IAG: 1Q’21 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
1Q'21 vs. 1Q'20 Results:
Sales: € 963.0 M (-79.1% vs. -77.3% BS(e) and -77.9% consensus);
EBITDA: € -1.135 Bn (€ -535 M vs. € -1.165 Bn BS(e) and € -1.166 Bn consensus);
Net Profit: € -1.124 Bn (€ -556 M vs. € -1.124 Bn BS(e) and € 1.178 Bn consensus).
The results were in line with expectations on the operating level (€ -1.14 Bn adjusted EBIT vs. € -1.17 Bn BS(e) and consensus), where the worse performance in revenues was offset by lower costs.
As for the outlook, the company expects 2Q’21 capacity to be ~25% vs. 2Q’19, meaning only a slight improvement vs. 20% in 1Q’20. Separately, IAG insists that the outlook beyond 2Q’21 is uncertain and will depend on vaccination programmes and border control measures.
We highlight that liquidity remains strong, reaching € 10.5 Bn as of 31/03 vs. € 10.3 Bn pro forma at the end of 2020, dispelling doubts in this regard. In short, the results were very much in line with expectations, where the company’s outlook shows a very gradual improvement in capacity in 2Q’21, and the performance in the rest of 2021 will hinge on 3Q’21, where visibility remains low. We do not expect a significant reaction on the share price today, which has outperformed the IBEX by +21% in 2021. BUY. T.P. Under Revision.