Report
Fani Tzioukalia ...
  • Gabriela Burdach
  • Jakub Mician
  • Lukasz Wachelko, CFA
  • Stefan Lungu, CFA

CEE Consumers: #stayathome (coverage universe update)

The development of the COVID-19 pandemic has changed the landscape for consumer names materially. While #stayathome is slowing down the contagion, it has infected the foundations of discretionary retailers severely. At the same time, the staples players have seen a sales boost, especially in the e-commerce space. Facing such a storm among the especially vulnerable players hurt by store lockdowns and carrying high leverage, we identify: AmRest, CCC, Kofola and Fourlis. On the other hand, FMCG distributors and manufacturers are the relative winners. However, taking into account share price performance, our top picks include: AmRest, Benefit Systems, Mavi, OPAP, CCHBC and LPP. On the other hand, within our whole consumer universe, we identify only Dino as continuously valued for perfection in a non-perfect environment.
Underlyings
AmRest Holdings SE

Amrest Holdings SE is a Spain-based company active in the restaurants and bars sector. The Company's core activity is operating Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC), Pizza Hut, Burger King and Starbucks restaurants through its subsidiaries in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, the Russian Federation, Serbia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Spain and France, on the basis of franchises granted, and Applebee's in the United States. Additionally, in Spain and France the Company operates its own brands La Tagiatella, Trastevere and il Pastificcio. It also operates PizzaPortal.pl, an online portal for ordering food from various restaurants. The Company operates through subsidiaries, such as AmRest Sp z o o, AmRest sro, AmRest doo, AmRest Adria doo, Blue Horizon Hospitality Group PTE, AmRest TAG SL, SC Marinopoulos Coffee Company III Srl and Marinopoulos Coffee Company Bulgaria EOOD, among others.

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayii A.S.

Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayii AS is a Turkey-based company, which is engaged in the production, bottling, selling and distribution of beer under a number of trademarks and also in the production, bottling, selling and distribution of sparkling and still beverages with The Coca-Cola Company trademark. The Group owns and operates more than 14 breweries, over five malt production facilities and over 15 facilities for sparkling and still beverages production. Furthermore, the Group has joint control over Anadolu Etap Penkon Gida ve Tarim Urunleri San. ve Tic. AS (Anadolu Etap) which undertakes production and sales of fruit juice concentrates and purees in Turkey. The Group also has joint control over Syrian Soft Drink Sales & Dist. LLC (SSDSD) which undertakes distribution and sales of sparkling and still beverages in Syria.

Atlantic Grupa

Benefit Systems S.A. Allotment

Benefit System SA is a Poland-based company engaged in providing work benefits in the area of sport, recreations, culture and entertainment for employers. Its products portfolio includes MultiSport Plus card, program that allows access to the sport and recreation clubs and multi-purpose facilities; MultiBet, providing access to more than 90 cinemas through Poland; and cafeteria programs, which allow employees to select items from such segments as sport, recreation, culture, entertainment, tourism and health and beauty. The Company is a parent entity of a capital group, which includes subsidiaries, such as MyBenefit Sp z o o, FitSport Polska Sp z o o, Vanity Style Sp z o o and Multisport Benefit sro, based in the Czech Republic.

BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S.

Bim Birlesik Magazalar is engaged in operating retail stores through its retail shops throughout Turkey, which sell an assortment of approx. 600 items, including a number of private labels. Co.'s object is to offer consumers basic food items and consumer goods at discount prices with quality. Co.'s private labels provides its consumers with quality tasting sausage, salami and similar meat products while at the same time being suitable to the consumers family budget. Products include meat products, breakfast and dairy products, beverages, legumes and bakery, snacks and sweets, fruits and vegetables, frozen foods, and non-food items - cleaning supplies.

Bizim Toptan Satis Magazalari AS

Coca-Cola HBC AG

Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Co. produces, sells and distributes an extensive portfolio of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. Co.'s business is engaged in producing, selling and distributing non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under bottlers' agreements with The Coca-Cola Company. In some Territories, Co. also produces, sells, distributes and markets its own brands of juice and Water beverages. In addition, Co. bottles and distributes beer in Bulgaria and Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia and Co. distributes a selected number of third party premium spirit brands in certain central and eastern European operations.

Coca-Cola Icecek A.S.

Coca-Cola Icecek is a bottler and distributor of alcohol-free beverages in Turkey, Pakistan, Central Asia and the Middle East. Co. focuses on the production, sales and distribution of sparkling and still beverages with The Coca-Cola Company (TCCC) trademarks. Co. has rights to produce, sell and distribute TCCC branded beverages including Coca-Cola, Coca-Cola Zero, Coca-Cola Light, Fanta, Sprite, Cappy, Sen Sun, Powerade and Fuse Tea in TCCC authorized packages throughout Turkey. Co. also has the right to produce, sell and distribute Burn and Gladiator branded energy drinks throughout Turkey, as well as bottling and distribution rights in Turkey for Schweppes branded beverages.

Dino Polska S.A.

Dino Polska is engaged in the business of retail sale in non-specialized stores with food, beverages and tobacco. In addition, Co. conducts processing of meats and the resulting products are dedicated, in the form of culinary meat, to external recipients within Co.'s retail chain. As of December 31, 2016, Co. operated a network of 628 Dino stores.

