Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

Han’s Laser Technology Industry Group (002008 CH): 1Q24 bolstered by i...

Han’s Laser’s 1Q24 reported net profit surged 594% yoy due to a one-off investment gain of Rmb1.05b from the disposal of a subsidiary. Stripping out non-core items, core net profit was below our and market expectations at a Rmb6m loss, due to a margin squeeze and deteriorating product mix. Going forward, we remain cautious on its recovery due to sluggish end demand, as well as sustained pricing pressure on PCB equipment. Maintain HOLD and keep target price at Rmb17.10.

Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK): 1Q24: Switching to risk-on ...

HKEX reported 1Q24 earnings of HK$2.97b, 6.7% ahead of our expectations. The strong earnings beat was due to better external portfolio gains, higher LME trading fees and lower D&A expenses, partly offset by higher opex. We are now more optimistic about the bourse operator’s earnings outlook on an encouraging headline ADT recovery and resilient NII in a longer-than-expected high-rate environment. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of HK$285.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK): 1Q24 earnings spike 17.5x on margin recove...

GWM posted upbeat 1Q24 results with revenue and net profit growing 48%/17.5x yoy to Rmb42.86b/Rmb3,228m respectively. These far outpace the 25% sales volume growth, due to ASP hikes and margin improvement from the optimisation of sales mix and export growth. Going forward, we expect margins to fall back to normal levels, based on the weakening sales momentum domestically. Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$10.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

EVE Energy (300014 CH): 1Q24 earnings in line while revenue misses. Ma...

EVE’s 1Q24 net profit came in at Rmb1,066m (-7% yoy/+70% qoq), vs our full-year 2024 estimate of Rmb4,010m and consensus forecast of Rmb5,029m, in line. Revenue fell 17% yoy and 30% qoq to Rmb9.3b in 1Q24 due to lower lithium-ion battery prices and slowing battery sales growth. We maintain our 2024-26 net profit forecasts of Rmb4.01b/Rmb3.99b/Rmb4.09b respective

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

ASMPT (522 HK): 1Q24: Solid results, more positive updates to advanced...

ASMPT’s 1Q24 results are better than expected thanks to strong margins, but 2Q24’s revenue guidance was below our and consensus estimates due to sluggish sales of mainstream tools. Nevertheless, the advanced packaging business remains robust, and we see more positive developments with TCB and HB tools, including progress in leading foundry clients, new order wins, and demo shipments to new HBM clients. Maintain BUY and trim target price to HK$120.00.

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Strategy - Alpha Picks: Greater China October Conviction List

As we continue to expect market volatility, we maintain exposure to names that have resilient earnings or are expected to enjoy an earnings growth recovery, such as Ausnutria Dairy (1717 HK), CSPC (1093 HK) and Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and add PICC P&C (2328 HK) to our BUY list.

Gary Kong Tsz Yeung ... (+2)
  • Gary Kong Tsz Yeung
  • Tham Mun Hon

China Strategy - The End Of Cycles?

The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop have fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors in our BUY list.

Gary Kong Tsz Yeung ... (+2)
  • Gary Kong Tsz Yeung
  • Tham Mun Hon

China Strategy: The end of cycles?

The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop has fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors into our BUY list.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee

Greater China Daily - Friday, April 5, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. Sector Automobile: Weekly: Prefer high value-added automotive part companies. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Giordano International (709 HK/BUY/HK$2.09/Target: HK$2.81): SGM result: Chairman removed; Colin Currie appo...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+7)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, April 3, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Eyeing re-rating for refrigerant suppliers as AC dealers front-load for peak sales in 2Q24. Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$4.85/Target: HK$6.00) 2023: Results in line; expect revenue headwinds to persist in 2024. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$8.44/Target: HK$10.60) 2023: Results in line; expect an upbeat 1H24 performance. Maintain BUY. Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,713.99/Target: Rmb2,488.00) 2023: Earnings up ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, April 2, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI First expansion in six months. Sector Aviation Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in profitability in 2024 with moderate international travel recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Macau Gaming Mar 24 GGR up 6% mom; May 24 Golden Week a potential catalyst. Results China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$3.68/Target: HK$4.43) 2023: Results in line; healthy channel inventory and improved operating efficiency to drive growth. Upgrade to BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.4...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 28, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BYD Company (1211 HK/SELL/HK$201.60/Target: HK$140.00) 4Q23: Earnings up 19% yoy but down 17% qoq, in line. Management guides for flat earnings in 2024. Maintain SELL. Target price: HK$140.00. China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$17.08/Target: HK$22.50) 2023: Missed estimates on one-off loss; weak demand to persist in the near term. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$30.95/Target: HK$44.00) 2023: Rise to the occasion. Country Garden Services (6098 HK/HOLD/HK$5.27...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+5)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 7, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Healthcare ICL: Twin giants continue to stay ahead of the competition. Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$89.20/Target: HK$116.00) 4Q23: Earnings beat; US$3b buyback plan. Vague visibility on 2024 outlook and 3P monetisation. TRADERS’ CORNER Yihai International Holding Ltd. (1579 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$12.00-12.50 Xinyi Glass Holdings Limited (868 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$8.30-8.50

Jo Yee Ng ... (+9)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Terence Chiu
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, November 14, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50) Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target mainta...

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