SOLARIA: 1Q’22 RESULTS PREVIEW (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
SLR will release its 1Q’22 results on Monday, 30 May (conference call at 18:00 CET), where it will also update its 2022-25 Strategic Plan. We do not expect a significant amount of MW to have been installed, and thus we expect sales to come in at €~31 M in 1Q’22 (+36% vs. 1Q’21) and EBITDA to be near €~22 M (+12% vs. 1Q’21). Another key will be to see the impact from the macroeconomic scenario. Beyond this, in the update to its Strategic Plan’22-25 we expect SLR to provide greater visibility. Following the stock’s rally on the year (+31% in absolute terms; +30% vs. IBEX and +38% vs. sector) and since the Ukraine war broke out (+72% in absolute terms; +69% vs. IBEX and +61% vs. sector), we keep our T.P. Under Revision (vs. the previous € 21.70/sh.), awaiting higher visibility. To reach an upside potential higher than +20%, we would have to assume at least 2,500 MW of new installed capacity in our model going forward (21% of the 12,000 MW from the Plan through 2030) and an increase of only +10% in Capex/MW from 2022 on (€ 0.44 M/MW vs. € 0.4 M/MW currently and BS(e)).