Report
Patrick Steiner

EVN : Defensive value play offering high visibility on regulated earnings growth

As a diversified integrated utility company with a high share of regulated earnings (64% of 2023/.24 EBITDA), a strong balance sheet (1.4x 2023/24 net debt/EBITDA) and high visibility on regulated earnings growth, EVN offers a compelling defensive investment case. The group’s planned investments in the expansion of its Lower Austrian electricity grid and renewable assets portfolio could increase regulated EBIT by c. € 150m until 2030e. EVN’s 12.63% stake in Verbund AG, the second-largest European hydropower producer, accounts for 70% of EVN’s market capitalization of € 4.3bn.This implies that EVN’s residual operations are thus valued at ~€ 1.3bn, corresponding to a 3.4-3.9x P/E multiple, despite offering attractive margins and earnings growth potential. Buy reiterated with more than 30% upside on our SOTP based TP.
Underlying
EVN AG

EVN is an energy and environmental services provider. Co.'s segments include: generation, which is engaged in electricity generation; energy trade and supply, which is engaged in the procurement of electricity; network infrastructure Austria, which is engaged in the operation of regional electricity and natural gas networks; energy supply South East Europe, which is engaged in operation of electricity networks and electricity, and energy trading; environmental services segment, which is engaged in among others, drinking water supply, as well as international project business; and strategic investments and other business segment, which is engaged in strategic and other investments.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Patrick Steiner

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