Sabadell - SAP SE (SAP) SAP: NUBES Y CLAROS; CAMBIO DE RECOMENDACIÓN A VENDER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Report

Sabadell

Alfonso Mariategui

EUR 400.00 For Business Accounts Only

SAP: NUBES Y CLAROS; CAMBIO DE RECOMENDACIÓN A VENDER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Nubes y claros. Elevamos P.O. un +17% hasta 170 euros/acc. Sin potencial, pasamos a VENDER.
Para los próximos años, si bien la visibilidad y el crecimiento serán elevados (+55% en EBIT y +53% FCF’25 vs 2023), ya está recogido en estimaciones y en cotización (+120% desde mínimos 2022). Incluso más a futuro, dibujando un escenario optimista, un EBIT’28 2x superior a 2023, nos deja un potencial limitado (-4%). Elevamos la TACC’24/28e EBIT +70 p.b. hasta +16,9% ante la mayor demanda de Cloud, backlog y entorno favorable; y el margen terminal hasta 28,5% (vs 26,6% anterior) por la desinversión de Qualtrics, lo que supone un +17% en P.O. Por ello, cotizando un +26% PER vs media 5 años, sin catalizadores y el “empujón” por las dinámicas de IA que deja a la acción en máximos, recomendamos VENDER.

11/03/2024 1 ES

Underlying

SAP SE

SAP is engaged in selling licenses for software solutions and related support services. Co. derives its revenue from fees charged to its customers for the use of its cloud solutions and for licensing of on-premise software products and solutions. Additional sources of revenue are support, professional services, development, training, and other services. Co. has more than 300,000 customers in over 180 countries. Co.'s SAP HANA platform holds the ability to simplify both the user experience and the overall IT landscape, creating a smaller data footprint, increased system throughput, and easier data processing and operation.

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DE0007164600 Germany

Provider

Sabadell

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Analysts

Alfonso Mariategui

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INTESA SANPAOLO: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 3.932 M euros (+20,8% vs +19,9% BS(e) y +20,5% consenso); M. Bruto: 6.732 M euros (+11,1% vs +8,4% BS(e) y +9,2% consenso); M. Neto: 4.162 M euros (+18,2% vs +9,8% BS(e) y +11,8% consenso); BDI: 2.301 M euros (+17,6% vs +13,4% BS(e) y n/a consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 3.932 M euros (-1,6% vs -2,4% BS(e) y -1,9% consenso); M. Bruto: 6.732 M euros (+5,6% vs +3,0% BS(e) y +3,8% consenso); M. Neto: 4.162 M euros (+43,3% vs +33,1% BS(e) y +35,6% consenso); BDI: 2.301 M euros (+43,6% vs +38,5% BS(e) y n/a consenso).

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Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Bruto: 6.645 M euros (-0,4% vs n/a BS(e) y -4,1% consenso); M. Neto: 1.665 M euros (+3,2% vs n/a BS(e) y -14,5% consenso); BDI: 680,0 M euros (-21,7% vs n/a BS(e) y -44,9% consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Bruto: 6.645 M euros (+11,5% vs n/a BS(e) y +7,4% consenso); M. Neto: 1.665 M euros (+29,0% vs n/a BS(e) y +6,9% consenso); BDI: 680,0 M euros (+58,1% en 4T'23 vs n/a BS(e) y +11,2% consenso).

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Ventas 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ingresos total grupo: 33.972 M euros (+6,8% vs +4,7% BS(e) y +6,1% consenso); No Vida: 19.754 M euros (+6,5% vs +4,7% BS(e) y +5,5% consenso); Vida: 9.014 M euros (+7,4% vs +4,2% BS(e) y +7,4% consenso); Salud: 9.014 M euros (+9,5% vs +6,0% BS(e) y +6,2% consenso); Gestión de activos: 385 M euros (2,7% vs 3,2% BS(e) y 0,0% de consenso).

EUR 100.00

May 3, 2024 May 3, 2024 1 ES

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SAP: NUBES Y CLAROS; CAMBIO DE RECOMENDACIÓN A VENDER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

SAP SE: 1 director

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/23/2024

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SOCIÉTÉ GÉNÉRALE: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

AXA: VENTAS 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

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