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James Carthew
- James Carthew
Polar Capital Global Healthcare – Recovery play
When we last published on Polar Capital Global Healthcare (PCGH), President Trump had just been elected, and while there were some nerves about Robert F. Kennedy Jr (RFK) being linked to the top job in the US health system, the mood was reasonably upbeat. The managers observed that the sector’s fundamentals (underlying financial and operational health of the sector, such as revenue growth and profitability) were strong, stocks looked cheap, and cautioned against worrying about the impact of poli...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
Baillie Gifford UK Growth Trust – Significant catch up potential
After three challenging years, there are now signs that sentiment towards both growth stocks and the wider UK market is improving. Baillie Gifford UK Growth Trust (BGUK) has been a clear beneficiary of this, delivering a marked uptick in performance over the past year. The tide may be turning, but UK equities in general – and growth names in particular – remain deeply out of favour versus their global peers. This leaves significant catch-up potential if conditions continue to improve, particular...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
GCP Infrastructure - Substantive progress
Since interest rates began to rise to tackle inflation, GCP Infrastructure (GCP) has, like many similar investment companies, been afflicted by a wide share price discount to net asset value (NAV). The board and the investment adviser have been working to tackle this through a policy of capital recycling. This aims to free up £150m to materially reduce the drawn balance on the revolving credit facility (RCF), return at least £50m to shareholders, and rebalance the portfolio to improve its risk a...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
AVI Global Trust – No shortage of targets
AVI Global Trust (AGT) offers a distinct investment proposition from its peers, focusing on opportunities to extract value from undervalued companies where structural reform could unlock value. The weighted average discount on the underlying portfolio is close to historically wide levels, reflecting a number of attractive opportunities that the manager has identified. Activism in holdings such as Chrysalis, Gerresheimer, and Third Point Investors, and the ability to capitalise on “special sit...
Fuel for (AI powered) thought
Pantheon Infrastructure’s (PINT) portfolio is focused on areas of secular growth. It helps both enable and take advantage of technological progress and global connectivity. It is also supporting the shift towards more sustainable energy generation. The success of its approach is particularly evident in the area of data centres – the focus of much of this note – where PINT is directly exposed to the voracious demand for energy to power the unfolding Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution. AI mod...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
Polar Capital Global Healthcare – Recovery play
When we last published on Polar Capital Global Healthcare (PCGH), President Trump had just been elected, and while there were some nerves about Robert F. Kennedy Jr (RFK) being linked to the top job in the US health system, the mood was reasonably upbeat. The managers observed that the sector’s fundamentals (underlying financial and operational health of the sector, such as revenue growth and profitability) were strong, stocks looked cheap, and cautioned against worrying about the impact of poli...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
Baillie Gifford UK Growth Trust – Significant catch up potential
After three challenging years, there are now signs that sentiment towards both growth stocks and the wider UK market is improving. Baillie Gifford UK Growth Trust (BGUK) has been a clear beneficiary of this, delivering a marked uptick in performance over the past year. The tide may be turning, but UK equities in general – and growth names in particular – remain deeply out of favour versus their global peers. This leaves significant catch-up potential if conditions continue to improve, particular...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
GCP Infrastructure - Substantive progress
Since interest rates began to rise to tackle inflation, GCP Infrastructure (GCP) has, like many similar investment companies, been afflicted by a wide share price discount to net asset value (NAV). The board and the investment adviser have been working to tackle this through a policy of capital recycling. This aims to free up £150m to materially reduce the drawn balance on the revolving credit facility (RCF), return at least £50m to shareholders, and rebalance the portfolio to improve its risk a...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
AVI Global Trust – No shortage of targets
AVI Global Trust (AGT) offers a distinct investment proposition from its peers, focusing on opportunities to extract value from undervalued companies where structural reform could unlock value. The weighted average discount on the underlying portfolio is close to historically wide levels, reflecting a number of attractive opportunities that the manager has identified. Activism in holdings such as Chrysalis, Gerresheimer, and Third Point Investors, and the ability to capitalise on “special sit...
Fuel for (AI powered) thought
Pantheon Infrastructure’s (PINT) portfolio is focused on areas of secular growth. It helps both enable and take advantage of technological progress and global connectivity. It is also supporting the shift towards more sustainable energy generation. The success of its approach is particularly evident in the area of data centres – the focus of much of this note – where PINT is directly exposed to the voracious demand for energy to power the unfolding Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution. AI mod...
Economic & Political Roundup - March 2016
”‹A collation of recent insights on markets and economies taken from the comments made by Chairmen and investment managers of investment companies – have a read and make your own minds up. Please remember that nothing in this note is designed to encourage you to buy or sell any of the companies mentioned.
Expansion boosts bottom line
”‹Caledonia Mining (Caledonia) produced 23,300oz (23koz) of gold in H1 2016, a 14% increase on H1 2015, indicating that its investment in infrastructure to expand production is already bearing fruit. The company is on schedule to produce around 50koz of gold in 2016 (2015: 43koz).
James Carthew
- James Carthew
Diverse renewables exposure
Since its launch in March 2014, John Laing Environmental Assets Group (JLEN) has built up a diverse portfolio of wind, solar, anaerobic digestion, waste and wastewater projects. It uses most of the revenue from these to pay its dividends (currently a yield of 5.9%) and the balance goes to reinvest in new projects, to help maintain the long-term value of the portfolio when adjusted for inflation. JLEN is targeting an internal rate of return between 7.5% and 8.5% (net of fees and expenses) on its ...
James Carthew
- James Carthew
Quality small cap focus
Strategic Equity Capital (SEC’s) managers believe the current portfolio consists of very high quality smaller companies. The high cash balances that built up in 2016, on the back of events such as the e2v technologies takeover, have, largely, been redeployed. Cash drag and the fund’s focus have held back returns over the past year (see page 12). However, investment activity (detailed on page 10) has generated encouraging initial returns. Longer term, the detailed private equity derived process, ...
Matthew Read
- Matthew Read
Sounding a note of caution
”‹Fidelity Special Values (FSV) is managed with a contrarian style (it focuses on stocks which are out of favour with other investors, yet show potential for change). It benefited from the Trump reflation trade (see page 14), as value stocks (stocks that that tend to trade at low valuations relative to their fundamentals) rallied strongly, but, as the market has reset its expectations, value has moved out of favour as investors have refocused on growth. With market valuations close to all-time h...
Matthew Read
- Matthew Read
Reasons to be cheerful
”‹Fidelity Japanese Values (FJV) has recovered strongly this year as investors have refocused their attention on growth stocks (those that tend to increase in capital value). Japanese corporate earnings have recovered sharply from their low and while yen strengthening, on the back of regional political events, is a potential challenge, FJV’s manager says that an uptick in the global cycle has helped Japan to expand beyond its potential growth rate. The trust’s manager, Nicholas Price, observes t...
Matthew Read
- Matthew Read
Two years on and all is well
”‹Since Nitin Bajaj’s appointment in April 2015, Fidelity Asian Values (FAS) has markedly outperformed its peer group and benchmark. This is despite relative performance suffering this year, as large-cap stocks (which dominate the index and where FAS is underweight) have outperformed smaller companies (FAS’ absolute returns have nonetheless been very strong). Over the long term, Nitin expects this to reverse with the trust benefiting.