ACCIONA: FY2020 RESULTS, LISTING CONFIRMED, AND CHANGE OF T.P. TO UNDER REVISION (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
4Q'20 vs. 4Q'19 Results
EBITDA: €381 M (-17,2% vs -13,7% BS(e) y -17,9% consensus);
EBIT: €280 M (+10,2% vs -11,2% BS(e) y -11,4% consensus);
Net Profit: €302 M (+123,7% vs -13,6% BS(e) y -14,1% consensus).
FY2020 vs. FY2019 Results
EBITDA: €1.124 M (-21,7% vs -20,6% BS(e) y -21,9% consensus);
EBIT: €616 M (-20,8% vs -27,8% BS(e) y -27,9% consensus);
Net Profit: €380 M (+9,0% vs -44,5% BS(e) y -44,7% consensus).
Although the FY2020 results were in line with expectations in EBITDA (+3.9% vs. BS(e) and +3.4% vs. the consensus) and better in NFD (€-350 M vs. adjusted BS(e) and €-550 M vs. the consensus), the main highlight from the presentation was the confirmation of the company’s intention to list its Renewables division (which the market priced in yesterday with a +11% rise), and how this would impact on the company’s growth rates. Net Profit came in at € 380 M, which means a +9% increase vs. 2019, far above our estimates and those of the consensus (€ 194 M vs. BS(e) and € 193 M consensus) due to one-offs linked to the recovery of an impairment in Nordex from 2017 (€+145 M), without an impact on cash, and the capital gains from the sale of two assets of the concessions package sold in 2020 (€+79 M), which were not broken down and are not included in our estimates.
NFD was reduced by €~676 M vs. Dec’19 (-11%) to € 4.73 Bn (including IFRS16), above expectations (€ 5.34 Bn BS(e) due mainly to better working capital performance (€+207 M vs. €+40 M BS(e)), lower CAPEX (€-526 M vs. €-716 M BS(e) and the reclassification to Assets held for sale of a concessional asset in Australia (€ 260 M) linked to the Sydney Light Rail, which was unexpected. Excluding this impact, the improvement vs. our estimate would be € 350 M. The NFD/EBITDA ratio of the past 12 months stands at 4.2x (vs. 4.7x BS(e) and the company’s guidance of