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Quan Cao
  • Quan Cao

AVIATION SECTOR 2025 – FIRM STEPS OF GROWTH

The aviation industry has demonstrated a strong recovery in 2024, following the negative impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and escalating global inflation between 2020 and 2023. Air travel demand has returned to its pre-pandemic growth despite constraints in capacity. Airfreight volumes have also seen positive trends, supported by a recovery in demand from the low base of 2023 and a shift from sea freight to air freight amid rising ocean freight rates. The robust productivity growth has highlight...

01/21/25 January 21, 2025 20 EN
Trang To
  • Trang To

HDB: Growth prospects supported by the mandatory acquisition of Dong A...

• On January 17, 2025, HDB officially received the mandatory transfer of Dong A Bank (DAB) after preparing financial resources since 2022. • We expect HDB to continue maintaining growth in credit scale and market share in the industry, thanks to the incentive mechanisms from the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) for commercial banks receiving mandatory transfer. In addition, HDB will be supported by the SBV to grow its total assets and profitability through the flexible use of lending and investment ...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 7 EN
Phuong Nguyen
  • Phuong Nguyen

MOVE FORWARD

The market has made an effort to overcome the disputed area of 1,243 points and expand the recovery. Liquidity decreased compared to the previous session, showing that the current supply pressure is not large. Although liquidity is still low, the market's ability to increase is still maintained quite well. With recent support signals, the market is likely to continue to be supported and move towards the area of 1,253 - 1,260 points in the near future. This area is quite important, the supply...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 10 EN
Phuong Nguyen
  • Phuong Nguyen

HESITATING

The market encountered difficulties at the 1,253 points area, the support area that the market lost on January 6, 2025, and retreated slightly with the Star candlestick. The current hesitant signal is the market's reaction when testing the 1,253 points resistance area and has not had a major negative impact on the market's recovery efforts in recent sessions. It is expected that the market will continue to challenge the 1,253 points area in the next trading session and still has the opportun...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 10 EN
Hien Le
  • Hien Le

Fisheries Sector in 2025 – Unpredictable Fluctuations

• The export value of pangasius in 2024 reached $2 billion (+9% YoY), driven by a 16% increase in production volume despite average selling prices being 6% lower than the same period last year. The strong export growth was mainly attributed to the U.S. market (+29% YoY), while the Chinese market slightly declined by 1% YoY, and the EU market saw a marginal increase of 1% YoY. Average selling prices in the U.S./China/EU markets were respectively -4%/-14%/-5% YoY. • The total export value of the ...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 10 EN
My Tran
  • My Tran

Update on monetary market in Oct 2023

Credit growth for the whole year is estimated at 12%. Interbank interest rates increased again after the most intensive net withdrawal ever from the SBV. The dong continues to depreciate, but the pressure is still under control

10/26/23 October 26, 2023 7 EN
Lam Nguyen
  • Lam Nguyen

Macroeconomics Report - June 2023: GDP GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LO...

·         Expecting slow 2Q GDP growth. ·         A review of some policies removing difficulties for real estate and corporate bonds and an expansion of monetary policy.

06/06/23 June 6, 2023 16 EN
My Tran
  • My Tran

Update on monetary market in March 2023

Liquidity is still abundant, the SBV stops withdrawing money for 91-day term. Lower interest rates will help improve credit growth. Impact of Fed rate hike in March meeting.

03/27/23 March 27, 2023 5 EN
My Tran
  • My Tran

Comments on the SBV’s cut on the regulatory interest rate

The SBV’s cut on the regulatory interest rate The deposit interest rate cooled down A "timely and thoughtful" policy action in the current macro context

03/15/23 March 15, 2023 5 EN
My Tran
  • My Tran

Update on monetary market in Feb 2023

With abundant liquidity, the SBV net withdrew in Feb 2023. Deposit interest rates fell on a large scale. "Warming up" the real estate market?!

02/27/23 February 27, 2023 5 EN
Phuong Nguyen
  • Phuong Nguyen

6PM Call: Weakness at session-ending

The market continued to test in the overbought zone but also failed.​​​​ It is possible that the market will retreat to the support zone of 1,210 - 1,215 points of the VN-Index before reaching equilibrium. It is expected that the market will need time to fluctuate in the area of 1,210 - 1,240 points before having more specific signals.

09/11/23 September 11, 2023 7 EN
Phuong Nguyen
  • Phuong Nguyen

6PM Call: Movement Divergence

Market retested the old peak area but continued to be blocked and returned to equilibrium. It is possible that market will encounter difficulties and need time to fluctuate in the area of 1,230 - 1,245 points in the near future before there are more specific signals.

