Report
Research Team

Focus: downgrading to HOLD on Petkim, with a lower TRY 5.8 PT; OMV Petrom – Romanian Offshore Law passed by parliament; Bank Millennium – solid 3Q18 delivery, but in line with expectations; Turkcell’s 3Q18 results – 8% EBITDA beat

HEADLINES:
• Petkim: a crude awakening (downgraded to HOLD)
• OMV Petrom: Romanian Offshore Law passed by parliament POSITIVE
• Bank Millennium: solid 3Q18 delivery, but in line with expectations NEUTRAL
• Turkcell: 3Q18 results - 8% EBITDA beat, guidance upped POSITIVE
• Akbank: 3Q18 review - neutral on the bottom line, but message unlikely to help the stock NEUTRAL
• Novatek: 3Q18 results - strong numbers due to Yamal LNG and some one-offs
• Orange Polska: 3Q18 results - 9% beat vs. consensus EBITDA POSITIVE
• PKN Orlen: 3Q18 results - big beat on the bottom line NEUTRAL
• X5: 3Q18 results - stable promo delivers 91bps gross margin improvement POSITIVE
• Polish gencos: Poland withdraws new draft law proposing changes at energy market regulator NEUTRAL
• Erdemir: 3Q18E financial results - EBITDA down 20% qoq, but FCF up (due out today, after the close) NEUTRAL
• Ford Otosan: 3Q18E preview (due out today)
• Aselsan: 3Q18E preview (due out early next week) NEUTRAL
• PZU: 3Q18E results preview (due on 15 November)
Underlyings
Akbank TAS

Akbank is a commercial bank. Co. operates in five segments: Retail banking offers a range of retail services, such as deposit accounts, loans, credit cards, insurance products and asset management services; Corporate and Small and Medium Size Enterprises banking provides financial solutions and banking services; Treasury Activities conducts regional and foreign currency spot and forward transactions, bonds and other domestic securities; Private banking offers banking and investment transactions for upper-income groups and the International banking provides services for foreign trade financing and Turkish Lira clearances, and money transfers through agent financial institutions.

Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Class B

Bank Millennium SA

Bank Millennium provides various banking products and services to individual clients, small businesses, corporate, and public sector entities in Poland. Co. offers current account, custody account, and escrow account; standard deposits, negotiated deposits, millenet deposits, and automatic overnight deposits; debit and charge cards; funds management; professional cash services; and management of balances of current and auxiliary accounts. Co. also provides current account overdraft facility, real estate loans, revolving credits, working capital loans, investment loans, energy financing facility, sureties, line of guarantees, letters-of-credit, preferential loans, and bid bond guarantees.

Enea S.A.

ENEA is engaged in production of electricity and heat; trade in electricity; and distribution of electricity.

Energa SA

Energa SA is a Poland-based company engaged in the electric power sector. It produces and distributes the electric power and participates in the electric power market in Northern and Central Poland. It divides its business into seven segments: Electricity Distribution consists of electricity distribution conducted by subsidiaries; Renewable Energy invests in renewable energy sources and produces electricity through hydro, wind and bio-energy plans; Baseload Power Plant consists of manufacturing and investment activities in the area of conventional power plants, service and repair activities related to the generation of electricity; Combined Heat and Power (CHP) includes manufacturing activity of power plants and the heat distribution; Sales is engaged in lighting services, trading of electrical energy and customer service; Services provides accounting, human resources (HR) and payroll services, among others; Other includes hotel and training centers, and transportation services.

Eregli Demir ye celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari is engaged in the production of iron and steel rolled products, alloyed and non-alloyed iron, steel and pig iron castings, cast and pressed products, coke and their by-products.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi is an automobile manufacturing company based in Turkey. Co. operates as a joint venture between Ford Motor Company and the Koc Group of Companies. Co. is engaged in manufacturing, assembling and selling motor vehicles, primarily commercial vehicles, imports and sells passenger cars and manufactures and imports and sells spare parts of those vehicles. Co. has two plants located in Kocaeli and Eskisehir, has a spare part distribution warehouse in Kartal, Istanbul and a branch in Tubitak Marmara Research Centre, Gebze Campus Technological Free Zone (TEKSEB).

