reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Polish banks; CGEO LN; Czech Republic macro; InPost/Shoper...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Finance Ministry mulls levy on obligatory reserve interest revenues NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: sells 20% stake in water utility for USD 70.4m POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • InPost/Shoper: InPost Pay records 8.5m users, and operates in over 2.5k online stores NEUTRAL • Metlen: launches tender share exchange offer from Metlen SA to Metlen PLC, as part of the planned LSE listing NEUTRAL
- Research Team
- Atinc Ozkan
WOOD Flash - Theon International: a look at the recent AGM resolutions...
Following its recent ABB (3 June) and FY24 AGM (5 June), when some important resolutions were approved, we take a look at the near-term catalysts for Theon International’s (Theon) shares and we reiterate our BUY rating. We believe that the company’s rich list of catalysts in 2H25E, including new contracts news, potential M&A deals, and the launching of a share repurchase programme (approved during the FY24 AGM), may provide tailwinds for a further rerating of the stock. Theon’s shares are up 143...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; RO Banks; MOL HB; GSPARK HB; CEZ CP; SNP RO...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; THYAO TI; AEGN GA; GEV CP; EME ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 June) • Turkish Airlines: confirms talks over Air Europa stake purchase NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: may issue EUR 200-250m of new bonds NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: might raise up to 3.5m shares in the next 5Y NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
- Alessio Chiesa
- Raffaella Tenconi
EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 June)
Last week, the key events included a dovish tilt from Türkiye’s Central Bank, amid easing inflation; a more hawkish Fed forecasts outlook, while holding rates; and Romania’s push for fiscal reform, with a new PM nominee. The Central Banks in Georgia and Uzbekistan kept the rates unchanged, but struck cautious and hawkish tones, respectively, while Kazakhstan’s growth remained strong, despite softer industrial momentum. Political tensions rose in Hungary over EU rights, and Poland announced a lim...
- Miguel Dias
WOOD Flash – EME Strategy: MSCI 2025 Global Market Accessibility Revie...
Last night (19 June), the MSCI published its 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review. In our region, the most significant change pertains to Greece, which now appears to fulfil all the qualitative requirements in order to be put on the DM watchlist. However, we do not believe that this will be the case in this Annual Market Classification Review (results due on 24 June), as the country still does not fulfil all the quantitative requirements.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DOC AV; TL Macro; RO Macro; SNP RO; EME Strategy – MSCI
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: flying with flavour (stays BUY) • Türkiye macro: CBT keeps rates unchanged • Romania macro: negotiations for the next government remain tough • OMV Petrom: signs supply agreement for its biofuels plant NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
DO & CO: flying with flavour (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY on DO & CO and set our new 12M price target (PT) at EUR 205/share. Despite the 22% share price rally since our initiation in April 2025, we continue to view DO & CO as a cheap, high-quality name. Following its robust 4Q FY25 results – exceeding our expectations – and the signing of 17 new contracts with airlines during FY25, we have made slight adjustments to our model. We estimate that the new airline contracts could generate EUR 40-50m in FY26E revenues (part of which comes...
- Research Team
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jonathan Lamb
MENA Petrochemicals: BGIger is better (upgrading Borouge to BUY and do...
We have upgraded Borouge to BUY (from Hold), with an updated price target (PT) of AED 3.05 (from AED 2.69), and downgraded Sipchem to HOLD (from Buy), with an updated PT of SAR 19.6 (from SAR 45.1). Petrochemicals margins have remained resolutely depressed since the glory days of 2022 and we are not predicting a swift recovery. Global capacity expansions have created oversupply, but investment has slowed down and we expect growing demand to catch up in two-to-three years’ time. Borouge has agree...
- Research Team
- Dmitry Vlasov
- George Grigoriou
Austriacard: ace of decks (BUY - initiation of coverage)
We initiate coverage of Austriacard (ACAG), which offers a complementary portfolio of products and services in Identity & Payment Solutions (smartcards, payments, IDs), Document Lifecycle Management (printing) and Digital Transformation Technologies for the financial, government, and general private sectors, with a BUY rating and a price target (PT) of EUR 7.5/share, implying 42% upside from the current levels. Thanks to the strong execution in the Middle East and Africa regions, and continuous ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; TL Macro; DNP PW; CZG CP; 4IG HB
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: sells 60% stake in SCB for 2024 P/BV of 1.2x, books modest gain of PLN 0.4bn NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: weak BoP, but improving budget • Dino: AGM approves 1:10 share split NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: closes VSS acquisition • 4iG: signs non-binding term sheet to acquire nine defence subsidiaries from N7 Holding NEUTRAL
- Research Team
- Alessio Chiesa
- Raffaella Tenconi
EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 June)
In Poland, PM Tusk won the vote of confidence, as expected, and has restarted the efforts on the judicial, energy and housing policies. Inflation moderated further in May, adding cautious optimism that inflation will return to the NBP’s target soon. Inflation surprised to the upside in Romania and Hungary last month, due primarily to reaccelerating food inflation and sticky demand pressures. In Türkiye, we saw further positive evidence on the industrial sector recovery and stabilising TRY pressu...
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
GEVORKYAN: never-ending capex story (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded GEVORKYAN to HOLD (from Buy), with a new 12M price target (PT) of CZK 257/share, implying 11% upside. The share price is 6% below its July 2022 IPO price. We believe the relatively high IPO valuation (12.6x EV/EBITDA) and the prolonged capex cycle are the key reasons for the rerating of the stock closer to its CEE industrial peers. While the capex cycle has enabled GEVORKYAN to expand capacity, buy high-end machinery and sign a record number of contracts, it is still not over....
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; ETE GA; TPEIR GA; PGE PW; PEO PW; PZU ...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CCC CCC SA
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Can Demir
- Miguel Dias
Greek Banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD...
The Greek banking index has risen by 53% (62% with dividends), driven by higher P/E multiples and EPS upgrades since our April 2024 reinitiation. In this report, we raise our average normalised EPS forecasts for the big four Greek banks under our coverage by 10% for 2025E and 11% for 2026E, due mainly to stronger fees and lower COR. Our NII estimates for 2025-26E remain broadly unchanged, despite the lower-than-expected interest rates. The banks have also maintained their 2025-27E targets in the...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; DOC AV; PL Macro; INPST NA; PL Retail; OPL PW; HU ...
HEADLINES: • LPP: beat vs. 1Q25 consensus expectations, slow start to 2Q, FY25E rollout plans cut to 1,200 stores POSITIVE • DO & CO: strong 4Q FY25 numbers beat the consensus and our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: PM Tusk wins vote of confidence, as expected POSITIVE • InPost: English High Court dismisses motion against Yodel POSITIVE • Polish retail: possible retail sales tax extension to e-commerce NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from Parkiet interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • Hu...
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