Report
Benoit Valleaux ...
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Jean Danjou
  • Johanna Jourdain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Oussema Denguir
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/17/2020

Applying basic assumptions related to the duration of total confinement measures (still to be taken in western countries) and the partial recovery of lost activity once the epidemic is behind us, we estimate that 2020 EPS will decline by 17% vs 2019. This variation is likely to be amplified as the duration of the confinement increases. Using the instantaneous cost of capital (11.35% at the time of writing), this yields a Stoxx 600 target of 256 points. Don’t catch a falling knife. - ...
Underlyings
Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA

Compagnie Financiere Richemont is engaged in the luxury goods market. Co.'s interests encompass some names such as Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, Piaget, Vacheron Constantin, Jaeger-LeCoultre, IWC, Alfred Dunhill, Montblanc and Net-a-Porter. Co.'s luxury goods businesses are separated into four segments: Jewellery Maisons (design, manufacture and distribution of jewellery products), Specialist Watchmakers (design, manufacture and distribution of precision timepieces), Montblanc Maison (design, manufacture and distribution of writing instruments) and Other Businesses (Alfred Dunhill, Lancel, ChloA(c), Net-a-Porter, Purdey, textile brands and other manufacturing entities).

Getlink SE

Getlink SE, formerly known as Groupe Eurotunnel SE, is a France-based company, which brings together a group of companies active in the fields of infrastructure management and transport operations. Its various entities share the attention to quality and customer service, with priority given to safety. The Company manages and operates the Channel Tunnel between the United Kingdom and France and its railway infrastructure. The Company is also engaged in the passenger and freight transport between continental Europe and the United Kingdom. In addition, it provides ferry transport through the Channel. Getlink SE has direct and indirect stakes in a number of companies, including The Channel Tunnel Group Limited, France Manche SA and Europorte SAS, among others.

Hermes International SCA

Hermes International is engaged in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of luxury goods primarily in France, rest of Europe, Japan, Asia-Pacific, and Americas. Co.'s activities can be divided into two segments: the distribution via Co.'s exclusive network and the distribution via specialist outlets. The distribution via Co.'s exclusive network comprises silks and textiles, leather goods and saddlery, ready-to-wear and fashion accessories (men and women's clothing, belts, jewellery accessories, gloves, hats and shoes), and other goods (jewellery and products of the art of living department). The distribution via specialist outlets comprise perfumes, tableware and watches.

Iliad

Iliad is an operator in the French internet access & telecommunications markets. Co. divides its operations into three business segments: Broadband, Traditional Telephony, and Retail Telecom. Broadband includes Internet service provider operations, hosting services, user assistance operations & operations related to the rollout of the FTTH (fiber-to-the-home) network. Traditional Telephony includes switched landline telephony (One.Tel and Iliad Telecom), directory services (mainly the ANNU reverse look-up directory accessible by Minitel, telephone, Internet and SMS text messaging) and e-commerce operations (Assunet.com). Retail Telecom offers various mobile phones & services to customers.

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

InterContinental Hotels Group is a hotel companies. Co.'s hotel brands are InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Kimpton Hotels & Restaurants, Hualuxe Hotels & Resorts, Hotel Indigo, EVEN Hotels, Crowne Plaza Hotels & Resorts, Holiday Inn, Holiday Inn Express, Staybridge Suites, Holiday Inn Club Vacations, Holiday Inn Resorts, Candlewood Suites, and Avid Hotels. As of Mar 2 2017, Co.'s had total hotels of 5,348 with 4,433 franchised, 907 managed, eight owned and leased hotels, and 1,655 total hotels in the pipeline.

Kering SA

Kering is engaged in the retail industry, particularly luxury fashion brands. Co.'s operations can be divided into two segments: Luxury and Sport & Lifestyle divisions. The Luxury division includes brands such as Gucci, Bottega Veneta, Yves Saint Laurent, Balenciaga, Boucheron, Sergio Rossi, Alexander McQueen, Girard-Perregaux & JeanRichard, & Stella McCartney. In addition, Co. offers Leather Goods, Shoes, Ready-to-wear, Watches, and Jewelry & Other products. The Sport & Lifestyle division designs & develops footwear, apparel & accessories and includes brands like Puma, Volcom and Electric among others.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton is a manufacturer and retailer of luxury goods. Co. offers champagne and wines, cognac and spirits, fashion and leather goods, perfumes and cosmetics, watches and jewelery; and is engaged in selective retailing. Its operations are organized along five business segments: Wine and Spirits, Fashion and Leather Goods, Perfumes and Cosmetics, Watches and Jewelery, and Selective Retailing. Co. is also engaged in other activities (Media with Les Echos group, La Samaritaine and Luxury yacht with Royal Van Lent). Some of Co.'s brands are Moet & Chandon, Dom Perignon, Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Donna Karan, Parfums Christian Dior, Guerlain, Parfums Givenchy, and TAG Heuer.

Novo Nordisk A/S Class B

Novo-Nordisk is a global healthcare company engaged in the innovation of diabetes care. Co. also provides haemophilia care, growth hormone therapy and hormone replacement therapy. The Diabetes care business segment includes research, development, manufacturing and marketing of products within the areas of insulin, GLP-1 and related delivery systems, oral antidiabetic products (OAD) and obesity. The Biopharmaceuticals business segment includes research, development, manufacturing and marketing of products within the areas of haemophilia, growth hormone therapy, hormone replacement therapy, inflammation therapy and other therapy areas.

Solvay SA

Solvay is engaged in chemical and plastic businesses worldwide. Co. offers chemical products such as advanced materials, barium strontium, calcium chloride, caustic soda, chlorinated products, fluor, peroxygen products, polyglycerols, precipitated calcium carbonate, soda ash, and sodium bicarbonate. It also provides specialty polymers, such as Spire ultra polymers, Solviva biomaterials, and sulfone polymers. Co. structures its activities around five operating segments: Advanced Formulations, Advanced Materials, Performance Chemicals, Functional Polymers and Corporate & Business Services, each with its own specific business model and each comprised of Global Business Units (GBUs).

Swatch Group Ltd. Bearer

Swatch Group is active in finished watches and jewelry sector with 20 brands in all market and price brackets. In addition, Co. is engaged in the sector of watch movements and components production as well as in the electronic systems sector. Co.'s operations can be divided into two segments: Watches & Jewelry, which is engaged in the production and sale of watches and jewelry; and Electronic Systems, which is engaged in the design, production and commercialization of electronic components, sports timing activities. Co. manufactures and sells watches under the following brands, among others: Breguet, Harry Winston, Blancpain, Glashutte Original, Jaquet Droz, Leon Hatot, and Omega.

Talanx AG

Talanx is a financial and management holding company. Co. is internationally active in primary insurance and reinsurance and in both property/casualty and life business. In the more than 100 years of Co.'s history, Co. has evolved from a single-line liability insurer for industry into a global insurance group with a focus on the industrial and retail lines and reinsurance business. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in five business segments: Life/Health Reinsurance; Non-Life Reinsurance; Retail Germany; Industrial Lines; and Retail International.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Benoit Valleaux

Emmanuel Matot

Fehmi Ben Naamane

Jean Danjou

Johanna Jourdain

Martial Descoutures

Oussema Denguir

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

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