Report
Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; EME Macro/Strategy – ESI; ETE GA; ALPHA GA; CDR PW; KER PW; PZU PW; KRU PW; WXF AV; PBK RO; ATRS AV; AEGN GA; MPARK TI; CIE PW; BRISA TI; WPL PW; OTP HB; SAB1L LH; ALR PW; MBK PW; SPL PW; BVB RO; NRP NA; MOEX RX

HEADLINES:
• Polish banks: NBP cuts reference rate to 0.1%, implying structural risks for Polish banking sector NEGATIVE
• EME Macro/Strategy: a W-shaped recovery ahead?
• National Bank: 1Q20 - decent numbers and outlook, upside risk for our forecasts POSITIVE
• Alpha Bank: 1Q20 in line, message reassuring POSITIVE
• CD Projekt: 1Q20 - better again, mainly on The Witcher 3, FX supportive
• Kernel: 3Q20 EBITDA 13% above our forecast; FY20E farming segment forecast increased POSITIVE
• PZU: posts big miss, purely on Alior Bank goodwill write-down NEGATIVE
• Kruk: 1Q20 delivery
• Warimpex: 1Q20 - stable income from offices, equity hit by non-cash losses NEUTRAL
• Patria Bank: Romania may allow weather-affected farmers to defer loan payments by 18 months NEGATIVE
• Atrium: proposes a scrip dividend programme, calls EGM POSITIVE
• Aegean Airlines: to apply for loans worth a total of EUR 150m from the Greek banks POSITIVE
• MLP Care: takeaways from the 1Q20 earnings call NEUTRAL
• Ciech: 1Q20 conference call takeaways NEGATIVE
• Brisa: Turkish Goodyear announces further production halt NEGATIVE
• Wirtualna Polska: purchases 10% stake in Nocowanie.pl and delays purchase of remaining 15% NEUTRAL
• Postcards from our virtual EME Financials and Real Estate Conference
• OTP Bank: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• Siauliu Bankas: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• Alior Bank: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• mBank: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• Santander Bank Polska: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• Bucharest Stock Exchange: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• NEPI Rockcastle: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• Moscow Exchange: postcard from our financials and real estate conference
• Polyus: 1Q20E financial results preview (due on 1 June)
• Lukoil: 1Q20E preview - focus on FCF and future guidance (due on 3 June)
Underlyings
Aegean Airlines SA

Aegean Airlines is an airline carrier based in Greece. Co. is engaged in aviation transportation, providing services that concern the transportation of passengers and commodities in the sector of public aviation transportation inside and outside Greece, conducting scheduled and unscheduled flights. Co. provides full service, premium quality short and medium haul services. Co. maintains a network of 145 destinations, 111 international in 45 countries and 34 domestic destinations. Co. is a member of global airline network, the Star Alliance network.

Alior Bank SA

Alior Bank is a universal lending and deposit-taking bank which renders services to individuals, legal persons and other entities which are Polish and foreign persons. Co.'s core activities include maintaining bank accounts, granting loans and advances, issuing banking securities and purchasing and selling foreign currency. Co. also conducts brokerage activities, consulting and financial agency services and renders other financial services.

Atrium European Real Estate Limited

Atrium European Real Estate is engaged in the ownership, management and operation of commercial real estate in the retail sector. Co. primarily operates in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Russia, Hungary and Romania. Co. has two reportable segments: the standing investment segment includes all commercial real estate held to generate rental income for Co.; and the development segment includes all development activities and activities related to land plots. As of Dec 31 2016, the portfolio of standing investments consisted of 59 properties in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Russia, Hungary, and Romania.

Brisa-Bridgestone Sabanci Lastik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

Brisa Bridgestone Sabanci Lastik Sanayi ve Ticaret is engaged in the manufacture and sale of vehicle tires for domestic and foreign brands.

CD Projekt S.A.

CD Projekt is a holding company of the CD PROJEKT Capital Group which conducts its operations in two activity segments: CD PROJEKT RED and GOG.com. CD PROJEKT RED's activities cover the creation and publication of videogames, licensing the associated distribution rights and manufacturing tie-in products which exploit the commercial appeal of brands owned by Co. The activities of GOG Ltd. involve digital distribution of videogames via Co.'s proprietary GOG.com distribution platform, on the basis of contracts signed by GOG Ltd. with producers, IPR holders and external publishers. The platform enables customers to purchase games, remit payment and download game files to their personal devices.

Ciech S.A.

Ciech is engaged in the production, trade and distribution of chemicals as well as comprehensive service activities directed at the domestic and foreign market. The main products sold by Co. are soda ash, TDI, plastics, resins, chemical fertilizers, plant protection chemicals, glass blocks and glass packaging, salt and other chemicals.

Kernel Holding S.A.

Kernel Holding is a holding company. Co.'s is a diversified agribusiness engaged in the production and sale of bottled sunflower oil (sold under brand names Schedry Dar, Stozhar and Chumak Zolota), the production and subsequent export of bulk sunflower oil and meal, the wholesale trade of grain (mainly wheat, barley and corn), farming, and the provision of logistics and transshipment services n the ports of Ilyichevsk, Taman and Mykolaiv. The majority of Co.'s manufacturing facilities are primarily based in Ukraine and Russia. In addition, Co. is a private provider of inland silo services in Ukraine.

