Up to BUY - excessive share price fall

Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations

Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.

AF Gruppen (Sell, TP: NOK120.00) - Q1 results are secondary

Given the E4 Bypass Stockholm project cancellation and the filing of fraud charges with the Swedish police by Trafikverket, our focus will be on the company’s position in Sweden, not its Q1 results. AF Gruppen has released limited details on the Trafikverket situation and has denied the charges. Ahead of the results (due at 07:00 CET on 15 May), we are below consensus on Q1e EBIT, despite being at the consensus midpoint. We reiterate our SELL and NOK120 target price.

AC ENERGY CORP increases its risk exposure and slightly lowers to Neutral

AC ENERGY CORP (PH), a company active in the Alternative Electricity industry, now shows a lower overall rating. The independent financial analyst theScreener confirms the fundamental rating of 4 out of 4 stars. However, the market behaviour deterioration triggered a risk requalification, which can be thus described as moderately risky. theScreener believes that increased risk justifies the general evaluation downgrade to Neutral. As of the analysis date April 8, 2022, the closing price was PHP 8.54 and its expected value was estimated at PHP 8.53.

With a more favourable environment, VUKILE PROPERTY improves to Positive

VUKILE PROPERTY (ZA), a company active in the Real Estate Holding & Development industry, is favoured by a more supportive environment. The independent financial analyst theScreener has confirmed the fundamental rating of the title, which shows 4 out of 4 stars, as well as its unchanged, defensive market behaviour. The title leverages a more favourable environment and raises its general evaluation to Positive. As of the analysis date April 5, 2022, the closing price was ZAR 13.72 and its potential was estimated at ZAR 15.16.

An unfavourable environment weighs on ROYAL BAFOKENG PLATINUM, which sees a downgrade to Slightly Negative

The independent financial analyst theScreener just requalified the general evaluation of ROYAL BAFOKENG PLATINUM (ZA), active in the Platinum & Precious Metals industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 0 out of 4 stars and its market behaviour is seen as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the unfavourable environment weighs on the sector and penalises the company, which sees a downgrade to its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date April 5, 2022, the closing price was ZAR 159.78 and its target price was estimated at ZAR 127.50.