Allergy Therapeutics: Manufacturing pause takes it toll on revenues
Allergy Therapeutics has quantified the potential near-term revenue impact from the voluntary UK manufacturing pause. Whilst this is only expected to last around six weeks, FY23 revenues are expected to be 13-18% below current consensus expectations. This is unfortunately due to the interruption occurring during the peak production period, which is undoubtedly disappointing given management guidance of a return to near double-digit growth in FY23. This setback puts increasing pressure on the pipeline to deliver next year, with important readouts expected for both VLP Peanut and Grass MATA MPL; both are expected to initiate key clinical trials this year. Our valuation is lowered to £260.8m, or 38.4p/share, with the commercial business DCF reduced to £45.9m or 6.8p/share and our pipeline NPV unchanged.Allergy Therapeutics is a pharmaceutical group focused on allergy vaccination. Co. mainly sell its products in European countries and its pipeline of products in clinical development includes vaccines for grass, tree and house dust mite, as well as a peanut allergy vaccine in preclinical development. Co. sells a range of aluminium-free allergy vaccines and diagnostics. Co. sells both injectable and sublingual (oral) formats. The commonly prescribed are those for the treatment of pollen related allergies, particularly for allergies to grasses, weeds and trees. Co.'s vaccines trade under various brand names depending on the market, e.g. Pollinex Quattro, Polligoid and TA Graser Top.
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