No clear sell signal for EEM: would give the short-term outlook (days/weeks) the benefit of the doubt.
Short-Term (days/weeks) : no sell signal
EEM fell last week, turning down at trend resistance from the January high as Daily
OB/OS momentum turned down at moderately overbought.
At the close on Friday, EEM was again testing trend support from the January 2022
low; Daily OB/OS momentum was turning down at modestly overbought.
No clear sell signal for EEM: would give the short-term outlook (days/weeks) the
benefit of the doubt.
See Daily OB/OS Charts, attached, page 9.
Intermediate-Term (weeks/months): positive
GEM intermediate breadth and momentum indicators were all unchanged or higher
week-on-week at the close on Thursday:
India, Korea and Taiwan Intermediate Term Indicators and Money Flow of the
Average India Stock improved and
Hang Seng and Singapore Intermediate Term Indicators and Money Flow of the
Average Singapore, Hang Seng and Taiwan Stock were unchanged.
GEM equity indices were mostly lower week-on-week at the close on Thursday,
including MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), Hang Seng, HSCEI, Shanghai, Korea,
Taiwan, Philippines, Johannesburg and Singapore. India, Turkey, Bovespa and
ASX improved; Jakarta fell. Bovespa and Turkey accelerated higher. See Weekly
Charts, attached.
Higher EEM accompanied by mixed GEM intermediate indicators suggests a still-positive
intermediate outlook (weeks/months) for EEM.
DJIA/NY SE ITI analog models suggest strength to early/late June for US equity
indices : this looks like a reasonable scenario for GEM equity indices too : see
analog charts, pages 2-3.
Key take-away: the intermediate outlook for GEM equities (weeks/months)
remains positive.