Report
Research Team

Focus: Russia macro – borrowing cost update; CCC’s 1Q19 prelims as weak as we had expected, but way below consensus; Jeronimo Martins’ 1Q19 results ahead of expectations on stronger lfl in Poland; AmRest’s 1Q19 preliminary sales up 30% yoy

HEADLINES:
• Russia macro: borrowing cost update
• CCC: 1Q19 prelims as weak as we had expected, but way below consensus
• Jeronimo Martins: 1Q19 results ahead of expectations on stronger lfl in Poland POSITIVE
• AmRest: 1Q19 preliminary sales up 30% yoy, 13% excluding M&A NEUTRAL
• Akbank: 1Q19 results summary NEUTRAL
• Erdemir: 1Q19 financial results above consensus, with strong FCF POSITIVE
• Kruk: takeaways from the meeting with management, quite constructive feedback NEUTRAL
• Rostelecom: refined FCF calculation for the dividend policy NEUTRAL
• Czech banks: risk of special bank taxes rises NEGATIVE
• OTP: may be looking at more acquisitions in Croatia NEUTRAL
• PKN Orlen: crude deliveries suspension NEUTRAL
• PKN Orlen: 1Q19 results review NEUTRAL
• OTP: 1Q19E results preview summary (due on 10 May)
• PZU: 1Q19E results preview (due on 14 May) NEUTRAL
Underlyings
Akbank TAS

Akbank is a commercial bank. Co. operates in five segments: Retail banking offers a range of retail services, such as deposit accounts, loans, credit cards, insurance products and asset management services; Corporate and Small and Medium Size Enterprises banking provides financial solutions and banking services; Treasury Activities conducts regional and foreign currency spot and forward transactions, bonds and other domestic securities; Private banking offers banking and investment transactions for upper-income groups and the International banking provides services for foreign trade financing and Turkish Lira clearances, and money transfers through agent financial institutions.

AmRest Holdings SE

Amrest Holdings SE is a Spain-based company active in the restaurants and bars sector. The Company's core activity is operating Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC), Pizza Hut, Burger King and Starbucks restaurants through its subsidiaries in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, the Russian Federation, Serbia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Spain and France, on the basis of franchises granted, and Applebee's in the United States. Additionally, in Spain and France the Company operates its own brands La Tagiatella, Trastevere and il Pastificcio. It also operates PizzaPortal.pl, an online portal for ordering food from various restaurants. The Company operates through subsidiaries, such as AmRest Sp z o o, AmRest sro, AmRest doo, AmRest Adria doo, Blue Horizon Hospitality Group PTE, AmRest TAG SL, SC Marinopoulos Coffee Company III Srl and Marinopoulos Coffee Company Bulgaria EOOD, among others.

CCC SA

CCC is engaged in the wholesale and retail trade of clothing and footwear. Co. offers its products to wide range of consumers, from demanding clientele of trendy boutiques to value-oriented medium segment customers, to less wealthy customers seeking reasonably priced quality footwear. Co. pursues a strategy of brand diversification, which is reflected in its three autonomous distribution channels: a chain of official CCC stores, BOTI footwear shops and QUAZI boutiques. Co. offers more than 2,500 designs of footwear. Co. also owns more than 67 proprietary brand names e.g. Lasocki.

Eregli Demir ye celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari is engaged in the production of iron and steel rolled products, alloyed and non-alloyed iron, steel and pig iron castings, cast and pressed products, coke and their by-products.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS S.A.

Jeronimo Martins S.G.P.S. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged as a food distribution company with operations in Poland and Portugal. Co. operates in four segments: Portugal Retail, which comprises the business unit of JMR - Gestao de Empresas de Retalho, SGPS, S.A. (Pingo Doce supermarkets); Portugal Cash & Carry, which includes the wholesale business unit Recheio; Poland Retail, which includes the business unit with the brand Biedronka; and Others, which includes marketing services and representations, restaurants in Portugal, health and beauty retail in Poland, and its retail business in Colombia.

Kruk S.A.

Kruk SA. Kruk SA is a Poland-based company, which is engaged in the business support industry. The Company is a multi-operator, which offers loss prevention and debt collection services. The Company divides its business into two main operating segments: Debt Purchase, including acquisition of non-performing debt portfolios, and Debt Collection Outsourcing, offering fee-based collection of debt on client's behalf, focused on consumer and corporate loans. The Company provides services to financial institutions and large corporate customers. It manages receivables of banks, credit intermediaries, leasing companies and digital platform providers, among others. The Company's operating activities concentrate in a number of countries, such as Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Spain. The Company's subsidiaries include Kruk Deutschland GmbH, Presco Investments Sarl and Espand Soluciones de Gestion y Recuperacion de Deuda SL, among others.

OTP Bank Nyrt

OTP Bank is a financial institution based in Hungary. Co. is engaged in retail banking (account management, bankcards and Electronic sevices - OTPdirekt) corporate banking and private banking. In Hungary traditional banking operations are performed by Co. while specialized services, including car leasing, investment funds and insurance are developed and offered by Co.'s subsidiaries. Co. expands its operations throughout the region via its foreign subsidiaries. As of Dec 31 2011, Co. had total assets of HUF10,200,527,000,000 and deposits of HUF6,398,853,000,000.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN S.A.

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen's activities are divided into three main business segments: the Refining Segment that comprises crude oil processing as well as wholesale and retail trade in refinery products. The Petrochemical Segment that encompasses production and sale of petrochemicals and chemicals. The Retail Segment that comprises of sales at petrol stations. Co.'s basic products include gasolines, diesel oils, light heating oil, Jet fuel, liquid gas, polyetylene, polypropylene, benzene, butadiene, acetone, phenol, glycols, toluen, ortoxylene.

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen Spolka Akcyjna

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen is an insurance group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in offering a broad range of insurance and financial products. Co. pursues three main lines of business: Property and Casualty Insurance, offered by PZU; Life Insurance, offered by PZU Zycie; and Open-end Pension Funds, offered by PTE PZU, the manager of OFE PZU Zlota Jesien. Co. maintains a network of sales and service outlets including 500 outlets throughout Poland, including 243 shared outlets (common for PZU and PZU Zycie), 137 outlets of PZU Zycie and 120 outlets of PZU. Co.'s business is focused on the Polish market but it also conducts insurance business in the Lithuanian and Ukrainian markets.

Rostelecom PJSC

Rostelecom PJSC provides communication services (including local, intra-zone, long-distance domestic and international fixed-line telephone services, mobile services), data transmission, Internet, Pay TV, VPN and data centers services, rent of communication channels and radio communication services in the territory of Russian Federation. Co. operates the main intercity network and the international telecommunications gateways of the Russian Federation, carrying voice and data traffic that originates in its own network and other national and international operators' networks to other national and international operators for termination.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
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