Report
Sven Edelfelt

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/12/2021

We have modelled the trend in the European risk premium (ERP) according to the momentum of 12m EPS, the rise in Bund yields and the rise in PMI. On this basis, our model shows an additional potential easing in the ERP of 75bp in 6 months. The market therefore has a significant capacity to absorb yield growth, provided that it is linked to accelerating EPS growth. Two consequences: 1/ the outperformance of value stocks will continue apace and 2/ it is much more a decline in expected EP...
Underlyings
Accell Group N.V.

Accell Group NV is a holding company active in the bicycle market, based in the Netherlands. The Company and its subsidiaries divides its business into two segments: bicycle & bicycle parts, active in the design, development, production, marketing and sales of bicycles, bicycle parts and accessories; and fitness, providing fitness equipment for home market. It offers bicycles under the Batavus, Carraro, Ghost, Haibike, Koga, Lapierre, Loekie, Nishiki, Sparta, Staiger, Torker Bicycles, Tunturi, Van Nicholas, Winora, XLC and Raleigh brands, which are sold via specialist bicycle retailers, as well as bicycle parts under the Juncker and E. Wiener Bike Parts brands, and fitness equipment under the Tunturi brand. The Company's main markets are the Netherlands, Germany, North America, and European countries. The Company has production facilities in the Netherlands, Germany, France, Hungary, Turkey and China. It operates through over 20 wholly owned subsidiaries.

Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A.

Assicurazioni Generali is the parent company for The Generali Group (the Group), an insurance and financial services provider. The commercial offer is composed of savings and pure risks policies, which constitute the majority of the portfolio, which includes protection and pension funds. In the non-life sector the Group is focused primarily on the retail market. In addition, through the Europ Assistance Group, Co. is engaged in services in motor, travel, health, home and family. The Group has also expanded its business from insurance to a range of asset management, property and financial services.

AstraZeneca PLC

AstraZeneca is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates as a biopharmaceutical company engaged in discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing its pipeline of small molecule and biologic prescription medicines, including targeted business development through collaboration, in-licensing and acquisitions. Co. is focused on three main therapy areas: Oncology, Cardiovascular and Metabolic Diseases, and Respiratory. Co. is also selectively active in autoimmunity, infection and neuroscience. In addition, Co. works across small molecules, oligonucleotides and other drug platforms, as well as biologic medicines.

Atlantia S.p.A

Atlantia is a holding company with subsidiaries and associates whose business is the construction and operation of motorways, airports and transport infrastructure, parking areas and intermodal systems, or who engage in activities related to the management of motorway or airport traffic.

Beter Bed Holding N.V.

Beter Bed Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in the European bedroom furnishings market and offers mattresses, box springs, bed bases, bedroom furniture, bed textiles and other related items. Co.'s activities include retail trade through 1,159 stores that operate via the chains Beter Bed (active in the Netherlands), Matratzen Concord (active in Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, Switzerland, Belgium and Poland), El Gigante del Colchon (active in Spain), BeddenREUS, Dormaeel and Slaapgenoten (all three active in the Netherlands) and MAV (active in Germany). Co. is also active in developing and selling branded products in the bedroom furnishings sector.

BP p.l.c.

BP is an integrated oil and gas group based in the United Kingdom. Co. is engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas; refining, marketing, supply and transportation; and the manufacture and marketing of petrochemicals. Co. operates globally, with business activities in Europe, the U.S., Canada, Russia, South America, Australasia, Asia and parts of Africa. Co. operates in two business segments: Exploration and Production - including oil and natural gas exploration and development and production; and Refining and Marketing- activities include the refining, manufacturing, supply and trading, marketing and transportation of crude oil, petroleum and petrochemicals.

Eiffage SA

Eiffage is a construction and concessions group. Co.'s operations are organized into five divisions. The Concessions and PPPs division is engaged in construction and operating of infrastructures under concessions and public private partnerships. Through the Construction division, Co. is engaged in building design and construction, property development and building maintenance. Through the Public works division, Co. is engaged in civil engineering, road construction, infrastructure maintenance and material production. The Energy division specializes in electrical contracting and air conditioning. Through the Metal division, Co. is engaged in metallic construction and services to industry.

Eni S.p.A.

Eni is engaged in the oil and gas exploration and production, gas marketing operations, management of gas infrastructures, power generation, petrochemicals, oil field services and engineering industries. Co.'s operations are divided into three segments; Exploration and Production (oil and natural gas exploration and field development and production, as well as LNG operations), Gas and Power (supply, trading and marketing of gas and electricity, managing gas infrastructures for transport, distribution, storage, re-gasification, and LNG supply and marketing), and Refining and Marketing (supply of crude oil, refining and marketing of refined products). Co. maintains operations in 73 countries.

Eurazeo SA

Eurazeo is a listed investment company in Europe. Co. invests in French or other European companies in which it can exercise influence. Co. divides its operaion in five divisions: Holding company, Eurazeo Capital, Eurazeo PME, Eurazeo Croissance, and Eurazeo Patrimoine. Holding company focuses on investment in non-consolidated fund business; Eurazeo Capital invests in companies valued over Euro150,000,000 to Euro200,000,000; Eurazeo PME invests in enterprises valued at less than Euro150,000,000 to Euro200,000,000; Eurazeo Croissance targets companies with high growth potential in promising markets; and Eurazeo Patrimoine groups Co.'s real estate asset management and investment activities.

