as well as Non-Core Assets, which includes the operations of CRE Banking Germany, CRE Banking International, Public Finance and Deutsche Schiffsbank.

CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG

Credit Suisse is a financial services provider based in Switzerland. Co. is active as an integrated bank. Co. operates through two global divisions, Private Banking and Corporate & Institutional Banking. Co. offers comprehensive advice and a broad range of financial solutions to private, corporate and institutional clients primarily domiciled in Switzerland. Co. maintains operations in three regionally focused divisions: Swiss Universal Bank, Asia Pacific and International Wealth Management serving Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, Latin America and Africa.

Deutsche Bank AG

Deutsche Bank is a holding company acting as an international financial service provider. Co. offers a wide variety of investment, financial and related products and services to private individuals, corporate entities and institutional clients around the world. Co. has operations or dealings with existing or potential customers in most countries in the world. Co. is organized into the following six corporate divisions: Global Markets (GM); Corporate & Investment Banking (CIB); Private, Wealth & Commercial Clients (PW&CC); Deutsche Asset Management (Deutsche AM); Postbank (PB); and Non-core Operations Unit (NCOU).

E.ON SE

E.ON is an investor-owned energy company. The Generation global unit consists of all Co.'s existing (fossil and nuclear) generation assets in Europe. The Renewables unit is engaged in managing Co.'s carbonsourcing and renewables businesses. The Global Commodities unit buys and sells electricity, natural gas, liquefied natural gas, oil, coal, freight, biomass, and carbon allowances. The Exploration & Production unit is a active in the focus regions of the North Sea (U.K., Norway), Russia and North Africa. The New Build & Technology unit include Co.'s project-management and engineering operations to support the construction of new power plants and the operation of existing plants.

Fraport AG

Fraport AG Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide is an airport operator. Co. is divided into four segments: aviation, which includes airside and terminal management as well as corporate safety and security at the Frankfurt site; retail and real estate, which consists of retailing activities, parking facility and real estate management at Frankfurt Airport; ground handling, which comprises services dealing with passengers, aircraft and cargo; and external activities and services, which comprises Co.'s companies outside the Frankfurt site and auxiliary services in Frankfurt, including information technology and facility management in particular.

Getlink SE

Getlink SE, formerly known as Groupe Eurotunnel SE, is a France-based company, which brings together a group of companies active in the fields of infrastructure management and transport operations. Its various entities share the attention to quality and customer service, with priority given to safety. The Company manages and operates the Channel Tunnel between the United Kingdom and France and its railway infrastructure. The Company is also engaged in the passenger and freight transport between continental Europe and the United Kingdom. In addition, it provides ferry transport through the Channel. Getlink SE has direct and indirect stakes in a number of companies, including The Channel Tunnel Group Limited, France Manche SA and Europorte SAS, among others.

Hannover Rueck SE

Hannover is global reinsurance company. Co. operates through two business groups, Non-Life Reinsurance and Life and Health Reinsurance. Non-Life Reinsurance provides structured reinsurance solutions. Co.'s target markets are Germany and North America, and its specialty lines include Marine, Aviation, Credit and Surety, Structured Reinsurance, Insurance-Linked Securities and the United Kingdom, London market and direct business. Non-Life Reinsurance's Global Reinsurance consists of treaty reinsurance worldwide, facultative reinsurance and global catastrophe business. Life and Health Reinsurance provides solutions for life and health reinsurance and financial solutions.

ING Groep NV

ING Groep is a global financial institution based in the Netherlands. Co. is engaged in offering a wide range of retail and wholesale banking services to customers in over 40 countries across Europe, the Americas, Asia and Australia. In addition to the basic banking services of lending, payments and cash management and treasury, Co. provides tailored banking solutions in areas including corporate finance, commercial finance (factoring), equity markets and debt capital markets to help clients achieve their business goals. Co.'s operations are organized along five segments: Retail Netherlands; RetailBelgium: Retail Germany: Retail Other; and Wholesale Banking.

Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A.

