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Topline Research
EUR 4.29 For Business Accounts Only

Engro Fertilizer (EFERT): 2Q2019 EPS Rs2.38, down 2.5%YoY (-21%QoQ) (Below expectations)

  • Engro Fertilizer (EFERT) posted earnings of Rs3.2bn (EPS Rs2.38) down 2.5% YoY mainly on the back of higher other operating expenses and finance cost. On cumulative basis during 1HCY19 earning remained flat at Rs7.18bn (EPS: Rs5.38).
  • Consolidated gross margins of the company increased by 2.3ppts YoY to 31.5% in 2Q2019 owing to high retention prices on urea and lower proportion of DAP sales.
  • Despite reduction in volumetric sales by 8-9% YoY, the company achieved 18% YoY growth in revenues on the back of price hike in Urea.
  • Other Income recorded at Rs1.4bn compared to Rs509mn in 2QCY18 on account of sale of certain assets, as per our channel check. We await management clarity on this front.
  • Effective tax rate of the company clocked in at 48% (vs. 33% in SPLY) in consolidated business and 34% in core urea business (vs. 29% in SPLY) during 2Q2019 owing to partial reversal of  tax credit which the company utilized in previous quarters (close to Rs2bn) amid decline in future tax rates by Govt., we believe.
  • Financial charges increased by 237% YoY to Rs1.2bn on the pretext of increase in the policy rate and borrowings.
  • The company also announced first interim cash dividend of Rs5/share in 2Q2019.
  • We flag, 1) PKR depreciation, 2) regulatory control on fertilizer industry, 3) poor crop season and 4) unfavorable decision related to GIDC as key risks to our earnings/valuation forecast.

 

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Topline Securities Limited
Topline Securities Limited

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