IAG: CMD - FOCUSED ON CASH (ANÃLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
IAG. CMD focused on cash generation. BUY.
In our view, the cut made to some operating targets (growth in ASKs of +3.4% YoY in 2020/23 vs. +6% previously; annual growth in EPS of +10% vs. +12% previously) is in line with market expectations and our estimates. Moreover, the company maintains a message that we believe is appropriate, as it focuses on cash generation. Specifically, the company’s estimated cash outflows 2020/23 are now lower (€-500 M due to lower Capex; as a result of lower capacity levels) and below our estimates in terms of contribution to the pension plan (€~500 M annually vs. € 600 M BS(e)), which backs cash generation (average LFCF target of € 2.1 Bn for 2020/22) and our valuation. Additionally, it will allow IAG to participate in the consolidation of the sector, while maintaining an attractive shareholder remuneration policy.