Report
Jerôme Bodin

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/01/2024

We see the FY 2024 order intake consensus of € 11.1bn as too bearish (ODDO BHFe: € 11.9bn), given resilient momentum in ITS (not back-end loaded & positive Jinan ramp-up impact), while SCS has reached an inflection point (recovery as of H2 2024). We expect sticky pricing in ITS (January +1-2% up again) to provide 8% upside to the FY 2024 group adj. EBIT consensus (ODDO BHFe: € 909m). Our raised adj. EBIT estimates (+7%/+14% for 2024/25) leads to a TP of € 61 (€ 35). We upgrade to Outp...
Underlyings
Bilfinger SE

Bilfinger SE is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. develops, builds, maintains and operates facilities and structures for infrastructure, real estate, industry and the energy sector. Co.'s business segments include: Industrial, which is comprised of Industrial Maintenance; Insulation, Scaffolding and Painting; Oil and Gas; Industrial Fabrication and Installation; Engineering, Automation and Control; and Support Services; Power, which is comprised of Power Systems, and Piping Systems; Building and Facility, which is comprised of Building, Facility Services, Real Estate, and Water Technologies; and Construction, which is comprised of Construction, and Infrastructure.

Bollore SA

Bollore is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. conducts business in international logistics, transportation and logistics in Africa (port management, stevedoring, logistics), fuel distribution, batteries and supercapacitors, electric vehicles, plastic films for capacitors and packaging, dedicated terminals and systems, plantations, communicationa and the media (television and free press, advertising and market research) and the management of portfolio shareholdings. Co.'s activities can be divided into four segments: Transportation and logistics, Industry, Fuel distribution, and Other activities.

BP p.l.c.

BP is an integrated oil and gas group based in the United Kingdom. Co. is engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas; refining, marketing, supply and transportation; and the manufacture and marketing of petrochemicals. Co. operates globally, with business activities in Europe, the U.S., Canada, Russia, South America, Australasia, Asia and parts of Africa. Co. operates in two business segments: Exploration and Production - including oil and natural gas exploration and development and production; and Refining and Marketing- activities include the refining, manufacturing, supply and trading, marketing and transportation of crude oil, petroleum and petrochemicals.

Eiffage SA

Eiffage is a construction and concessions group. Co.'s operations are organized into five divisions. The Concessions and PPPs division is engaged in construction and operating of infrastructures under concessions and public private partnerships. Through the Construction division, Co. is engaged in building design and construction, property development and building maintenance. Through the Public works division, Co. is engaged in civil engineering, road construction, infrastructure maintenance and material production. The Energy division specializes in electrical contracting and air conditioning. Through the Metal division, Co. is engaged in metallic construction and services to industry.

Eni S.p.A.

Eni is engaged in the oil and gas exploration and production, gas marketing operations, management of gas infrastructures, power generation, petrochemicals, oil field services and engineering industries. Co.'s operations are divided into three segments; Exploration and Production (oil and natural gas exploration and field development and production, as well as LNG operations), Gas and Power (supply, trading and marketing of gas and electricity, managing gas infrastructures for transport, distribution, storage, re-gasification, and LNG supply and marketing), and Refining and Marketing (supply of crude oil, refining and marketing of refined products). Co. maintains operations in 73 countries.

Equinor ASA

Equinor is engaged in oil and gas exploration and production activities. Co. is primarily focused on exploration, development and production of oil and gas on the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS). Co.'s operations are organized into four segments. The Development and Production Norway and Development and Production International segments explore, develop, produce and extract crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Marketing, Processing and Renewable Energy segment markets, trades, transports and processes oil and natural gas and renewable energy. The Other segment consists of global well and project delivery, research and develpoment, and business development.

GALP Energia SGPS SA Class B

Galp Energia is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in the following segments: exploration and production, with activities relating to exploration, development and production of hydrocarbons, particularly in Angola, Brazil and Mozambique; refining and marketing, which owns refineries in Portugal and also includes activities relating to the retail and wholesale commercialization of oil products; and gas and power, which covers the purchasing, commercialization, distribution and storage of natural gas and electric and thermal power production. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had proved and probable reserves of 638.0 million barrels of oil equivalent.

Hapag-Lloyd AG

Hapag-Lloyd is a container liner shipping company. Co.'s core business is the shipping of containers by sea but also encompasses transport services from door to door. Co. transports hazardous goods by sea, road, rail, and inland waterway vessels; and provides reefer solutions to transport temperature-sensitive products, including perishable cargoes; and high value reefer cargoes, such as pharmaceuticals, healthcare products, and more. Co. also offers security information services; e-commerce solutions in the shipping industry; logistics services, such as pre-carriage and on-carriage transport services; and customs clearance services.

LafargeHolcim Ltd.