Flow Traders NV

Flow Traders Cooperatief UA is a global technology-enabled liquidity provider, which specializes in Exchange Traded Products (ETPs). As a technology company operating in a financial services industry, Co. uses its proprietary technology platform to quote, bid and ask prices in thousands of ETP listings, as well as similar financial products. Co. also provides liquidity to institutional counterparties off-exchange across all regions. Liquidity provision makes markets more efficient and transparent, promoting better execution quality and lower overall trading costs for market participants.

Fortum Oyj

Fortum is an energy company. Co.'s operations are organised in five divisions: Hydro Power and Technology and Nuclear and Thermal Power, which are engaged in its hydro, nuclear and thermal power generation, services, portfolio management and trading as well as technology and research and development functions; Heat, Electricity Sales and Solutions, which consists of Co.'s combined heat and power production, district heating and business-to-business heating solutions, solar business, electricity sales and related customer offering; Russia, which consists of power and heat generation as well as heat distribution in Russia; and Distribution, which focuses on distribution activities in Sweden.

GALP Energia SGPS SA Class B

Galp Energia is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in the following segments: exploration and production, with activities relating to exploration, development and production of hydrocarbons, particularly in Angola, Brazil and Mozambique; refining and marketing, which owns refineries in Portugal and also includes activities relating to the retail and wholesale commercialization of oil products; and gas and power, which covers the purchasing, commercialization, distribution and storage of natural gas and electric and thermal power production. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had proved and probable reserves of 638.0 million barrels of oil equivalent.

GlaxoSmithKline plc

GlaxoSmithKline is a global healthcare company. Co.'s segments include: Pharmaceuticals; Vaccines; and Consumer Healthcare. The Pharmaceuticals segment is focused on developing new medicines in respiratory, HIV, oncology and immuno-inflammation, with discovery research exploring these and other areas. The Vaccines segment has a portfolio and pipeline of vaccines to help protect people throughout life. Co. delivers vaccines to people living in over 160 countries. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets consumer-preferred brands in oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition/gastro-intestinal and skin health.

HAL Trust

HAL Trust is the trust holding company for HAL Holding N.V. Co.'s only asset is the outstanding shares of HAL Holding N.V. Co.'s strategy is to invest in companies where it can play an active role as shareholder and board member. Co. invests mainly in industrial and real estate companies.

Hannover Rueck SE

Hannover is global reinsurance company. Co. operates through two business groups, Non-Life Reinsurance and Life and Health Reinsurance. Non-Life Reinsurance provides structured reinsurance solutions. Co.'s target markets are Germany and North America, and its specialty lines include Marine, Aviation, Credit and Surety, Structured Reinsurance, Insurance-Linked Securities and the United Kingdom, London market and direct business. Non-Life Reinsurance's Global Reinsurance consists of treaty reinsurance worldwide, facultative reinsurance and global catastrophe business. Life and Health Reinsurance provides solutions for life and health reinsurance and financial solutions.

Leonardo SpA

Leonardo is the holding company for The Finmeccanica Group, and is responsible for guiding and controlling industrial and strategic operations, coordinates its subsidiaries. The Finmeccanica Group operates in the Aerospace and Defence sector, which includes the Helicopters, Defence and Security Electronics, Aeronautics, Space and Defence Systems segments; and in the Transportation sector, which also includes Fata S.p.a., in addition to the companies operating in the transportation sector.

Neoen S.A.

Neoen SA Formerly known as Neoen Sas. Neoen SAS is a France-based company specialized in the renewable energy sector. The Company operates, finances and develops a number of power plants from a variety of energy sources, including Solar, wind and Biomass. Its portfolio of power plants includes providencia, ombrineo, degrussa, cestas, ygos, luxey, geloux, seixal, cabrela, coruche, hornsdale I, bussy-lettree, raucourt II, villacerf, bais et trans, reclainville, chapelle vallon and la montagne. Apart from France, the Company is present in many other countries such as Portugal, Australia, Australia, Jordan, Zambia, Mozambique, Argentina, Jamaica, Mexico, Egypt and El Salvador, among others.

Novartis AG

Novartis is a multinational healthcare group based in Switzerland. Co. provides healthcare solutions that address the evolving needs of patients and societies worldwide. Co.'s broad portfolio includes innovative medicines, eye care products and cost-saving generic pharmaceuticals. Co.'s operations are organized along three operating divisions: Innovative Medicines Division; Sandoz Division; and Alcon Division. Co.'s operations are supported by the Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research and Novartis Business Services.

Novo Nordisk A/S Class B

Novo-Nordisk is a global healthcare company engaged in the innovation of diabetes care. Co. also provides haemophilia care, growth hormone therapy and hormone replacement therapy. The Diabetes care business segment includes research, development, manufacturing and marketing of products within the areas of insulin, GLP-1 and related delivery systems, oral antidiabetic products (OAD) and obesity. The Biopharmaceuticals business segment includes research, development, manufacturing and marketing of products within the areas of haemophilia, growth hormone therapy, hormone replacement therapy, inflammation therapy and other therapy areas.