09/08/23 September 8, 2023 7 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

6PM Call: The 1,000-point psychological level

The cash flow witnessed the bottom-fishing actions, waiting for the recovery. However, the price trend has not improved and caused investors to fear buying high-price areas. Therefore, the market has not yet confirmed the rescue and still faces a profound downside risk. If the support level around 1,000 +/- 10 points cannot boost VN-Index to rebound, the index may need to return to the support zone around 970.

10/11/22 October 11, 2022 6 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

6PM Call: Efforts to keep balance

Market's downtrend was restrained and created a support signal when VN-Index and VN30-Index retreated to near the support area of ​​1,000 points. The current recovery is still a technical span to test supply and demand and the VN-Index's 1,060 – 1,073 points decrease Gap may still put pressure on the market.

10/10/22 October 10, 2022 6 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

6PM Call: Strong volatility in the end

Market plunged and kept its journey to find a new bottommost near the 1,000-point area. However, market saw a cash flow to buy at low prices in the afternoon, "withdrawal" movement accompanied by an increase in order-matching volume that exceeded the 20-day average. However, the status of trading at high price area has not shown any signs of improvement, market still has not confirmed a solid signal for a quality recovery span.

10/07/22 October 7, 2022 6 EN
Quan Cao
  • Quan Cao

AVIATION SECTOR 2025 – FIRM STEPS OF GROWTH

The aviation industry has demonstrated a strong recovery in 2024, following the negative impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and escalating global inflation between 2020 and 2023. Air travel demand has returned to its pre-pandemic growth despite constraints in capacity. Airfreight volumes have also seen positive trends, supported by a recovery in demand from the low base of 2023 and a shift from sea freight to air freight amid rising ocean freight rates. The robust productivity growth has highlight...

01/21/25 January 21, 2025 20 EN
Trang To
  • Trang To

HDB: Growth prospects supported by the mandatory acquisition of Dong A...

• On January 17, 2025, HDB officially received the mandatory transfer of Dong A Bank (DAB) after preparing financial resources since 2022. • We expect HDB to continue maintaining growth in credit scale and market share in the industry, thanks to the incentive mechanisms from the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) for commercial banks receiving mandatory transfer. In addition, HDB will be supported by the SBV to grow its total assets and profitability through the flexible use of lending and investment ...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 7 EN
Phuong Nguyen
  • Phuong Nguyen

MOVE FORWARD

The market has made an effort to overcome the disputed area of 1,243 points and expand the recovery. Liquidity decreased compared to the previous session, showing that the current supply pressure is not large. Although liquidity is still low, the market's ability to increase is still maintained quite well. With recent support signals, the market is likely to continue to be supported and move towards the area of 1,253 - 1,260 points in the near future. This area is quite important, the supply...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 10 EN
Phuong Nguyen
  • Phuong Nguyen

HESITATING

The market encountered difficulties at the 1,253 points area, the support area that the market lost on January 6, 2025, and retreated slightly with the Star candlestick. The current hesitant signal is the market's reaction when testing the 1,253 points resistance area and has not had a major negative impact on the market's recovery efforts in recent sessions. It is expected that the market will continue to challenge the 1,253 points area in the next trading session and still has the opportun...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 10 EN
Hien Le
  • Hien Le

Fisheries Sector in 2025 – Unpredictable Fluctuations

• The export value of pangasius in 2024 reached $2 billion (+9% YoY), driven by a 16% increase in production volume despite average selling prices being 6% lower than the same period last year. The strong export growth was mainly attributed to the U.S. market (+29% YoY), while the Chinese market slightly declined by 1% YoY, and the EU market saw a marginal increase of 1% YoY. Average selling prices in the U.S./China/EU markets were respectively -4%/-14%/-5% YoY. • The total export value of the ...

01/20/25 January 20, 2025 10 EN
EUR 114.00
SAB Saigon Beer Alc...

SAB - The Giant of Vietnam’s Beer Industry

​“As Vietnam’s largest brewing company, SABECO has various striking advantages among its peers including its well-known brand name and its largest nationwide distribution and production networks. However, the company has seen a slowdown in growth in recent years compared with other competitors, especially with Heineken. However, as many competitors have penetrated into the high-end segment, SABECO’s ability to maintain a high and stable market share in the mid-end segment in the past fou...

SAB SAIGON BEER ALCOHOL BEVERAGE
12/07/16 December 7, 2016 18 EN

6PM Call: Market: Wary - PET and DWG update

​Most of shares mixed and VNIndex struggled at 600 pts. Market stayed balanced most of time. Sellers then became active at banking and financial service stocks such as VCB, BID, CTG, MBB, BVH and SSI. Besides, the declines of other large-cap stocks like VNM and VIC contributed to the sharp drop of market in the afternoon session. As bottom fishers came in late, they only helped to minimize the slip of the indices. At the close, VNIndex lost 4.52 pts and closed lower at 593.96 pts while HNIndex...

