Report
Bruno Cavalier

Is the US labour market approaching a tipping point?

Two years ago, the Fed began to think that a soft landing was possible, in other words that it could reduce inflation without a sharp rise in unemployment. Some economists also speak of an ‘immaculate disinflation’. To support this thesis, Governor Waller had built a model describing a normalisation of the labour market through a fall in job vacancies. This is exactly what happened. The vacancy rate fell from 7.4% to 4.8%. This model also predicted a critical threshold at 4.5%, b...
Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Bruno Cavalier

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