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Pakistan Telecommunication Co. (PTC): 2Q2018 EPS Rs0.22, -59% YoY (+12% QoQ); DPS Rs1/share (In-line with expectations)

  • PTC posted an EPS of Rs0.22 in 2Q2018, broadly in-line with our expectations. Earnings were down by 59% primarily owing to 132% YoY increase in financial charges and other income down by 73% YoY.
  • PTC’s core revenues witnessed marginal decrease of 1% while consolidated revenues were up 3% YoY in the 2Q2018.
  • As of May 2018, Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) declined to 1.58mn, down 0.8% since Mar 2018 while Evolution Data Optimized (EVDO) subscribers declined by 6.2% during the same period to 0.43mn. As of May 2018, total broadband subscribers in Pakistan reached 57.7mn where Mobile BB stood at 55.4mn.
  • Growth in PTC’s 2Q2018 consolidated revenues was supported by increase in revenue of its subsidiary company (Ufone). Ufone reported revenues of Rs12.8bn, up 9% YoY. To point out, Ufone’s NGMS showed growth of 4.6% to 6.4mn subscribers as of May 2018, compared to end of last quarter in Mar 2018.
  • The significant increase in financial charges during the outgoing quarter was mainly due to exchange losses incurred on Ufone, as per our channel checks. This was on the back of currency devaluation.
  • As of May 2018, Pakistan’s annual cellular subscribers reached 150mn where Ufone’s market share stood at 14%.
  • We believe 1) increased competition in mobile subscribers to impact Ufone’s subscriber base, especially by Zong (CMPAK), 2) decline in EvDO & DSL subscribers 3) decline in the core operations of the company which is the fixed line, as key risks associated with PTC.   

 

Underlying
Pakistan Telecommunications Corp. Ltd.

Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited. Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL) is a Pakistan-based telecommunication operator. The Company offers personal and business services. Its personal services include voice, such as Freedom Unlimited Package, Freedom Plus Package, U Freedom Package, PTCL Utalk Offer, SmartLink, Vfone Tariffs and Vfone Ring Back Tone Service; broadband Internet, such as Lagataar Offer, Broadband Packages, Power Pack, PTCL Videocon and iSentry; wireless broadband, such as Charji EVO, EVO Wingle 9.3, EVO Nitro Cloud, EVO Wireless Upgrade Offer, EVO 3.1 Packages and EVO PSTN Offer, and smart television, such as Smart television and Smart television application. Its business services' products and services include PTCL Cloud (Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS)), PTCL Smart Cloud (Software as a Service (Saas)), managed services, and carrier and wholesale. Its solutions include hosted solution and business connectivity. It also offers international business and business communication services.

Provider
Topline Securities Limited
Topline Securities Limited

Topline Securities is one of the fastest-growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong Equity Brokerage, Economic/ Equity Research, Commodity Trading and Corporate Finance & Advisory functions.

Topline Securities has been endowed with numerous awards by renowned international financial organizations. The highlights of which consists of the award for ‘Best Local Brokerage House of Pakistan’ by Asiamoney Brokers Poll (the largest Asia-focused equity services provider poll) in 2016 and ‘Best Equity Brokerage House’ by CFA Society Pakistan in 2015.

Previously, Topline Securities held the title for ‘Best Brokerage House’ for 4 consecutive years (2011-2014) by Asiamoney Brokers Poll. Other awards include the ‘Best Salesperson’ award by Asiamoney for 6 consecutive years (2011-2016), the ‘Arabia Fast Growth 500’ award and ‘Pakistan Fast Growth 100’ award in 2012 and 2013 by AllWorld Network.

JCR-VIS, a credit rating agency providing independent rating services in Pakistan has assigned initial rating of “A-2” for short term and “A” for long term to Topline Securities. Topline Securities is registered as Underwriter, Book Runner and Research Entity with Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP).

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