Short-Term (days/weeks) : no sell signal, use possible weakness to $41.50 (-1%) as a buying opportunity for EEM
Short-Term (days/weeks) : no sell signal, use possible weakness to
$41.50 (-1%) as a buying opportunity for EEM
EEM was sharply higher last week, making new short-term highs as Daily OB/OS
momentum turned up at moderately overbought.
At the close on Friday, EEM was testing short-term trend resistance from the April
price highs; Daily OB/OS momentum was moderately overbought.
No short-term sell signal for EEM (days/weeks). US analogs suggest possible
choppiness over the next two weeks which may feed through to GEM. Use possible
modest weakness to $41.50 (1% below Friday’s close) as a buying opportunity.
See Daily OB/OS Charts, attached, page 9.
Intermediate-Term (weeks/months): still positive
GEM intermediate breadth and momentum indicators were mixed week-on-week at
the close on Thursday :
Hang Seng Intermediate Term Indicator and Money Flow of the Average Hang
Seng Stock were higher,
India and Korea Intermediate Term Indicators fell and
Taiwan and Singapore Intermediate Term Indicators and Money Flow of the
Average India, Singapore and Taiwan Stock were unchanged.
GEM equity indices were also mixed week-on-week at the close on Thursday:
MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), Mexico, Turkey, Philippines, Hang Seng,
HSCEI, Shanghai, ASX, Singapore, Jakarta, Bovespa and Korea improved,
India and Johannesburg fell and
Taiwan was unchanged.
See Weekly Charts, attached.
Mixed intermediate GEM breadth and momentum indicators and GEM equity
indices suggests a still-positive intermediate trend (weeks/months) for GEM equity
indices.
Also, the DJIA /NYSE ITI analog model of troughs in the 30% range suggests a
positive intermediate trend for the key US equity market: this should be supportive
for GEM equity indices. See analog chart, page 2.
Key take-away: the inter mediate outlook for GEM equities (weeks/months) is
still positive.