Report
Christophe Chaput ...
  • Geoffroy Michalet

ODDO : COVID-19 : an attempt to estimate the impact before the warnings

We simulated the impact of COVID-19 on companies in our universe of coverage from an operating viewpoint. Setting target prices is a risky business amid uncertainty and very rapid movements in the financial markets, reacting more to political/sanitary news flow than to corporate disclosures. However, we tried to include the increase in the perceived risk premium and the change in aggregates in our valuations. As the current crisis is set to have radically different impacts on the...
Underlyings
ALD SA

ALD is a service leasing and vehicle fleet management group with a fleet of more than 1,375,000 vehicles in 41 countries. Under a full-service lease, the client pays the leasing company a regular monthly lease payment to cover financing, depreciation of the vehicle and the cost of various services provided in relation to the use of the vehicle (such as maintenance, replacement car, tyre management, fuel cards and insurance). Fleet management services include the provision of outsourcing contracts to clients under which the vehicle is not owned by Co., but is managed by Co. and for which the client pays fees for the various fleet management services provided.

ALTAMIR Act porteur

Altamir is a listed private equity company that invests exclusively alongside or in the funds managed or advised by Apax Partners France and Apax Partners LLP. Co. provides investors access to a portfolio of companies with high-growth potential, diversified by geography and by size, across Apax's six specialization sectors: Telecom, Media, Technology, Retail & Consumer, Healthcare, and Business & Financial services. Telecom and Technology are managed by Altran Technologies, GFI Informatique and others; InfoPro manages Media; Retail & Consumer runs through Alain Aflelou 2, Cole Haan and others; Business & Financial Services runs through Buy Way, Albioma, and Texa among other entities.

Beneteau SA

Beneteau designs, manufactures and sells yachts and powerboats through an international network of dealers. Co. also designs, manufactures and sells mobile homes. Its operations can be divided into two segments: The Boats segment and the Leisure Homes segment. The Boats segment groups together the activities for manufacturing and marketing boats with a customer base made up of dealers; The Leisure Homes segment groups together the activities for manufacturing and marketing mobile homes with a customer base made up of campsites and wholesalers, and the the activities for manufacturing and marketing wood-frame houses. Some of Co.'s brands are Beneteau, Jeanneau, CNB, IRM and O'Hara.

Elis SA

Elis is a multi-service group in the rental, laundry and maintenance of textile, hygiene and well-being items in Europe and Latin America. Co. serves hundreds of thousands of customers of all sizes, belonging to various professional customer segments: hospitality, healthcare, industry, trade and services. Co. also has a manufacturing business carried out by two entities, Le Jacquard FranASSais and Kennedy Hygiene Products which together form one of the company's operating segments.

Eurazeo SA

Eurazeo is a listed investment company in Europe. Co. invests in French or other European companies in which it can exercise influence. Co. divides its operaion in five divisions: Holding company, Eurazeo Capital, Eurazeo PME, Eurazeo Croissance, and Eurazeo Patrimoine. Holding company focuses on investment in non-consolidated fund business; Eurazeo Capital invests in companies valued over Euro150,000,000 to Euro200,000,000; Eurazeo PME invests in enterprises valued at less than Euro150,000,000 to Euro200,000,000; Eurazeo Croissance targets companies with high growth potential in promising markets; and Eurazeo Patrimoine groups Co.'s real estate asset management and investment activities.

Eurofins Scientific Societe Europeenne

Eurofins Scientific is an international life sciences company operating in food & pharmaceutical products testings. Co. provides analytical testing services to clients from various industries including pharmaceutical, food, and environmental sectors. Co. offers analytical methods for evaluating the authenticity, origin, safety, identity, composition, and purity of biological substances & products. Co. verifies authenticity of products analyzed to detect dangerous components (pathogens, prions, pesticides, asbestos, mycotoxins, dioxins, toxic substances, etc.). Co. operates in Benelux, France, Germany, North America, Scandinavia, British Isles (U.K. & Republic of Ireland), & other countries.

