Report
Anthony Dick ...
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/11/2022

We have put the Aegon NL - ASR transaction into our Aegon model. This transaction was rational and good for Aegon. We estimate that the Aegon NL – ASR transaction will result in an Operating capital generation (OCG) per share increase of +14% in 2025, and we estimate that the Solvency 2 ratio impact will be -21pp. Apart from that, the Q3 earnings were somewhat less than we expected, and the solvency was in line. Keeping the Asia TLB and US VA business is logical and good for cash flow...
Underlyings
Actividades de Construccion y Servicios SA

ACS Actividades de Construccion y Servicios is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co.'s activities are divided into the following areas: Construction, engaged in the construction of civil works, and residential and non-residential building construction; industrial services, engaged in the development of applied engineering services, installations and the maintenance of industrial infrastructures in the energy, communications and control systems sectors; services, groups together environmental services, the outsourcing of building maintenance services, logistics and transport services; and concessions, mainly engaged in transport infrastructure concessions.

Allianz SE

Allianz is engaged in the provision of a range of insurance and asset management products and services. Co. has three business segments: Property-Casualty, which provides insurance products to both private and corporate customers, including motor liability and own damage, accident, general liability, fire and property, legal expense, credit and travel insurance; Life/Health, which provides life and health insurance products including annuities, endowment and term insurance, unit-linked and investment-oriented products and private health and supplemental health and long-term care insurance; and Asset Management, which provides institutional and retail asset management products and services.

ARKEMA

Arkema is engaged in the global chemical industry which is a processing industry based on the transformation in one or several stages of raw materials (oil derivatives, gas, minerals, natural products) into more or less complex chemical products, or into plastics obtained by polymerization. In addition, Co. manufactures a wide range of products for other major industries: construction, packaging, chemicals, automotive, electronics, food manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, etc. Co. operates in this industrial context with a business portfolio focused on three segments: High Performance Materials, Industrial Specialties, and Coating Solutions.

ASML Holding NV

ASML Holding provides lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, manufacturing machines that are used in the production of integrated circuits or chips. Co. develops, produces, markets, sells and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems exclusively consisting of lithography systems. Co. sells its products to micro-processor manufacturers and Foundries, NAND-Flash memory and DRAM memory chipmakers. Co.'s products line includes the following: PAS 5000 lithography systems, which Co. no longer manufactures but continues to refurbish; PAS 5500 products; TWINSCAN DUV systems and TWINSCAN EUV systems based on a new platform utilizing the concepts of the TWINSCAN platform.

Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A.

Assicurazioni Generali is the parent company for The Generali Group (the Group), an insurance and financial services provider. The commercial offer is composed of savings and pure risks policies, which constitute the majority of the portfolio, which includes protection and pension funds. In the non-life sector the Group is focused primarily on the retail market. In addition, through the Europ Assistance Group, Co. is engaged in services in motor, travel, health, home and family. The Group has also expanded its business from insurance to a range of asset management, property and financial services.

Auto Trader Group PLC

Auto Trader Group operates a digital automotive marketplace. Consumers can search from around 450,000 used cars and 6,000 new cars on the marketplace each month, using a standard make/model search or via discovery search if they aren't sure of the exact vehicle they want. In addition, Co. provides consumers services to help them make an informed decision about the car they are looking to buy, these include: vehicle check, finance, and insurance. Co. also provides free vehicle valuations providing both a private sale price as well as a part-exchange price. Furthermore, Co. provides retailers display advertising packages so they can promote their business as well as individual vehicles.

Brenntag SE

Brenntag is a chemical distributor. Co. provides its customers and suppliers a range of services and global supply chain management as well as a chemical distribution network in Europe, North and Latin America as well as in the Asia Pacific region. Co. manages its business through its regionally structured segments in Europe, North America, Latin America and Asia Pacific. Co. provides a range of products as well as services such as just-in-time delivery, product mixing, blending, repackaging, inventory management, drum return handling as well as technical and laboratory services for specialty chemicals.

Cellnex Telecom S.A.

Cellnex Telecom SA is a Spain-based company engaged in the wireless telecommunications (telecom) business. Its activities are divided into three segments: Broadcasting infrastructure, Telecom site rental, as well as Network services and other. The Broadcasting infrastructure division comprises distribution and transmission of television (TV) and frequency modulation (FM) radio signals, operation and maintenance (O&M) of radio broadcasting network, as well as over-the-top (OTT) radio services, among others. The Telecom site rental division provides access to wireless infrastructure, primarily through infrastructure hosting and telecom equipment co-location, mainly for mobile network operators and other wireless and broadband telecom network operators. The Network services and other division offers connectivity services for a variety of telecom operators and radio communication, among others. The Company also develops 5th generation mobile networks (5G) through Alticom BV.

CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT

Continental is an automotive industry supplier. Co.'s automotive divisions comprised of: Chassis & Safety, which develops and produces systems that provide safety and enhanced vehicle dynamics; Powertrain, which develops solutions for gasoline and diesel engines, as well as hybrid and electrical drive systems; and Interior, which provides solutions for information management within vehicles and networking between vehicles. Co.'s rubber divisions comprised of: Tires, which provides tires for passenger cars through trucks, buses and construction site vehicles to special vehicles, motorcycles and bicycles; and ContiTech, which develops products made from rubber and plastic.

ENGIE SA.

Engie is an industrial group, based in France, active in the fields of gas, electricity, energy services and the environment. Co. is an energy provider across the entire energy chain, in electricity and in natural gas, including: purchase, production and commercialization of natural gas and electricity; transport, distribution, management and development of major natural gas infrastructures; design and commercialization of energy services and environment-related services. Co.'s activities are conducted through five segments: Energy Europe, Energy International, Global Gas and LNG, Infrastructures, and Energy Services.

Fortum Oyj

Fortum is an energy company. Co.'s operations are organised in five divisions: Hydro Power and Technology and Nuclear and Thermal Power, which are engaged in its hydro, nuclear and thermal power generation, services, portfolio management and trading as well as technology and research and development functions; Heat, Electricity Sales and Solutions, which consists of Co.'s combined heat and power production, district heating and business-to-business heating solutions, solar business, electricity sales and related customer offering; Russia, which consists of power and heat generation as well as heat distribution in Russia; and Distribution, which focuses on distribution activities in Sweden.

Knorr-Bremse AG

Knorr Bremse AG is a Germany-based company that manufactures braking systems and other subsystems for rail and commercial vehicles. It operates through two segments: Rail Vehicle Systems and Commercial Vehicle Systems. The Rail Vehicle Systems segment equips mass transit vehicles, such as metro cars, and mainline freight and passenger trains with brake systems, as well as entrance systems, heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, auxiliary power supply, driver assistance systems, electrical traction equipment and control technology, among others. The Commercial Vehicle Systems segment offers products for trucks, buses, trailers and agricultural machinery. Its product portfolio includes brake systems and vehicle dynamics solutions, such as driver assistance, energy supply and distribution systems, such as air compressors, and fuel efficiency products and transmission subsystems, such as vibration dampers, among others. The Company also offers aftermarket services.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize is an international group of supermarket and foodservice operators based in Europe and the U.S. Co. operates supermarkets and convenience stores. In addition, Co. provides online food retailing services. Co. also finances, develops and manages store sites and shopping centers. Ahold Europe comprises Albert Heijn in the Netherlands and Belgium; Etos, Gall & Gall, and albert.nl in the Netherlands; and Albert / Hypernova in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. Ahold USA is organized into four retail divisions: Giant Carlisle, Giant Landover, Stop & Shop New England, and Stop & Shop New York Metro. The Peapod online business is also part of Ahold USA.

Nexi S.p.A.

Nexi SpA. Nexi SpA is an Italy-based financial technology company. The Company is specialized in the payment technology field offering digital services and infrastructure to banks, businesses, institutions and the public administration.

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy S.A.

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the business of renewable energy sources, primarily wind power but also including solar energy where its acts as a supplier and manufacturer of technological products, installations and services. Co. is organized along the lines of: promotion, construction and sale of wind farms, engineering, design, manufacture and sale of wind turbines, manufacture of thermic and photovoltaic solar components, promotion and sale of photovoltaic solar farms. Co. also participates in both Spanish and European working groups aimed at establishing priorities for its sector's research & development work.

Zurich Insurance Group Ltd

Zurich Insurance Group is a multi-line insurance company. Co. provides a range of general insurance and life insurance products and services, serving individuals, small businesses, and mid-sized and large companies, including multinational corporations, in more than 170 countries. Co.'s business segments include: General Insurance, which provides property and casualty insurance and services, risk insights; Global Life, which provides protection, savings and investment solutions; and Farmers, which provides management services related to property and casualty insurance.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Anthony Dick

Baptiste Salaville

Michael Foundoukidis

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