Intesa Sanpaolo is a commercial bank. Co. is engaged in lending and deposit collection operations in Italy and associated financial services, serving Households, Personal, Small Business, Private and Small and Medium Enterprise customers. Co. provides medium-term credit, leasing, factoring and agribusiness (Mediocredito Italiano), consumer credit (Intesa Sanpaolo Personal Finance), management of electronic payments (Setefi), and trust services (Sirefid). Co. has approximately 4,300 branches, including Retail and Business branches, distributed broadly throughout Italy. At Dec 31 2014, Co. had total assets of Euro646.43 billion.

Julius Baer Gruppe AG

Julius Baer is engaged in private banking activities primarily in Switzerland, Europe, Asia and South America. Co. focuses in private banking, which includes certain internal supporting functions which serve entirely the core business activities.

KBC Group N.V.

KBC Group is a bank-insurance group engaged in providing products and services mainly to retail, private banking, SME and mid-cap clients. Co. focuses on its primary markets of Belgium, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria. Co. is also present in Ireland and, to a limited extent, in several other countries to support corporate clients from its primary markets. Co.'s main brands are KBC and CBC in Belgium, CSOB in Czech Republic and Slovakia, K&H in Hungary, CIBANK and DZI Insurance in Bulgaria, and KBC Bank Ireland in Ireland. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had 1,601 bank branches. In addition, Co. had total assets of Euro245.17 billion.

NATIXIS

Natixis is a player in the European banking industry. As the banking partner of large companies in France, Co. also plays an active role in serving financial institutions (banks, insurance companies, pension funds, etc.). Co.'s activities are divided into in three main business lines: Wholesale Banking, Investment Solutions (Asset Management, Private Banking, Insurance, and Private Equity) and Specialized Financial Services. Co. operates in four geographical regions: France; other EU countries; North America (Canada, USA); and other OECD countries. As of Dec. 31 2013 Co.'s total assets totaled Euro510,131,000,000.

Rothschild & Co. SCA

Rothschild & Co SCA is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in banking activities and private equity. Co.'s banking activities include Investment Banking which comprises advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, advisory services for finance and restructuring, the primary equity capital market and the private placement of loans and shares; Corporate banking which comprises direct loans and structuring of financing packages; Private banking which comprises trust services, asset management and strategic planning; and Merchant Banking. Co.'s private equity activities involve investing in essentially medium-sized French companies, alongside a financial partner.

Societe Generale S.A. Class A

Societe Generale is a universal banking and financial services group based in France. Co. is engaged in operations in areas such as retail banking, corporate and investment banking, financial services, insurance, private banking and asset management. Co.'s three segments are: French Retail Banking (FRB); International Retail Banking & Financial Services (IBFS); and Global Banking and Investor Solutions (GBIS). FRB offers products and services to individual, professional and business customers; IBFS comprises banking networks and consumer finance activities; and GBIS covers global activities of Corporate and Investment Banking. Co. maintains operations across 76 countries globally.

UBS Group AG

UBS Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiary, UBS, Co. provides financial services including advisory services, underwriting, financing, market making, asset management and brokerage and retail banking. Co.'s operations are organized along five segments: Wealth Management (financial services to high net worth and ultra high net worth individuals as well as private and corporate clients); Wealth Management Americas (advice-based solutions for ultra high net worth, high net worth and core affluent individuals and families); Personal & Corporate Banking (provides financial products and services to private, corporate and institutional clients); Asset Management and Investment Bank.

UniCredit S.p.A.

Unicredit is a pan-European commercial banking group based in Italy. Co. is engaged in the provision of in-branch and online corporate and investment banking services, providing customers with access to banks in 14 core markets as well as to an another 18 countries worldwide. Co.'s operations are organized along six business lines: Commercial Banking Italy; CEE Division; CIB; Commercial Banking Germany; Commercial Banking Austria; and Asset Gathering. Co.'s European banking network includes Italy, Germany, Austria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Serbia and Turkey.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Benoit Valleaux

Johanna Jourdain

Louis Boujard, CFA

Matthias Desmarais

Philippe Ourpatian

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

Steven Gould

Sven Edelfelt

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