reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DOC AV; PKN PW; PZU PW; TXT PW; MOL HB; H2O RO; MTLN GA; M...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: mixed 3Q FY26 P&L results; strong FCFF generation, double vs. last year NEUTRAL • Orlen: acquires stake in the Afrodite discovery in Norway NEUTRAL • PZU: 4Q25E results preview (due on 26 February) • Text: 3Q25-26E preview – 28% yoy EBITDA decline expected (due on 26 February) • MOL: to explore for oil and gas in Libya with TPAO and Repsol POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: preliminary 4Q25 total volumes sold 18% above our estimate POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: secures access ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; WPL PW; BDX PW; PKN PW; INPST NA; ENA PW; TPE PW;...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
NLBR NLB GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BFT PW; ING PW; MBK PW; CAR PW; VGO PW; GEKTERNA GA; DIGI ...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Marek Szymański
Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage)
We transfer coverage of Benefit Systems (BFT), maintaining our BUY on the stock. We set our 12-month price target (PT) at PLN 5,000 (from PLN 4,300), 32% potential upside. After solid results in 2025E, we expect BFT to maintain its earnings momentum and deliver an adjusted EBIT CAGR of 18% in 2025-27E. We turn more optimistic on the operations in Türkiye, as we expect the addition of sports cards to accelerate from 2026E-onwards, and the Fitness segment to remain highly profitable. As a result, ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EAT PW; SFG RO; INPST NA; MIL PW; PGE PW; APR PW; DVL PW; ...
HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DVL DEVELIA SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Marek Szymański
AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera ...
Over the past year, Sphera’s share price has weathered the macro storm in Romania well, supported by its unique position of being the only consumer name listed locally. At the same time, AmRest has extended its downward move that started in 2024, as investors have kept on questioning the company’s weak earnings momentum and lack of triggers. At its current level of 8x 2026E EBITDA, on our estimates, we see Sphera as fully valued, and we downgrade the name to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price tar...
- Alessio Chiesa
- Raffaella Tenconi
EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (30 January-5 February)
Last week, monetary policy decisions were announced by the ECB, the CNB and the NBP, with all opting to keep the rates unchanged. January’s inflation prints were released across the Eurozone, Czechia and Türkiye, highlighting persisting pressures from food inflation. In Hungary, the government hinted at extending the margin caps beyond February, while the gas price cap was extended by another year in Romania. CIS plus inflation showed a mixed picture in January; Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan saw fur...
- Miguel Dias
WOOD Flash – BRD-GSG: dividend payout of 50% proposed, and notes from ...
BRD-GSG is proposing a 50% dividend payout ratio from its 2025 net profit, below the 60% we assumed back in 2025 and implying a c.18% lower DPS for 2025 than we expected (RON 1.11 vs. RON 1.36). At the current price levels, this implies a 3.8% dividend yield. This proposal is subject to approval at the GSM, to be held on 29 April.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; TPE PW; ENA PW; WPL PW; CZ Macro; MTELEKOM HB; BR...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: January 2026 – cold comfort for gas
Brent crude oil prices have finally stopped falling, bouncing by USD 3.1/bbl in January 2026. In December 2025, a small increase in oil production from OPEC was offset by declines in Russia and Kazakhstan. The WOOD benchmark refining margin rose slightly, but company margins declined. Olefin prices increased, while naphtha prices were stagnant, bringing some respite to petrochemicals.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PL Macro; BDX PW; EBS AV; SNG RO; RO Macro; HTO GA...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; Polish media; DVL PW; SNP RO; BELA GA; Turkish aut...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
R22 R22
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
VRC VERCOM SA
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Polish Banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Ba...
We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...
- Research Team
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; XTB PW; CCC PW; OPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; RBW PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...
CEZ CEZ AS
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
H2O ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SPLUS HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
ZAB THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PE RO ZABKA GROUP
PREMIER ENERGY
- Miguel Dias
WOOD Flash – XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectation...
XTB reported its 4Q25 preliminary results yesterday (29 January), with net profit of PLN 181m, 23% ahead of our estimate for the quarter and 9% ahead of the consensus. The beat was driven mostly by the higher CFD volumes traded, even if the profitability was lower than we expected and the opex higher.
- Alessio Chiesa
- Raffaella Tenconi
EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (24-29 January)
January’s sentiment indices showed a sizeable improvement in the Euro area and hiring appetite improved across countries. In Poland, the EU Commission approved the EUR 43bn loan under the SAFE programme. January’s sentiment surveys revealed accelerating economic momentum. In the Czech Republic, the flash estimate for 4Q was lower than expected, on falling investment. In Hungary, GDP growth was modest, but positive, at 0.2% qoq in 4Q. In Türkiye, the CBT is keeping its cautious easing stance; the...
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (30 January 2026)
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: preliminary 2025 results, and initial 2026E guidance • Budimex: consortium wins PLN 4bn PKP PLK Rail Baltica tender POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA up 15% qoq (due on 20 March) • OMV: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Krka: preliminary 4Q25 revenues in line, but operating earnings miss NEGATIVE • Short News (HTO, ASELS)
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