Short-Term (days/weeks) : EEM higher (was neutral)
Short-Term (days/weeks) : higher (was neutral)
EEM fell again last week, breaching April/May price support as Daily OB/OS momentum turned negative.
At the end of the week, EEM was turning up at trend support from the October 2022 low; Daily OB/OS momentum was stalling at modestly oversold.
The Number of NYSE Stocks with Weekly Money Flow Turning Positive suggests a short-term low for the key US equity market next week (see US Weekly Charts, page 4).
Accompanied by EEM strength from longer-term trend support, this looks like a short-term buy signal (days/weeks) for EEM.
However, the intermediate outlook (weeks/months) for developed and emerging equity markets is now negative (see below and US Report), suggesting that short-term price strength now will likely be countertrend.
See Daily OB/OS Charts, attached, page 9.
Intermediate-Term (weeks/months): negative (was neutral)
GEM intermediate breadth and momentum indicators were all lower or unchanged week-on-week at the close on Thursday:
Hang Seng, India and Taiwan Intermediate Term Indicators and Money Flow of the Average India and Taiwan Stock fell and
Singapore Intermediate Term Indicator and Money Flow of the Average Hang Seng and Singapore Stock were unchanged.
Korea was closed.
GEM equity indices were mixed again week-on-week at the close on Thursday:
MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), Hang Seng, HSCEI, Shanghai, Jakarta, Mexico, Johannesburg and ASX fell and
Taiwan, Turkey, Bovespa, Philippines and Singapore were higher.
See Weekly Charts, attached.
Lower or unchanged GEM intermediate indicators accompanied by renewed weakness in EEM suggests a negative intermediate outlook (weeks/months) for EEM (was neutral). The intermediate outlook for the key US equity market is now negative too.
The intermediate outlook for GEM equities (weeks/months) is now negative (was neutral).