Report
Geoffroy Michalet ...
  • Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Robert Jan Vos

ODDO : In a decelerating inflation environment, we favour Jeronimo Martins as our top pick, we like Ahold Delhaize and we downgrade Carrefour

Based on our local coverage from Spain, the Netherlands and France and in an environment of decelerating inflation, we set the following hierarchy: Jeronimo Martins as our Top Pick for its growth potential, while in the slow-growth retail category, we favour Ahold Delhaize over Carrefour (downgraded to Neutral) or Colruyt. - >Managing inflation & food inflation deceleration: the name of the game for 2024 - The key topic for food retailers in 2024 will be how they manag...
Underlyings
Carrefour SA

Carrefour is a distribution group based in France. Co. is engaged in retailing business, primarily in Europe (France, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Poland, and Romania); Asia (China, India, and Taiwan); and Latin America (Argentina and Brazil). Co. offers a variety of fresh produce, products from local suppliers and major-brand products. Co. operates Hypermarkets, Supermarkets, Convenience stores and Cash & Carry stores, as well as food and non-food e-commerce sites. Co. also offers services such as financial and insurance services, travel, entertainment, after-sales services, and leasing of commercial vehicles. As of Dec 31 2013 Co. operated 10,105 stores under its brand.

Casino Guichard-Perrachon SA

Casino Guichard-Perrachon is a food retailer based in France. Co. operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, discount stores, convenience stores and cafeterias. Co.'s stores are discount stores selling groceries and consumer goods, and providing services like financial and insurance services, real estate, and restaurants. Co. operates hypermarkets under the brand Geant Casino; urban and rural supermarkets under the brand Casino Supermarches; city-centre supermarkets under the brand Monoprix; convenience/national superettes under the brands Petit Casino, Vival and Spar; covenience-paris area stores under the brand Marche Franprix; and discount stores under the brand Leader Price.

Etablissementen Franz Colruyt N.V.

Etablissements FR Colruyt is engaged in wholesale, food service, distribution of fuels, production of electricity and digital printing. Co. has three operating segments: retail, which relates to stores under Co.'s own management which directly sell to retail customers and bulk consumers; wholesale and foodservice, which supplies to wholesalers, commercial customers and affiliated independent merchants; and other activities, which operates gas stations, engaged in printing and document management and provides alternative energy.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS S.A.

Jeronimo Martins S.G.P.S. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged as a food distribution company with operations in Poland and Portugal. Co. operates in four segments: Portugal Retail, which comprises the business unit of JMR - Gestao de Empresas de Retalho, SGPS, S.A. (Pingo Doce supermarkets); Portugal Cash & Carry, which includes the wholesale business unit Recheio; Poland Retail, which includes the business unit with the brand Biedronka; and Others, which includes marketing services and representations, restaurants in Portugal, health and beauty retail in Poland, and its retail business in Colombia.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize is an international group of supermarket and foodservice operators based in Europe and the U.S. Co. operates supermarkets and convenience stores. In addition, Co. provides online food retailing services. Co. also finances, develops and manages store sites and shopping centers. Ahold Europe comprises Albert Heijn in the Netherlands and Belgium; Etos, Gall & Gall, and albert.nl in the Netherlands; and Albert / Hypernova in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. Ahold USA is organized into four retail divisions: Giant Carlisle, Giant Landover, Stop & Shop New England, and Stop & Shop New York Metro. The Peapod online business is also part of Ahold USA.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Geoffroy Michalet

Juan Ros-Padilla

Robert Jan Vos

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