Report
Francisco Rodriguez
EUR 200.00 For Business Accounts Only

NH HOTELES: FY2019 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

4Q'19 vs. 4Q'18 Results:
Sales: € 460.9 M (+7.2% vs. +2.8% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus);
EBITDA: € 150.9 M (+99.1% vs. +87.2% BS(e) and +85.8% consensus);
Net Profit: € 37.3 M (+32.3% vs. -15.6% BS(e) and -19.5% consensus);
FY2019 vs. FY2018 Results:
Sales: € 1.718 Bn (+6.1% vs. +4.9% BS(e) and +5.2% consensus);
EBITDA: € 551.4 M (+5.9% vs. +4.2% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus);
Net Profit: € 103.2 M (+20.1% vs. +4.4% BS(e) and +3.1% consensus);

Results came in above expectations on the operating level thanks to revenues. Specifically, we stress the improvement in Revpar in the 4Q’19 (+5.4% vs. +3% in the 3Q’19) thanks to the positive performance of its businesses in Europe (Benelux +6.7% vs. +1.6% in 3Q’19; Italy +6.8% vs. +4.8% in 3Q’19; Central Europe +5% vs. -5.9% in 3Q’19). Furthermore, the bottom line of the P&L statement has benefited from a very low tax rate in the 4Q’19 (~10%), which justifies the larger difference in Net Profit.
EBITDA ex IFRS came in above expectations at € 294 M vs. NH’s € 285 M target (in line with the consensus and BS(e)), above the guidelines foreseen. NHH has also beaten its Net Profit target (ex IFRS) of € 100 M, having reached € 113 M in 2019.
The company has not given any guidance or outlook for 2020. We assume it will announce further details at today’s conference call at 12:00 (CET). We believe that NH already prices in an uncertain environment due to Covid-19; -11% in 2 sessions; -8% vs. IBEX, and thus even though the results add confidence, the absence of guidance reduces visibility. BUY, T.P. € 6.30/sh. (+34.62% upside).
Underlying
NH Hotel Group SA

NH Hotel is engaged in the operation and management of hotels throughout Spain, the Benelux countries, Germany, and South America.

Provider
Sabadell
Sabadell

Analysts
Francisco Rodriguez

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