MBANK SA

mBank is a provider of comprehensive corporate banking services in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries make up the mBank Group which is engaged in offering financial services. Co.'s service offering includes a comprehensive financial offer tailored to the needs of corporate clients, Private Banking clients, and retail clients. The business activities of Co. is conducted in the following business segments: Retail Banking and Corporates and Markets.

MLP Saglik Hizmetleri AS

MLP Saglik Hizmetleri AS, formerly Medical Park Saglik Hizmetleri AS, is a Turkey-based company engaged in the healthcare sector. The Company operates more than 20 hospitals in more than 10 provinces in Turkey. The Company's medical departments include: Mouth and Dental Health, Brain and Nerve Surgery, Biochemistry, Dermatology, Child Health and Diseases, Physical Therapy and Rehabilitation, Hematology, Check-up, Eye Health and Diseases, Gastroenterology, Cardiac Surgery, Ear-Nose-Throat, Cardiology, Gynecology and Obstetrics, as well as Laboratory Services, among others. The Company's subsidiaries are: Medical Park Gaziantep Hastanesi, Samsun Medikal Grup Ozel Saglik Hizmetleri AS and Sentez Saglik Hizmetleri AS, among others.

Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS PJSC

Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO. Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO (MMVB-RTS OAO) is a Russia-based integrated stock exchange that provides electronic trade organization, clearing and settlements on trades, depository and information services. The Company provides trading and settlement services in such segments of the financial market as foreign exchange (FX) market, federal bonds market, market of derivative financial instruments, cash equities market, corporate and regional fixed income market, commodities market, as well as market for state and municipal orders. The Company was established as a result of the merger between MMVB ZAO and RTS OAO. It operates through six branches and three representative offices. As of February 27, 2013, the Company's major shareholder was the Central bank of the Russian Federation with a stake of 22.47%. In January 24, 2014, the Company sold its whole stake in MMVB-IT ZAO.

National Bank of Greece S.A. ADS

NEPI Rockcastle Plc

NEPI Rockcastle is engaged in developing, acquiring and holding commercial properties, either directly or indirectly through the acquisition of listed equities.

Oil company LUKOIL PJSC Sponsored ADR

OTP Bank Nyrt

OTP Bank is a financial institution based in Hungary. Co. is engaged in retail banking (account management, bankcards and Electronic sevices - OTPdirekt) corporate banking and private banking. In Hungary traditional banking operations are performed by Co. while specialized services, including car leasing, investment funds and insurance are developed and offered by Co.'s subsidiaries. Co. expands its operations throughout the region via its foreign subsidiaries. As of Dec 31 2011, Co. had total assets of HUF10,200,527,000,000 and deposits of HUF6,398,853,000,000.

Patria Bank SA

Polyus (GDR)

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen Spolka Akcyjna

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen is an insurance group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in offering a broad range of insurance and financial products. Co. pursues three main lines of business: Property and Casualty Insurance, offered by PZU; Life Insurance, offered by PZU Zycie; and Open-end Pension Funds, offered by PTE PZU, the manager of OFE PZU Zlota Jesien. Co. maintains a network of sales and service outlets including 500 outlets throughout Poland, including 243 shared outlets (common for PZU and PZU Zycie), 137 outlets of PZU Zycie and 120 outlets of PZU. Co.'s business is focused on the Polish market but it also conducts insurance business in the Lithuanian and Ukrainian markets.

S.C. Bursa de Valori Bucuresti S.A.

Santander Bank Polska SA

Bank Zachodni is a bank seated in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries provide a range of banking services for individual and business customers and operate in domestic and interbank foreign markets. Additionally, Co. provides also the following services, including intermediation in trading securities, leasing, factoring, asset/ fund management, insurance services, trading in stock and shares of commercial companies, and brokerage activity. Operational activity of Co. and its subsidiaries has been divided into five segments: Retail Banking, Business and Corporate Banking, Global Banking and Markets, ALM (Assets and Liabilities Management) and Centre, as well as Santander Consumer.

Siauliu Bankas

Siauliu bankas AB is a Lithuania-based company engaged in the provision of commercial banking and financial services to private and corporate clients. It offers such services as provision of bank accounts, offering the debit and credit cards and safety deposit boxes, cash and non-cash money transfers, operations with securities, currency exchange, lending and investment services, Internet banking, financial brokerage and real estate development. It also issues monetary warranties, guarantees and other warranty liabilities, as well as performs operations with payable documents, such as checks and others. The Bank has several branches, numerous client service units and subsidiaries.

Warimpex Finanz und Beteiligung

Warimpex is a real estate group based in Austria Co. is a "hybrid" real estate company that develops and operates properties itself as an asset manager and property owner until the time at which the highest added value can be realized through sale. The majority of these projects is located in Central and Eastern Europe. Co. has developed real estate with investments including hotels in the five-, four- and three-star categories. In addition, Co. also develops office buildings and other real estate. Accordingly, Co. generates revenue from the operation of hotel properties and the letting of commercial and office space while simultaneously realizing proceeds from real estate sales.

Wirtualna Polska Holding SA

Wirtualna Polska Holding SA is a Poland-based holding company. The Company owns entities that are engaged in the Internet publishing and broadcasting content, including operating business, technology, sports and entertainment portals, as well as electronic mail (e-mail) and electronic commerce (e-commerce). It also offers a range of advertising products, including display ads. The Company operates through such Internet portals as Wirtualna Polska, o2.pl, Money.pl, WP SportoweFakty, Dobreprogramy.pl, WP Parenting, Domodi and Homebook, among others. The Company operates domestically.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
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