NOVATEK JSC Sponsored GDR RegS

Orange Polska S.A.

Orange Polska SA is a supplier of telecommunications services in Poland. Co. provides services, including fixed-line telecommunication services, Integrated Services Digital Network, voice mail, dial-up and fixed access to the Internet and Voice over Internet Protocol. Co. is one of Poland's three DCS 1800 and GSM 900 mobile telecommunications providers. Co. provides also third generation UMTS services. In addition, Co. provides leased lines, radio-communications and other telecommunications value added services, sells telecommunications equipment, produces electronic phone cards and provides data transmission, telephone directories, multimedia services and various Internet services.

Petkim Petrokimya Holding AS

Petrom S.A.

PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A.

PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna is an electricity company based in Poland. Co. is engaged in the generation and selling of electricity. Co. is a predominant power producer and supplier in Poland and a major heat and power sector company in Central and Eastern Europe. Co. supplies over 5 million households, businesses and institutions through a combination of its own fuel resources (lignite), power generation and final distribution networks. Co.'s activities focus on the following areas: Conventional Power Generation, Renewable Power Generation, Nuclear Power Generation, Wholesale, Distribution and Retail. Co. has 12.2 GW of installed generation capacity.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN S.A.

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen's activities are divided into three main business segments: the Refining Segment that comprises crude oil processing as well as wholesale and retail trade in refinery products. The Petrochemical Segment that encompasses production and sale of petrochemicals and chemicals. The Retail Segment that comprises of sales at petrol stations. Co.'s basic products include gasolines, diesel oils, light heating oil, Jet fuel, liquid gas, polyetylene, polypropylene, benzene, butadiene, acetone, phenol, glycols, toluen, ortoxylene.

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen Spolka Akcyjna

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen is an insurance group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in offering a broad range of insurance and financial products. Co. pursues three main lines of business: Property and Casualty Insurance, offered by PZU; Life Insurance, offered by PZU Zycie; and Open-end Pension Funds, offered by PTE PZU, the manager of OFE PZU Zlota Jesien. Co. maintains a network of sales and service outlets including 500 outlets throughout Poland, including 243 shared outlets (common for PZU and PZU Zycie), 137 outlets of PZU Zycie and 120 outlets of PZU. Co.'s business is focused on the Polish market but it also conducts insurance business in the Lithuanian and Ukrainian markets.

TAURON Polska Energia S.A.

Tauron Polska Energia is engaged in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat in Poland. Co. generates electricity from various conventional and renewable energy sources, including hard coal, lignite, natural gas, biomass, wind, solar, and hydro power. It is also involved in quarrying, crushing, and breaking of limestone; quarrying of stone for the construction industry; mining of hard coal; trading in electricity; and production of technical gases. In addition, Co. engages in the repair and maintenance of machinery and electrical equipment; electrical installations; and construction of power lines.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri is a provider of mobile services in Turkey. Co. provides mobile voice, internet and other services over its mobile communications network. Subscribers can choose between postpaid and prepaid services. Postpaid subscribers sign a subscription contract, and receive monthly bills for services, while prepaid subscribers must purchase a starter pack which consists of a SIM card and inclusive airtime. GSM offers a range of services that include voice, circuit switched data, packet data and fax, in addition to standard service offerings such as call barring, call forwarding, call waiting and roaming into areas serviced by other GSM carriers.

X5 Retail Group N.V. Sponsored GDR RegS

X5 Retail Group is a holding company. The main activity of Co. is the development and operation of grocery retail stores. Co. operates a retail chain of soft-discount, supermarket and hypermarket stores under the brand names "Pyaterochka", "Perekrestok" and "Karusel" in major population centres in Russia, including but not limited to Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nizhniy Novgorod, Rostov-on-Don, Kazan, Samara, Lipetsk, Chelyabinsk, Perm, Ekaterinburg and Kiev, Ukraine.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Research Team

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