Report
Fatma Agnès Hamdani ...
  • Johanna Jourdain
  • Matthias Desmarais
  • Oussema Denguir
  • Pierre Tegner

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/10/2018

The market will be tempted to play a 40bp contraction (i.e. 5% on the basis of share prices on 6 July) in the risk premium linked to the temporary allaying of concerns about political risk in Europe and a trade war. Opt for 1/ the oil sector, via integrated oil companies, for which 2018 growth is visible (+39% estimated), accelerating and for which the valuation remains reasonable (P/CF 5.9x) and 2/ “defensive” segments overlooked during the period of market stress: food and beer for...
Underlyings
Accor SA

Accor is a hotel operator. Co. offers its guests and partners the expertise of a hotel operator and brand franchisor (HotelServices) and a hotel owner and investor (HotelInvest). Co. divides its activities into three segments: Luxury-upscale, Midscale and Economy. Luxury-upscale makes up 11% of Co.'s portfolio and comprises brands such as Sofitel, Pullman, MGallery, and Grand Mercure; Midscale makes up 43% of its portfolio and comprises the Novotel, Suite Novotel, Mercure and Adagio brands; and Economy makes up 46% the Co.'s portfolio, comprising the brands ibis, ibis Styles, ibis budget and hotelF1. At Dec 31 2013 Co. operated around 3,600 hotels and 460,000 rooms in 92 countries.

Anheuser-Busch InBev N.V. ADS

Carlsberg A/S

Danone SA

Danone is engaged in activities in the global food and beverages industry. Co. operates in four markets: Fresh Dairy Products (Co. produces and sells yogurts, fermented dairy products and other fresh dairy products); Waters (Co. produces and sells natural waters as well as flavored and vitamin-enriched waters products); Early Life Nutrition (Co. produces baby formula, milk-and fruit-based desserts, cereals, small pots of baby food and ready-made baby food); and Medical Nutrition (Co. develops adult and pediatric clinical nutrition products to be taken orally, or through a catheter in the event of malnutrition related to illness or other causes).

Davide Campari-Milano N.V.

Davide Campari-Milano is engaged in manufacturing spirits industry with an extensive product portfolio in three business lines: spirits, which includes internationally brands such as Appleton, Campari, Carolans, SKYY vodka and Wild Turkey, as well as brand in local markets including Aperol, Cabo Wabo, Cynar, Frangelico, GlenGrant, Ouzo 12, X-Rated Fusion Liqueur, Zedda Piras, and Brazilian brands Dreher, among others; wines, which main regional brands are Liebfraumilch, Mondoro, Odessa, Riccadonna, Sella&Mosca and Teruzzi&Puthod; and soft drinks, which covers the extended ranges of Crodino and Lemonsoda. Co. operates in 190 countries with registred positions in Europe and the Americas.

Diageo PLC (ADR)

Heineken Holding N.V.

Heineken Holding is a holding company based in the Netherlands. Through its subsidiaries, Co. promotes the continuity, independence and stability of the Heineken group. This creates the conditions which enable Heineken N.V. to pursue its long-term policy in the interest of the shareholders, the staff and other stakeholders. Co. does not engage in operational activities itself. These have been assigned within the Heineken group to Heineken N.V. and its subsidiaries and associated companies. Through Heineken N.V., Co. is involved in the brewing and selling of beer.

Laurent-Perrier SA

Laurent-Perrier is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the production and distribution of champagne. Its products are sold through four main brands, which are Laurent-Perrier, Salon, Delamotte and Champagne de Castellane. Co.'s vineyards are held either directly by Co. or jointly with other growers through various real-estate companies. Co. organizes its business activities under three different types of legal entities: Champagne houses, Distribution subsidiaries, and Vineyards. For most of its export markets, Co.'s products are sold through specialized distribution networks such as cafes, hotels and restaurants, wine merchants and direct sales.

Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits

Pernod Ricard SA

Pernod Ricard produces and distributes wines and spirits. Co. produces aniseed products, vodka, whisky, cognac, rum, gin, liqueurs, champagnes and wines. Co.'s activity is organized around families of products built around brands. Its brands portfolio includes: ABSOLUT vodka, Ricard pastis, Ballantine's, Chivas Regal and The Glenlivet Scotch whiskies, Jameson Irish whiskey, Martell cognac, Havana Club rum, Beefeater gin, Kahlua and Malibu liqueurs, Mumm and Perrier-Jouet champagnes as well as Jacob's Creek and Brancott Estate wines. Co. is structured into four segments constituted by the following geographic regions: France, Europe (excluding France), Americas, Asia/Rest of the World.

Remy Cointreau SA

Remy Cointreau is an operator in the global wines and spirits market. Co. produces, markets and distributes Cognac, Liquors and Spirits and other non-group brand alcoholic beverages. Co.'s primary cognac brand is Remy Martin, produced from Petite Champagne and Grande Champagne eaux-de-vie. Co.'s principal liquor and spirits include the following brands: Cointreau, Passoa, Metaxa, St Remy, and Mount Gay. Co. also operates a distribution network that handles products from partners and third-party companies. Major non-group products distributed by Co. include Scotch Whiskies (Edrington brand), Champagne (Piper-Heidsieck and Charles Heidsieck brands) and Vodka.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Fatma Agnès Hamdani

Johanna Jourdain

Matthias Desmarais

Oussema Denguir

Pierre Tegner

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