EEM has struggled to make progress in recent weeks, but the uptrend is intact: no short-term sell signal.
Short-Term (days/weeks) : uptrend intact
EEM was higher last week, turning up at trend support from the fall 2022 low as
Daily OB/OS momentum turned up at modestly overbought.
At the close on Friday, EEM was near trend resistance from the 2023 high; Daily
OB/OS momentum was modestly overbought.
EEM has struggled to make progress in recent weeks, but the uptrend is intact: no
short-term sell signal
See Daily OB/OS Charts, attached, page 9.
Intermediate-Term (weeks/months): positive
GEM intermediate breadth and momentum indicators were mixed week-on-week at
the close on Thursday:
Hang Seng, Taiwan, Korea and India Intermediate Term Indicators and Money
Flow of the Average India Stock fell,
Singapore Intermediate Term Indicator and Money Flow of the Average Hang
Seng and Singapore Stock were unchanged and
Money Flow of the Average Taiwan Stock improved.
India and Korea Intermediate Term Indicators were sharply lower.
GEM equity indices were also mixed week-on-week at the close on Thursday:
MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), Taiwan, Philippines and Korea improved,
Hang Seng, HSCEI, Shanghai, Mexico, Singapore, Turkey, Johannesburg and
India fell and
ASX and Jakarta were unchanged.
Taiwan was sharply higher; Mexico and Turkey were sharply lower. See Weekly
Charts, attached.
Unchanged GEM intermediate indicators and equity indices suggests a still-positive
intermediate trend (weeks/months) for GEM equity indices.
DJIA/NY SE ITI analog models still look relevant and point to strength to early or
late June for key US equity indices before the next short-term pullback: this looks
bullish for GEM equity indices too. See analog charts, pages 2-3.
Key take-away: the intermediate outlook for GEM equities (weeks/months)
remains positive.