Report
Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Rebound probably still premature given the lack of visibility

Our new production scenario (-12%, of which -32% of H1) prompts us to a further marked downward revision to our estimates (~-60% since January, -40% vs 2020 consensus estimates). Whilst valuations might now suggest that a large portion is already factored in, despite the recent rebound, visibility remains too low for us to be more constructive and we maintain our strict stock picking strategy. Michelin, Volkswagen, Peugeot and Plastic Omnium remain our preferred stocks whilst we ...
Underlyings
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG

Bayerische Motoren Werke is a holding company, engaged in the development, manufacture and sale of cars and motorcycles. Co. owns three brands: BMW, MINI and Rolls-Royce. Co.'s BMW automobile range encompasses the 1 Series, including coupe and convertible models; the 3 Series, including sedan, touring, coupe and convertible models; the 5 Series, including sedan and touring models; the 6 Series, including coupe or convertible; the 7 Series large sedan; the Z4 roadster and coupe; the sports utility vehicles, X3, X5 and X6 and M models. Co. also provides cars under the MINI brand and motorcycles under the BMW brand. The Rolls-Royce brand provides three cars, Phantom, Coupe and Ghost.

Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA

Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin is active in the tire and mobility-related service markets. Co. manufactures, distributes and sells tires for all kinds of vehicles, publishes maps and guides and operates a number of services. Co.'s operates in three segments: Passenger car/Light truck tires and related distribution; Truck tires and related distribution and Specialty businesses segment including tires for specialty vehicles and maps and guides. Co. distributes its products through two tire distribution networks: Euromaster (Europe) and TCI (U.S.A.) and its brands include Michelin, BFGoodrich, Kleber, Uniroyal, Warrior, Kormoran, Riken, Taurus and Tigar.

CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT

Continental is an automotive industry supplier. Co.'s automotive divisions comprised of: Chassis & Safety, which develops and produces systems that provide safety and enhanced vehicle dynamics; Powertrain, which develops solutions for gasoline and diesel engines, as well as hybrid and electrical drive systems; and Interior, which provides solutions for information management within vehicles and networking between vehicles. Co.'s rubber divisions comprised of: Tires, which provides tires for passenger cars through trucks, buses and construction site vehicles to special vehicles, motorcycles and bicycles; and ContiTech, which develops products made from rubber and plastic.

Daimler AG

Daimler provides a range of transportation products, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles, and also financial services. Co. operates in five segments. Mercedes-Benz Cars sells passenger cars and off-road vehicles under the Mercedes-Benz brand and small cars under the smart brand. The Daimler Trucks distributes its trucks (Mercedes-Benz, Freightliner, FUSO, Western Star, Thomas Built Buses and BharatBenz). The vans of the Mercedes-Benz Vans segment are sold under the brand name Mercedes-Benz and Freightliner. Daimler Buses sells completely built-up buses (Mercedes-Benz and Setra). The Daimler Financial Services division supports sales of Co.'s automotive brands.

Faurecia SA

Faurecia is an automobile equipment supplier based in France. Co.'s activities can be divided into four business units: Automotive Seating (design of vehicle seats, manufacture of seating frames and adjustment mechanisms, and assembly of complete seating units); Emissions Control Technologies (design and manufacture of exhaust systems); Interior Systems (design and manufacture of instrument panels, door panels and modules, and acoustic components); and Automotive Exteriors (design and manufacture of front ends and safety modules). Some of Co.'s customers are PSA Peugeot Citroen, VW Group, Renault-Nissan, Ford Group, BMW and GM Group.

Nokian Renkaat Oyj

Nokian Tyres is a tyre manufacturer. Co. mainly sells its products in the aftermarket. Co. and its subsidiaries include the Vianor tyre retail chain, which provides wholesale and retail services in Co.'s primary markets. The core business units in Co. and its subsidiaries are Passenger Car Tyres, which develops, manufactures, and markets summer and winter tyres for passenger cars and delivery trucks as well as SUVs; Heavy Tyres, which focuses on special tyres; as well as Vianor, which provides tyres for all vehicles: passenger cars, vans, trucks, and heavy machinery. In addition to Nokian-branded tyres, the Vianor tyre retail chain sells other tyre brands and a variety of motoring products.

