Short-Term (days/weeks) : further weakness for EEM, use as a buying opportunity
Short-Term (days/weeks) : further weakness for EEM, use as a buying opportunity
EEM was slightly lower last week as Daily OB/OS momentum turned up at neutral.
At the close on Friday, EEM was turning up at trend support from the January 2022 low; Daily OB/OS momentum was modestly overbought.
This looks like a possible short-term buy signal for EEM; however, it looks like the short-term downtrend in the key US equity market has to further to run and US analogs point to further weakness to August : see analog chart, page 2.
A breach of $38.95 support for EEM would suggest a similar scenario for GEM equities. See Daily OB/OS Charts, attached, page 9.
Intermediate-Term (weeks/months): still positive
GEM intermediate breadth and momentum indicators were mixed week-on-week at the close on Thursday :
Hang Seng, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan Intermediate Term Indicators and Money Flow of the Average Hang Seng and Taiwan Stock fell,
Money Flow of the Average Singapore Stock was unchanged and
India Intermediate Term Indicators and Money Flow of the Average India Stock were higher.
GEM equity indices were also mixed week-on-week at the close on and Thursday :
MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), Hang Seng, Taiwan, Korea, Philippines, Johannesburg, Mexico, Bovespa and Singapore fell,
India and Turkey improved.
See Weekly Charts, attached.
Mixed intermediate indicators and GEM equity indices suggests a still-intact intermediate trend (weeks/months) for GEM equities.
The updated DJIA/NYSE ITI analog model (troughs in the 30% range) suggests a positive intermediate trend for the key US equity market: this should be supportive for GEM equity indices. See analog chart, page 2.
Key take-away: the intermediate outlook for GEM equities (weeks/months) remains positive.