Report
Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Tyres have solid arguments for a return to favour in 2020

The rotation towards cyclicals penalised tyre names in H2, but they could return to favour in 2020 thanks to their strengths (lower volume sensitivity, price mix, firm grip on capex, FCF, etc.), attractive valuations and despite persistent volumes weakness (estimates cut by ~3% on avg.). However, a selective approach is called for. We play Michelin vs Continental (Large Caps) and Pirelli vs Nokian (Midcaps). - >Pressure on volumes set to persist in 2020 - 2019 proved v...
Underlyings
Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SCA

Compagnie Generale des Etablissements Michelin is active in the tire and mobility-related service markets. Co. manufactures, distributes and sells tires for all kinds of vehicles, publishes maps and guides and operates a number of services. Co.'s operates in three segments: Passenger car/Light truck tires and related distribution; Truck tires and related distribution and Specialty businesses segment including tires for specialty vehicles and maps and guides. Co. distributes its products through two tire distribution networks: Euromaster (Europe) and TCI (U.S.A.) and its brands include Michelin, BFGoodrich, Kleber, Uniroyal, Warrior, Kormoran, Riken, Taurus and Tigar.

CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT

Continental is an automotive industry supplier. Co.'s automotive divisions comprised of: Chassis & Safety, which develops and produces systems that provide safety and enhanced vehicle dynamics; Powertrain, which develops solutions for gasoline and diesel engines, as well as hybrid and electrical drive systems; and Interior, which provides solutions for information management within vehicles and networking between vehicles. Co.'s rubber divisions comprised of: Tires, which provides tires for passenger cars through trucks, buses and construction site vehicles to special vehicles, motorcycles and bicycles; and ContiTech, which develops products made from rubber and plastic.

Nokian Renkaat Oyj

Nokian Tyres is a tyre manufacturer. Co. mainly sells its products in the aftermarket. Co. and its subsidiaries include the Vianor tyre retail chain, which provides wholesale and retail services in Co.'s primary markets. The core business units in Co. and its subsidiaries are Passenger Car Tyres, which develops, manufactures, and markets summer and winter tyres for passenger cars and delivery trucks as well as SUVs; Heavy Tyres, which focuses on special tyres; as well as Vianor, which provides tyres for all vehicles: passenger cars, vans, trucks, and heavy machinery. In addition to Nokian-branded tyres, the Vianor tyre retail chain sells other tyre brands and a variety of motoring products.

Pirelli & C. S.p.A.

Pirelli & Co. is a holding company that manages, coordinates and finances the operations of its subsidiaries, which are mainly active in the tyre sector. Other activities relate to the emissions control technologies, renewable energy sources and fashion industries. Co.'s Total Tyre Business is split into: the Consumer Business segment that includes car and motorcycle tyres made for both the original equipment and replacement markets; and the Industrial Business segment that includes truck tyres, tyres for agricultural equipment, made both for the original equipment and replacement markets, and the steel cord business.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Michael Foundoukidis

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