Short-Term (days/weeks) : EEM still struggling, now neutral (was positive)
Short-Term (days/weeks) : EEM still struggling, now neutral (was positive)
EEM fell last week, turning down at trend resistance from the 2023 high as Daily OB/OS momentum turned down at modestly overbought.
At the end of the week, EEM had breached spring/summer 2023 price lows and was testing trend support from the October 2022 low; Daily OB/OS momentum was neutral.
EEM price at support and Daily OB/OS momentum at neutral suggests a neutral short-term outlook (days/weeks) at worst for EEM; key US equity indices are also mostly at support and the Number of NYSE Stocks with Weekly Money Flow Turning Positive suggests a short-term low for US equities in 1-2 weeks (see US Weekly Charts, page 4).
However, the intermediate outlook (weeks/months) for the key US equity market is now negative (see US Report) suggesting short-term strength will be limited in duration. On balance then, the short-term outlook for EEM is now neutral (was positive). See Daily OB/OS Charts, attached, page 9 .
Intermediate-Term (weeks/months): still neutral
GEM intermediate breadth and momentum indicators were mixed again week-on-week at the close on Thursday:
Taiwan and India Intermediate Term Indicators and Money Flow of the Average Hang Seng and India Stock fell,
Hang Seng Intermediate Term Indicator and Money Flow of the Average Taiwan and Singapore Stock were unchanged and
Korea and Singapore Intermediate Term Indicators were higher.
GEM equity indices were mostly lower week-on-week at the close on Thursday, including MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), Hang Seng, HSCEI, Shanghai, Korea, Taiwan, ASX, Philippines, Bovespa, Johannesburg and Singapore; Jakarta, Turkey and Mexico were higher.
See Weekly Charts, attached.
Mixed GEM intermediate indicators and lower EEM suggests a negative intermediate outlook (weeks/months) for EEM. The intermediate outlook for the key US equity market is now negative too which should weigh on EEM.
The intermediate outlook for GEM equities (weeks/months) is now negative (was neutral).