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Topline Flash Note: Habib Bank Limited (HBL): Conference Call takeaways

  • Habib Bank Limited’s (HBL) deposits have increased by 4% QoQ while YTD growth clocked in at 12%. Current Accounts saw a growth of 1% QoQ, while Fixed accounts increased by 6% QoQ. As a result, CASA stands at 82% as of Sep-2020 (vs. 83% in Dec-2019).
  • The bank’s investment book as of Sep-2020 constitutes (1) 37% of T-bills vs. 38% in 2Q2020 (44% in Dec-2019) and (2) 48% of PIBs vs. 48% in 2Q2020 (45% in Dec-2019). IDR has increased to 65% as of 3Q2020, from 60% in 2Q2020. Revaluation surplus on the investment book stands at Rs19bn, down from Rs30bn in Jun-2020.
  • The loan book has declined by 2% YTD due to lower commodity financing and corporate lending. The bank feels that there may be growth in 4Q2020, which could potentially help the bank close the year on the same level as last year. Although the overall loan book has declined, the focus on lending particularly in the consumer segment has paid off with the bank reaching Rank 2 in Auto Financing.
  • The bank’s management expects single digit growth in loan book for 2021 as industries recover following COVID-19. The view on the loan book stems from a survey conducted by the bank of ~350 clients. In the survey, 80% of the responses indicated that the production and sales levels will be back to pre-COVID levels by the end of this year.
  • The bank booked a Rs3.8bn provision charge under loans for 3Q2020, bringing 9M2020 provisioning for loans to Rs8.8bn. These provisions are precautionary despite the improving outlook on loans for next year.
  • Cost to Income has come down further to 58% for 9M2020, from 61% in from 1H2020. The longer term target for the bank is to keep the ratio below 50%, which they feel can be achieved in ~2 years.
  • Dividend retention for Jun-2020 and Sep-2020 quarters has helped improve the bank’s Tier-I CAR, which as of Sep-2020 stood at 13.8%, while Total CAR was at 17.7%.

The bank has remitted additional capital to the Beijing branch, which has now gained approval from all parties. The branch is expected to be fully operational by Nov-2020, where focus will be laid on SOEs and organizations in a bid to expand footprint in the East.

Underlying
Habib Bank Limited

Habib Bank Limited is engaged in commercial banking and asset management related services in Pakistan and overseas. The Bank's segments include Branch Banking, which consists of loans, deposits and other banking services to agriculture, consumer, small and medium-sized enterprise (SME), and commercial customers; Corporate Banking, which consists of lending for project finance, trade finance and working capital to corporate customers and it also provides investment banking services, including services provided in connection with mergers and acquisitions; Treasury, which consists of trading, fixed income, equity, derivatives and foreign exchange businesses, and it also includes credit, lending and funding activities with professional market counterparties; International Banking, which is engaged in monitoring and reporting purposes and consists of its operations outside of Pakistan, and Head Office/Others. It operates in Pakistan; Europe, Middle East and America, and Asia and Africa.

Provider
Topline Securities Limited
Topline Securities Limited

Topline Securities is one of the fastest-growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong Equity Brokerage, Economic/ Equity Research, Commodity Trading and Corporate Finance & Advisory functions.

Topline Securities has been endowed with numerous awards by renowned international financial organizations. The highlights of which consists of the award for ‘Best Local Brokerage House of Pakistan’ by Asiamoney Brokers Poll (the largest Asia-focused equity services provider poll) in 2016 and ‘Best Equity Brokerage House’ by CFA Society Pakistan in 2015.

Previously, Topline Securities held the title for ‘Best Brokerage House’ for 4 consecutive years (2011-2014) by Asiamoney Brokers Poll. Other awards include the ‘Best Salesperson’ award by Asiamoney for 6 consecutive years (2011-2016), the ‘Arabia Fast Growth 500’ award and ‘Pakistan Fast Growth 100’ award in 2012 and 2013 by AllWorld Network.

JCR-VIS, a credit rating agency providing independent rating services in Pakistan has assigned initial rating of “A-2” for short term and “A” for long term to Topline Securities. Topline Securities is registered as Underwriter, Book Runner and Research Entity with Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP).

Analysts
Fawad Basir

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