Repsol SA

Repsol is an oil and gas company. Co. is engaged in all the activities relating to the oil and gas industry, including exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas, transportation of oil products, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and natural gas, refining, the production of a wide range of oil products and the retailing of oil products, oil derivatives, petrochemicals, LPG and natural gas, as well as the generation, transportation, distribution and supply of electricity. Co. operates in more than 40 countries. Co.'s operations are divided into four segments: Upstream, Downstream, LNG and Gas Natural Fenosa.

Roche Holding Ltd

Roche Holding is a healthcare company. Co. operates in two Divisions, Pharmaceuticals and Diagnostics. Co.'s pharmaceuticals division is comprised of two business segments Roche Pharmaceuticals and Chugai. Co.'s pharmaceuticals division provides therapies including Cotellic, in combination with Zelboraf for advanced melanoma, and Alecensa for a specific type of lung cancer. Co.'s diagnostics division consists of four business areas: Diabetes Care, Molecular Diagnostics, Professional Diagnostics and Tissue Diagnostics. Co.'s diagnostics division provides in vitro diagnostic tests, used by healthcare providers to screen, diagnose and monitor therapies.

Rolls-Royce Holdings plc

Rolls Royce Holdings is an engineering company. Co. is organised into five businesses: civil aerospace, which develops, manufactures, markets and sells commercial aero engines and aftermarket services; defense aerospace, which develops, manufactures, markets and sells military aero engines and aftermarket services; power systems, which develops, manufactures, markets and sells reciprocating engines and power systems; marine, which is develops, manufactures, markets and sells marine-power propulsion systems and aftermarket services; and nuclear, which develops, manufactures, markets and sells nuclear systems for civil power generation and naval propulsion systems.

Royal Dutch Shell Plc Class A

Royal Dutch Shell is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the oil and gas industry. Co. reports its business through four segments: Integrated Gas, which engaged in the liquefaction and transportation of gas and the conversion of natural gas to liquids to provide fuels and other products; Upstream, which engaged in the exploration for and extraction of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; Downstream, which engaged in oil products and chemicals manufacturing and marketing activities; and Corporate, which comprising Co.'s holdings and treasury organisation, its self-insurance activities and its headquarters and central functions.

Rubis SCA

Rubis is a holding company based in France. Co., through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the bulk import, production or distribution process, and storage of petroleum products in Europe, the Caribbean, and Africa. Co. operates bulk liquid storage facilities for petroleum products, chemicals, fertilizers, edible oils and molasses, and foodstuffs, as well as distributes butane, propane, and petroleum products in wholesale and retail. Co.'s customers primarily include hypermarkets and supermarkets; oil companies; chemists; and traders and intermediaries of fuel, oil or gas, manures, and other liquids.

Sanofi

Sanofi is an integrated, global healthcare company focused on patient needs and engaged in the research, development, manufacture and marketing of healthcare products. Two segments make up Co.'s business: Pharmaceuticals and Vaccines. The Pharmaceuticals segment covers research, development, production and marketing of medicines, consisting of flagship products, plus a broad range of prescription medicines, generic medicines, and consumer health products. The Vaccines segment includes research, development, production and marketing of vaccines in five areas: pediatric vaccines, influenza vaccines, adult and adolescent booster vaccines, meningitis vaccines, and travel and endemic vaccines.

SIF HOLDING NV

Sif Holding NV is a company based in the Netherlands, which provides steel foundations to the offshore wind, oil and gas markets. The Company operates in two segments: the Offshore Wind segment focuses on manufacturing monopiles for offshore wind farms. Monopiles consist of a tubular structure, typically with conical, and are hammered into the seabed. The Oil and Gas segment specializes in the production of steel tubular parts for the offshore oil and gas industries, with focus on jackets and related structures. The Company focuses on the North Sea region and also manufactures parts for machines and civil engineering projects, such as tubulars used in the Maeslant storm surge barrier, tubular structures used in the London Eye, and foundations for jetties, which are mooring platforms for ships.

Total SE

Total is an international integrated oil and gas company also active in solar and biomass energy sources. Co. engages all aspects of the petroleum industry, including Upstream operations (oil and gas exploration, development and production, and LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas)) and Downstream operations (refining, petrochemicals, specialty chemicals, marketing and marketing and trading and shipping of crude oil and petroleum products). In addition, Co. is engaged in the coal mining and power generation sectors. Co.'s worldwide operations are conducted through three business segments: Upstream, Refining & Chemicals, and Marketing & Services.

WPP Plc

WPP is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is a communications services organization providing national and multinational clients a range of communications services. Co. is organized into four operating segments: Advertising and Media Investment Management; Data Investment Management; Public Relations and Public Affairs; and Branding and Identity, Healthcare and Specialist Communications. This last reportable segment includes WPP Digital and direct, digital, promotional & relationship marketing.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Sven Edelfelt

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