Europcar Mobility Group SA

Europcar Groupe SA is part of the mobility sector as a handler in rental vehicles. Co.'s objective is to provide the mobility solution that meets its customers' needs in a market where expectations are constantly changing. Co. offers mobility solutions extending from short-term vehicle rental, via its three main brands, Europcar®, Ubeeqo® and InterRent®, and chauffeur services to car-sharing and a platform offering mobility services. Ubeeqo, a specialist in car-sharing, and E-Car Club, a car-sharing start-up offering an entire fleet of electric vehicles in the United Kingdom, have broadened Co.'s mobility offer through its subsidiary, Europcar Lab.

FFP
FFP

Societe Fonciere, Financiere ACT is an investment holding company which acts as a long-term investor and an active shareholder. As of Dec 31 2010, Co. held 22.1% of the share capital of PSA Peugeot Citroen. Co. usually purchases minority stakes in companies with a large family shareholding. Co. has a portfolio of private equity funds which operate mainly in Europe and countries with emerging economies. Co. also operates a financial investment and cash management business, as well as a real estate and wine-producing businesses.

Fnac Darty SA

Fnac Darty is engaged in the leisure and entertainment, technology, and household appliances retail market in France and a player on markets in other countries where it operates such as Spain, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands and Switzerland. Fnac Darty also has franchise operations in Morocco, Qatar and Ivory Coast.

GL Events SA

GL events is an international provider of event solutions and services. Co. operates in three segments of the event industry market: the organization of trade fairs, conventions and events(Co. organizes proprietary trade shows); the management of venues(Co.'s venues are managed under concession agreements or long-term public-private partnerships); and services for events(Co. equips and installs every type of event). Co. assists companies, institutions, and event organizers at every stage of the process from the definition of their event strategies to final implementation in the field.

Kaufman & Broad SA

Kaufman & Broad SA is a France-based property developer and builder. The Company is principally engaged in the development of single family homes and apartments, commercial real estate activity, as well as the provision of residence services for business tourists and students. The Company is involved in all stages of implementation of a development program, land research to commercialization of housing through project design, the filing of a building permit and after-sales service. The Company has operations in numerous cities in France, such as Bayonne, Bordeaux, Grenoble, Lille, Lyon, Marseille, Montpellier, Nantes, Nice, Paris, Rouen, Strasbourg, Toulon and Toulouse, among others. Furthermore, the Company provides construction of logistics platforms and warehouses. It is also operational through a number of subsidiaries, including Kaufman & Broad Pyrenees-Atlantiques, Kaufman & Broad Homes SAS, SM2I and Residences Bernard Teillaud SARL, among others.

Maisons du Monde SA

Maisons du Monde offers a range of decoration and furnishing items in a variety of styles and themes. At end-2016, Co. operated a network of 288 stores in seven countries, France, Italy, Spain, Belgium, Luxembourg, Germany, and Switzerland. It also operates an e-commerce platform available in 11 countries. Co.'s product offering contains approximately 16,000 stock-keeping units available in a range of prices. The offer falls into two categories: decorative products, such as household textiles, tableware and kitchenware, mirrors and picture; and furniture, such as beds, tables, chairs, armchairs and sofas, cupboards, bookshelves, junior furniture and outdoor furniture.

Nexity SA Class A

Nexity in an integrated real estate group based in France. Co. operates in all areas of real estate development and services (residential real estate, commercial real estate, real estate services to individuals and real estate services to companies, distribution networks and client relations, major urban projects). Co. maintains a market presence across all industry cycles (short, medium and long). Co. serves three types of clients: individuals, companies and investors, and local authorities. Co.'s activities are conducted around four primary divisions: Residential real estate, Commercial real estate, Services and Distribution Networks, and Other activities.

SEB SA

SEB is engaged in the design, manufacture and marketing of cookware and small household appliances such as pressure cookers, irons, coffeemakers, deep fryers, toasters, kitchen utensils, breadmakers, mixers, blenders, bathroom scales, vacuum cleaners, fans, heaters, air conditioners and food processors. Co.'s products fall into eight categories: Home comfort, Home care, Food preparation, Linen care, Personal care business, Cookware, Electrical cooking and Beverage preparation. Co.'s brands are All-Clad, Krups, Lagostina, Moulinex, Rowenta, Tefal, Calor/Seb, T-fal/Mirro/WearEver/AirBake/Regal, Arno/ Panex//Rochedo/Penedo/Clock/Samurai/Imusa/Umco, Supor, AsiaVina and Maharaja Whiteline.

