Trades - Substantial upside risk to rates
​After tail risk related to ‘Brexit’ has driven interest rates much lower, we are now concerned about substantial and potentially sudden upside risk to rates and yields. There is not only the potential for Brexit risk to dissipate after the referendum on 23th of June, but our real-time measures also point to improved global cyclical conditions. In China, construction activity has bottomed out, while trade and industrial production have stabilized. In the US, there has been steady build up of inflation pressure, while growth and credit have shown broad strength.
ThirdYear Capital is a provider of global macro strategy and portfolios, focusing on systematic countercyclical investing.
For additional information and contact, please refer to our website: http://third-year.com/
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