Report
Baptiste Lebacq ...
  • Maxime Kogge

ODDO : Favour Vallourec over ArcelorMittal with a view to a win-win takeover

We think that ArcelorMittal's arrival in Vallourec's capital validates the success of the financial restructuring undertaken in 2021 which has rendered Vallourec ripe for takeover by an industrial group. For ArcelorMittal, it is already ~4% accretive in terms of 2025-2026 EPS and, more importantly, a vector of synergies in the event of a full takeover with the potential for additional accretion of >10% and a possible re-rating. That said, the weak steel environment, while it full...
Underlyings
ArcelorMittal SA

ArcelorMittal is a steel company, based in Luxembourg, with operations in more than 60 countries. Co. is active in all major global steel markets, including automotive, construction, household appliances and packaging, as well as activities in Research & Development and technology, with captive supplies of raw materials and its own distribution network. Co. has an industrial presence in over 20 countries spanning four continents, covering key steel markets, from emerging to mature. Co. offers a complete spectrum of steel products from commodity steel to value-added products, from long products to flat, from standard to specialty products, from carbon steel to stainless steel and alloys.

Vallourec SA

Vallourec SA is a France-based company, which specializes in the production of seamless and welded steel tube products for industrial applications. It operates through two segments: Seamless Tubes and Specialty Products. For the oil and gas industry, it designs and develops a comprehensive range of products including seamless tubes and connections for drilling operations, line pipes and well equipment. For the power generation market, it offers tubes that withstand severe temperature and pressure conditions. Its solutions enable power companies to meet the challenges of energy efficiency and reduce CO2 emissions in power plants. It also offers a wide range of tubes for petrochemical installations (refineries), for mechanical engineering applications (hydraulic cylinders and machine tools), for the automotive industry, for construction (stadiums, other complex buildings and structures) and for various other industrial sectors. It operates through Vallourec Solucoes Tubulares do Brasil.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Baptiste Lebacq

Maxime Kogge

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