SMCP SA

SMCP is engaged in the apparel and accessories retail market. Co.'s products are sold through a network of points of sale and websites. Co.'s product range is composed of on-trend and quality womenswear, menswear and accessories. Co.'s three brands can be characterized as follows: Sandro, targeted at sophisticated and self-confident women with a sleek, cool sense of style and a Parisian nonchalance; Maje, a bohemian chic positioning, targeting a feminine and young-at-heart and joie de vivre clientele and Claudie Pierlot, characterized as Parisian-preppy, wise and with a rebel touch. Claudie Pierlot is focused on a timeless, effortless style.

Societe BIC SA

Societe BIC designs, manufactures and distributes the following consumer products: stationery products, lighters, shavers, and other products. Its stationery products include writing instruments such as ball pens, felt pens, mechanical pencils; marking instruments; coloring and drawing instruments; correction instruments and glues. Co.'s stationery products are sold under the BIC® Kids, Tipp-Ex®, Wite-Out®, Sheaffer® and PIMACO® brands. Its other products segment includes promotional products including notebooks, key rings, magnets, and drinkware; Sport sales (surfboards, windsurf boards, kayaks and sailboats); adhesive labels and adhesive raw materials.

SPIE SA

Spie is a provider of electrical engineering and IT services and an infrastructure and building contractor. Co. helps to design, finance, manage and implement an array of projects ranging from high-speed TGV and conventional rail lines to metros and light rail systems. In addition, Co. offers telecom and information network services. Through the Commercial Segment, Co. is engaged in construction and renovation projects. Co. also offers wired building services as well as multi-disciplinary industrial maintenance and facilities management solutions.

Teleperformance SE

Teleperformance is engaged in outsourced customer experience management. Co. delivers integrated solutions to corporations and administrative bodies worldwide to manage all aspects of the customer-relations cycle on their behalf. Co.'s activities include four core business areas: customer care (these are services provided as part of customer service management); technical support; debt collection; and business information and marketing actions. As of Dec. 31, 2013, Co. had approximately 110,000 computerized workstations across 46 countries. Co.'s client includes industries like Telecoms, Internet, Financial services, Technology/media, Insurance, Government sector and Utilities.

Tikehau Capital SCA

Tikehau Capital SCA Formerly known as Tikehau Capital SCS. Tikehau Capital SCA is a France-based asset management and investment company. The Company invests in various asset classes, including Private Debt, which comprises debt financing transactions, such as senior debt, unitranche and mezzanine, as well as collateralized loan obligations; Real Estate, which focuses on commercial property and seeks sale and lease-back transactions in which the Company's vehicles act as purchaser; Private Equity, which encompasses investments in the equity capital of listed and non-listed companies, and Liquid Strategies, which encompasses investments in bonds, investment grade securities and the management of open-ended funds. The Company operates either through direct equity investments or through its asset management subsidiary, Tikehau IM, on behalf of institutional and private investors. The Company has offices in Paris, London, Brussels, New York and Singapore, among others.

Trigano SA

Trigano designs, manufactures and sells leisure vehicles and leisure equipment. Co.'s operations can be divided into two segments: Leisure vehicles and Leisure equipment. The Leisure Vehicles segment produces motor caravans, caravans, mobile homes and accessories and provides services to its customers (leasing and financing of leisure vehicles). The Leisure Equipment segment produces trailers, camping equipment, and garden equipment. Co. operates in France, U.K., Italy, Germany, Belgium, Spain, Netherlands, Norway and Other countries.

Wendel SE

Wendel is an investment company specializing in acquiring long-term holdings in industrial and services companies. Co.'s activities can be divided into six main divisions. Through Bureau Veritas, Co. provides conformity assessment services and certification. Through Stahl, Co. is engaged in high performance coatings and leather finishing products. Through Saint-Gobain, Co. manufactures, transforms and distributes construction materials. Through Legrand, Co. specializes in electrical and digital building infrastructures. Through Deutsch, Co. provides high-performance connectors. Through Materis, Co. provides specialty chemicals for construction.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Christophe Chaput

Geoffroy Michalet

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