04/28/16 April 28, 2016 4 EN

6PM Call: Market: Wary - PET and DWG update

Most of shares mixed and VNIndex struggled at 600 pts. Market stayed balanced most of time. Sellers then became active at banking and financial service stocks such as VCB, BID, CTG, MBB, BVH and SSI. Besides, the declines of other large-cap stocks like VNM and VIC contributed to the sharp drop of market in the afternoon session. As bottom fishers came in late, they only helped to minimize the slip of the indices. At the close, VNIndex lost 4.52 pts and closed lower at 593.96 pts while HNIndex we...

04/27/16 April 27, 2016 4 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

Investment Strategy Report – April 2022: TAILWINDS FROM AGM AND EARNIN...

“Currently, the abundant of money flows led by F0 investors drive up valuation of mid and small-cap stocks rapidly. However, these stocks quickly faced profit taking pressure when business performance remained sluggish as happened in Q4 2021. Therefore, we foresee further correction if there is no improvement over fundamental prospect after AGM season. Moreover, the incentive of authorities to control market makers in high speculative stocks as happened with FLC case is one inherent signal. Ev...

04/05/22 April 5, 2022 28 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

Analyst Pin-board Textile and garment industry – 2022 outlook: Bouncin...

·         Resuming production after 3Q2021 disruptions, we expect that 2022 textile and garment export value will recover strongly, driven by a strong pent-up demand after lockdown in many developed countries. ·         We expect to see high growth for most companies in the industry, but we prefer the ones which completed new factories or have products made from eco-friendly materials.  ·         The market price of textile and garment stocks was adjusted down recently after the strong...

12/24/21 December 24, 2021 6 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

Investment Strategy Report – November 2021: MOVE UP BUT BEWARE OF VOLA...

“The clear reactivation of economic activities in Q4 2021 and supporting packages will be likely to boost market sentiment. Looking forward, we foresee the reactivation of economic activities in fourth quarter based on the aforementioned rationale. The support from Government is pivotal to kick off the economy and stock market as well. The Ministry of Planning and Investment has just submitted to the Government a program for economic recovery and development after the Covid-19 epidemic with a ...

11/08/21 November 8, 2021 29 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

Special Report – Preliminary 2H2021 outlook

MACRO OUTLOOK: THINGS GET WORSE BEFORE THEY GET BETTER Until now, Vietnam has undergone more than 3 months fierce battle with gradually tightening measures from the government to control the outbreak. On the other hand, strict Covid-19 measures are currently posing a threat to the economic recovery. We estimate that economic sectors are running at below 50% capacity due to the fourth outbreak. Vietnam has rolled out the vaccination drive since 8 Mar, which is relative late to most of its pee...

08/15/21 August 15, 2021 400 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

Analyst Pin-board US Announced the Preliminary Results of the Anti-Dum...

The US Department of Commerce on June 3, 2021 announced the preliminary anti-dumping duties on Vietnam’s polyester textured yarn (PTY). STK is taxed at 2.67%. Other Vietnamese companies are taxed at 22.82%. STK produces mainly DTY and FDY yarn, hence is insignificantly affected by the duty.

06/08/21 June 8, 2021 4 EN
Son Tran
  • Son Tran

Analyst Pin-board US Dollar as a risk signal. Is it still working?

US inflation (CPI) data released last week were in line with expectations. The US Dollar (USD) reacted negatively but stocks went up. Decorrelation between risk aversion and a strong USD?

08/17/21 August 17, 2021 6 EN
My Tran
  • My Tran

Update on monetary market in April 2023

TheSBV continues to support liquidity for the banking system. Credit growth is recovering. Comments on Circular 02-03/2023 of the SBV.

04/25/23 April 25, 2023 5 EN
Bernard Lapointe
  • Bernard Lapointe

US: the bond market fears something worse than inflation

The yield curve ended Q1 at its most inverted level since June 1981. The macro impact of the failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and Credit Suisse plus the downgrades of several regional banks has resulted in a crisis of confidence in the banking system.

04/13/23 April 13, 2023 9 EN
My Tran
  • My Tran

Update on monetary market in Jan 2023

The deposit-loan gap is at a record low in 2022. System liquidity was stable in January 2023. We expect 2023’s credit growth to be lower than the target of 14-15%.

01/30/23 January 30, 2023 5 EN
Bernard Lapointe
  • Bernard Lapointe

Global bond yields

Once inflation expectations become entrenched, it's very hard for central banks to control them. In a month – December- dominated by central bank meetings, the end result was a more hawkish impression despite inflation data for November generally surprising to the downside. Bond yields globally have fallen recently but will move back up in 1Q2023.

01/10/23 January 10, 2023 8 EN

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