ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/26/2018

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ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/07/2018

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Santander : Positive progress report at mid-year

>Solid data in Q2 2018 - Q2 2018 earnings were broadly solid, with underlying net profit of € 1.99bn (i.e. +4% vs consensus). Confident message from management regarding 2018 financial targets.Good resilience from the top line (€ 12.0bn flat y-o-y, +2% vs cons) combined with brisk commercial momentum.Costs slightly exceeded expectations at € 5.7bn (+1% vs cons, +1% yoy) – confirmation of tight discipline on costs (cost-income ratio of 47.6% consistent with t...

Negative signals for the US housing sector

Macro indicators for the construction sector, and the housing market in particular, have been poor recently. Homebuilders confidence has plummeted, housing sales and starts are stagnating at low levels. A sector so central to the economy appears to be frozen. President Trump has an idea for boosting the sector, and this would involve cutting Fed rates by 200-300bp in one fell swoop, in the hope of making the cost of mortgage borrowing bearable. His anti-Powell fury no doubt has something to do with this housing slump. It goes without saying that the Fed is not prepared to move that fast or th...

Oddo’s 2 Weeks Ahead_Friday 27 June 2025

Signaux négatifs pour le secteur immobilier US

Dernièrement, les indicateurs macro relatifs au secteur de la construction, en particulier le marché du logement, ont été mauvais. La confiance des promoteurs a chuté, les ventes et la production de logements stagnent à un bas niveau. Un secteur si central pour l’économie paraît gelé. Le président Trump a une idée pour lui redonner du tonus, ce serait de baisser les taux de la Fed de 200-300pdb d’un coup, dans l’espoir de rendre supportable le coût des emprunts immobiliers. Sa fureur anti-Powell a sans doute à voir avec ce marasme. La Fed n’est pas disposée à bouger si vite ni si fort il va sa...