LafargeHolcim is a producer of cement and aggregates. Co. also supplies ready-mix concrete, concrete products, asphalt and a range of services. Co. operates through three segments: cement, aggregates, and other construction materials and services. Co.'s cement segment provides a range of cementitious materials and also develops customized blends for special applications. Through its aggregates segment, Co. produces aggregates which include crushed stone, gravel and sand mainly used in the manufacture of ready-mix concrete, concrete products and asphalt, as well as for road building and railway tracks, with production centered on quarrying, preparing and sorting the raw material.

RELX PLC

RELX is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in four market segments: Scientific, Technical and Medical, which is a global information and analytics business that helps institutions and professionals advance healthcare, open science, and improve performance for the benefit of humanity; Risk and Business Analytics, which provides customers with solutions and decision tools that combine public and industry specific content with advanced technology; Legal, which is a provider of legal, regulatory and business information and analytics; and Exhibitions, which the events business improve the power of face-to-face through data and digital tools.

Renault SA

Renault is an automobile manufacturer. Co.'s activities have been organized into two main business sectors, in more than 120 countries: Automotive and Sales Financing. Co. designs, develops and sells passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. Following the acquisition of Romanian carmaker Dacia and Samsung Motors' operating assets in South Korea, Co. has three automotive brands: Renault, Dacia and Samsung. RCI Banque, Co.'s captive financing arm, finances sales of the Renault, Renault Samsung Motors (RSM) and Dacia brands, and, in Europe, the Nissan and Infiniti brands. In addition to these two activities, Co. has equity investments in the following two companies: Nissan and AVTOVAZ.

Repsol SA

Repsol is an oil and gas company. Co. is engaged in all the activities relating to the oil and gas industry, including exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas, transportation of oil products, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and natural gas, refining, the production of a wide range of oil products and the retailing of oil products, oil derivatives, petrochemicals, LPG and natural gas, as well as the generation, transportation, distribution and supply of electricity. Co. operates in more than 40 countries. Co.'s operations are divided into four segments: Upstream, Downstream, LNG and Gas Natural Fenosa.

Ryanair Holdings Plc

Ryanair Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates an ultra-low cost, scheduled-passenger airline serving short-haul, point-to-point routes between Ireland, the U.K., Continental Europe, and Morocco. Co. offers over 2,000 scheduled short-haul flights per day serving approximately 210 airports throughout Europe, and flying approximately 1,600 routes. In addition, Co. provides various ancillary services and engages in other activities connected with its core air passenger service, including non-flight scheduled services, Internet-related services, and the in-flight sale of beverages, food, and merchandise.

SHELL PLC

Societe Generale S.A. Class A

Societe Generale is a universal banking and financial services group based in France. Co. is engaged in operations in areas such as retail banking, corporate and investment banking, financial services, insurance, private banking and asset management. Co.'s three segments are: French Retail Banking (FRB); International Retail Banking & Financial Services (IBFS); and Global Banking and Investor Solutions (GBIS). FRB offers products and services to individual, professional and business customers; IBFS comprises banking networks and consumer finance activities; and GBIS covers global activities of Corporate and Investment Banking. Co. maintains operations across 76 countries globally.

Total SE

Total is an international integrated oil and gas company also active in solar and biomass energy sources. Co. engages all aspects of the petroleum industry, including Upstream operations (oil and gas exploration, development and production, and LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas)) and Downstream operations (refining, petrochemicals, specialty chemicals, marketing and marketing and trading and shipping of crude oil and petroleum products). In addition, Co. is engaged in the coal mining and power generation sectors. Co.'s worldwide operations are conducted through three business segments: Upstream, Refining & Chemicals, and Marketing & Services.

Vivendi SE

Vivendi is an audiovisual group active in the entertainment industry with activities in music, TV, cinema, mobile, fixed and internet, and games. Co.'s operations are divided into five businesses: Canal+ Group which produces and distributes pay-TV in France, analog or digital, and is involved in film making; Universal Music Group which sells recorded music (physical and digital media); GVT which serves as a telecommunication operator for fixed ultra high-speed broadband, fixed-line telecommunications and Pay-TV in Brazil; SFR which is engaged in mobile phone services in France, as well as fixed and ADSL services; and Other Activities which involves ticketing, Wengo and Watchever.

Wolters Kluwer NV

Wolters Kluwer operates through four divisions: Health is a global provider of information for medical and health professionals; Financial & Compliance Services is a U.S. provider risk management, compliance, finance, and audit professionals the services they need to optimize risk and business performance, and ensure compliance with local, regional, and global regulation; Tax & Accounting is a provider of tax, accounting, and audit information, and services; and Legal & Regulatory provides customers with expert content, software, and services in the areas of law, business, and regulatory compliance in Europe, North America and Asia Pacific.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Jerôme Bodin

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Matthias Desmarais
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