IHO / Schaeffler : Complexity has not reduced, but IHO’s relative value has

1/ Automotive and industrial headwinds (even before Liberation Day), to be addressed by Schaeffler and Conti via self-help measures. The current developments are very dynamic and there is a great degree of uncertainty over the next 12-18 months and if finally a recession will be seen or not. 2/ Remaining rating risk and that the IHO PIK toggle notes become B+ at S&P. 3/ The IHO bonds lost attractiveness in the last months, following a recovery after the March 2025 sell-off. Schaeffler bonds were never really attractive from a relative value perspective. 4/ Successful realisation of synergies a...

IHO / Schaeffler : Complexity has not reduced, but IHO’s relative value has

1/ Automotive and industrial headwinds (even before Liberation Day), to be addressed by Schaeffler and Conti via self-help measures. The current developments are very dynamic and there is a great degree of uncertainty over the next 12-18 months and if finally a recession will be seen or not. 2/ Remaining rating risk and that the IHO PIK toggle notes become B+ at S&P. 3/ The IHO bonds lost attractiveness in the last months, following a recovery after the March 2025 sell-off. Schaeffler bonds were never really attractive from a relative value perspective. 4/ Successful realisation of synergies a...

IHO / Schaeffler : We adopt Buy recommendations on the new IHO PIK toggle notes

Our Credit Opinion on IHO and Schaeffler is Negative (vs. Stable) given the expected downgrades (Schaeffler would become a BB-range risk – at least temporary) and the weak automotive market. Other items which we need to follow up on include: - 1/ the Conti reorganisation and the planned automotive group spin-off, - 2/ competition with Asian peers and how market shares will be trending, - 3/ changing political framework and landscape (tariffs policy, outcome of US election, ICE ban), - 4/...

Assa Abloy : Cybersécurité : une directive européenne en soutien de la croissance

La directive européenne NIS2 (sur la cybersécurité), en cours d’implémentation, va être un soutien pour le segment commercial en Europe d’Assa Abloy. Ceci associé à une reprise dans les pays nordiques en résidentiel et un segment commercial US toujours solide devraient aider progressivement à retrouver une meilleure dynamique de la topline (retour vers les 4-5%) et compenser le sentiment négatif associé aux perspectives décevantes du résidentiel US. Opinion Surperformance confirmée, OC relevé à 363 SEK.

Assa Abloy : Cyber security: a European directive as a support for growth

The European NIS2 directive (on cyber security), currently being implemented, should provide support for Assa Abloy's commercial segment in Europe. This, combined with a recovery in the residential segment in Nordic countries and a still solid US commercial segment, should gradually help to improve top line momentum (return towards 4-5%) and offset the negative sentiment associated with the disappointing outlook for the US residential market. Outperform rating confirmed – target price raised to SEK363.

Carmat : Filing for insolvency, the end of a French scientific story