Peugeot SA

Peugeot is an automobile manufacturer (cars and light commercial vehicles), supported by two brands: Peugeot and Citroen. Co.'s activities are divided into four main segments: Automobile (Co. designs, manufactures and markets passenger cars and light commercial vehicles under Peugeot and Citroen brands), Finance (Co. provides retail and wholesale financing to customers and dealer networks), Automotive equipment (Co. produces Interior Systems, Automotive Seating, Automotive Exteriors and Emissions Control Technologies) and Other businesses (Co. produces scooters).

Pirelli & C. S.p.A.

Pirelli & Co. is a holding company that manages, coordinates and finances the operations of its subsidiaries, which are mainly active in the tyre sector. Other activities relate to the emissions control technologies, renewable energy sources and fashion industries. Co.'s Total Tyre Business is split into: the Consumer Business segment that includes car and motorcycle tyres made for both the original equipment and replacement markets; and the Industrial Business segment that includes truck tyres, tyres for agricultural equipment, made both for the original equipment and replacement markets, and the steel cord business.

Plastic Omnium SE

Compagnie Plastic Omnium is a manufacturing and services company which partners with car manufacturers and local communities, through its two core businesses which are Automotive Equipment and Environment. Co.'s activities can be divided into two divisions: the Automotive division and the Environment division. The Automotive division designs, manufactures and sells vehicle body parts (exterior parts and modules) and plastic fuel systems. The Environment division provides products and services for local authorities, including waste pre-collection and management equipment and services, and road and highway signage.

Renault SA

Renault is an automobile manufacturer. Co.'s activities have been organized into two main business sectors, in more than 120 countries: Automotive and Sales Financing. Co. designs, develops and sells passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. Following the acquisition of Romanian carmaker Dacia and Samsung Motors' operating assets in South Korea, Co. has three automotive brands: Renault, Dacia and Samsung. RCI Banque, Co.'s captive financing arm, finances sales of the Renault, Renault Samsung Motors (RSM) and Dacia brands, and, in Europe, the Nissan and Infiniti brands. In addition to these two activities, Co. has equity investments in the following two companies: Nissan and AVTOVAZ.

Stellantis N.V.

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is an international automotive group engaged in designing, engineering, manufacturing, distributing and selling vehicles, components and production systems. Co. has operations in approx. 40 countries and sells its vehicles directly or through distributors and dealers in more than 140 countries. Co. designs, engineers, manufactures, distributes and sells vehicles for the mass market under the Abarth, Alfa Romeo, Chrysler, Dodge, Fiat, Fiat Professional, Jeep, Lancia and Ram brands and the SRT performance vehicle designation.

Valeo SE

Valeo is an automotive supplier, partner to automakers worldwide. As an industrial and technology company, Co. focuses on designing, manufacturing and selling components, integrated systems and modules for automobiles and heavy goods vehicles, both on the original equipment and the aftermarket segments. In addition, Co. offers innovative products and systems that contribute to the reduction of CO2 emissions and to the development of intuitive driving to its customers. Co. operates through four business groups: Comfort and Driving Assistance Systems, Powertrain Systems, Thermal Systems, and Visibility Systems.

Volkswagen AG Pref

Volkswagen the parent company of the Volkswagen Group. It develops vehicles and components for the Group's brands, and produces and sells vehicles such as passenger cars and light commercial vehicles for the Volkswagen Passenger Cars and Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles brands. In the electricity sector, Co. performs electricity generation, sales and distribution together with a Group subsidiary. Western Europe, China, Brazil, the U.S., Russia, Mexico and Argentina are the key markets of the Group. The automotive division comprises the passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and power engineering segments, while the financial services division corresponds to the financial services segment.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Michael Foundoukidis

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