Report
Stephane Beyazian ...
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Winners and losers of 2025-30 space revolution

The space industry is set to be shaken by many more sea changes yet to come during the period from 2025 to 3030: Starship & Starlink v3 from SpaceX (valued at $ 350bn), Amazon's Kuiper, IRIS², the GlobalStar-Apple agreement, AST SpaceMobile's satellite mobile and Chinese projects. We prefer exposure to manufacturers (Airbus, Thales, Aliena Space and OHB) may see their business pick up with IRIS². Conversely, for services, contract losses and higher investments are coming over 2025-30. We would encourage SES (Underperform, TP revised down at € 3) to renegotiate the Intelsat deal. For Eutelsat (Underperform, TP revised down at € 1.7), we are reviewing the refinancing options.
Our market conclusions for 2025-30
Underlyings
Airbus SE

Airbus is an European Aeronautic Defense and Space company whose core business is the manufacturing of commercial aircraft, civil and military helicopters, commercial space launch vehicles, missiles, military aircraft, satellites and defense systems and defense electronics and the rendering of services related to these activities. Co. organizes its businesses into the following five operating divisions: Airbus Commercial, Airbus Military, Eurocopter, Cassidian and Astrium. In addition, Co.'s Other Businesses division engages in the development, manufacturing, marketing and sale of regional turboprop aircraft and aircraft components.

Eutelsat Communications SA

Eutelsat Communications is a private telecommunications satellite operator involved in the design, establishment, operation and maintenance of satellite telecommunications systems covering a large geographical area (extended Europe (including North Africa and the Middle East), sub-Saharan Africa, parts of America and Asia). Co. provides its customers broadcasting capacity and associated services to transmit TV programmes via satellite, cable or Internet Protocol (IP) networks. As of June 30, 2013, Co. owned and operated 31 satellites in geostationary orbit and 4 satellites in inclined orbit.

Leonardo SpA

Leonardo is the holding company for The Finmeccanica Group, and is responsible for guiding and controlling industrial and strategic operations, coordinates its subsidiaries. The Finmeccanica Group operates in the Aerospace and Defence sector, which includes the Helicopters, Defence and Security Electronics, Aeronautics, Space and Defence Systems segments; and in the Transportation sector, which also includes Fata S.p.a., in addition to the companies operating in the transportation sector.

SES SA FDR (Class A)

SES is engaged as a provider of satellite-delivered services. As a strategic management company, Co. operates through a unique network of leading satellite operators around the world. This network comprises the fully-owned SES ASTRA in Europe and SES AMERICOM in the U.S., as well as participations in regional satellite operators. SES ASTRA is European direct-to-home satellite operator. SES AMERICOM operates a fleet of 17 satellites serving the Americas, Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. AsiaSat provides transponder capacity for broadcast, broadband and telecommunications services in the Asia-Pacific region.

Thales SA

Thales is an electronics and systems group, serving defense, aeronautics, transport, space and security markets. Co.'s operations can be divided into four operating segments: Aerospace (Avionics, Space), Transportation (Ground Transport Systems), Defence & Security (Secure Communications & Information Systems Land and Air Systems, Defence Mission Systems), and DCNS. Co. designs and delivers systems for all four environments: air, land, sea and space. These systems detect and assess threats, manage information, support command decisions and control engagements through to threat neutralization. Co. is active in ground transportation; air transport; navigation systems.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Stephane Beyazian

Yan Derocles

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