DP Eurasia

DP Eurasia is the exclusive master frachisee in Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Georgia of the Domino's Pizza brand. Co. offers pizza delivery and takeaway/eat-in facilities through its 212 corporate stores and 359 franchised stores as of Mar 31 2017. Co. offers pizza products at a range of price points and adapted to local tastes. It also offers complementary products such as chicken, other side dishes and desserts, some of which have been developed by Co.s innovation center in Istanbul and subsequently adopted by other master franchisees of DP Inc. around the world. Co. owns and operates five commissaries which manufacture the pizza dough and supply system stores in Turkey and Russia.

Eurocash S.A.

Eurocash, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the distribution of food products, household chemicals, alcohol, and tobacco products (fast moving consumer goods). Through a range of distribution formats, Co. and its subsidiaries focus its business activities on the wholesale distribution to customers across the wholesale market segments, in particular, to stores throughout Poland such as retail stores, convenience stores at petrol stations, restaurants, hotels and cafeterias. Co. and its subsidiaries operate a range of distribution formats focused on supplying independent stores in Poland, which primarily include: Cash and Carry, Franchise Systems, and Distribution.

Fourlis Holdings S.A.

Co. is engaged in the manufacture, import and distribution of electrical household appliances and the manufacture of FOURLIS kitchen hoods. In addition, through a subsidiary, Co. is engaged in the operation of a retail chain.

Gr. Sarantis S.A.

Co. is a consumer goods manufacturer and distributor engaged in operations in Greece. Co. produces consumer goods such as cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, households, pet products, car's accessories and apparel. Co. produces its own brand name of cosmetic products such as Prosar, Str8, BU99, Clochard, Carroten, Tokalon and others. Co.'s product portfolio also includes a range of international brands such as Estee Lauder, Clinique, Aramis, Donna Karen, Orlane, Montana Versace and others.

Greek Organisation of Football Prognostics SA

OPAP is engaged in the operating and management of numerical lottery and sports betting games as well as lottery games. Co. holds concession to operate and manage new sports betting games in Greece as well as a right of first refusal to operate and manage any new lottery games permitted by the Hellenic Republic. Co. operates six numerical lottery games, including Joker, Lotto, Proto, Extra 5, Super 3, and Kino; and three sports betting games consisting of Stihima, Propo, and Propo-goal. Co. is also engaged in designing new lottery games, including Bingo and Super 4. Co. distributes its games through an extensive on-line network of agents.

Inter Cars S.A.

Inter Cars is an automotive spare parts distributor for passenger cars, commercial vehicles and trucks in Middle-Eastern Europe. The product range of Co. reaches over one million different automotive spare parts for passenger cars and trucks. No matter if the car is European or Asian one, Co.'s customers can find full range of products for their cars as well as all the necessary tools and garage equipment. Besides spare parts distribution, which is the core business of Co., Co. is also an exclusive distributor of legendary motorcycle brand “TRIUMPH” in Poland (via motorcycle distribution network, called Inter Motors) and distributor of spare parts and accessories for other motorcycle brands.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS S.A.

Jeronimo Martins S.G.P.S. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged as a food distribution company with operations in Poland and Portugal. Co. operates in four segments: Portugal Retail, which comprises the business unit of JMR - Gestao de Empresas de Retalho, SGPS, S.A. (Pingo Doce supermarkets); Portugal Cash & Carry, which includes the wholesale business unit Recheio; Poland Retail, which includes the business unit with the brand Biedronka; and Others, which includes marketing services and representations, restaurants in Portugal, health and beauty retail in Poland, and its retail business in Colombia.

Jumbo S.A.

Jumbo is a trading company based in Greece. Co.'s main operation is retail sale of toys, baby items, seasonal items, decoration items, books and stationery. A part of its operations is wholesale of toys and similar items to third parties. Co. and its subsidiaries have four geographical segments: Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria and Romania. At June 30 2015, Co. operated 72 stores in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria and in Romania and the on line store e-jumbo.

LPP S.A.

LPP SA Gdansk is clothing manufacturing group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in the design and distribution of clothing. Co.'s headquarters is located in Gdan'sk, including designing resources for all its brands. Co.'s stores offer its customer products that include jackets, shirts, sweaters, dresses, skirts, trousers, jeans, underwear and garment products. Co. also sells promotion clothing under a special selected brand. Co.'s product offering is addressed to a variety of customers for whom separate brands and chain stores are set up. Co. launches clothing under such brand names as: RESERVED, CROPP, MOHITO, HOUSE, and PROMOSTARS.

Magnit PJSC Sponsored GDR RegS

Mavi Giyim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

Mavi Giyim Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is a Turkey-based company, which designs and manufactures apparel and accessories, under the Mavi brand, for both women and men. The Company offers pants, jackets, shirts, shorts, dresses, skirts, and joggers. The Company operates more than 390 mono-brand Mavi stores with particular presence in Turkey, the United States (following the acquisition of Mavi USA), Canada (following the acquisition of Mavi Canada), Europe (centered on Germany) and Russia, more than 5,000 global points of sale, as well as an online store. It has a retail base in Turkey with more than 200 mono-brand retail stores, more than 60 franchise-operated mono-brand retail stores and more than 400 multi-brand points of sale across the country. Its wholesale partners include Nordstrom, Bloomingdale's and Peek & Cloppenburg.

Migros Ticaret A.S

Migros Ticaret is a retailing group based in Turkey. Co. offers spacious stores in a wide range of formats and locations whose vast selection of stationery, glass and kitchenware, appliance, book, clothing, and other items along with groceries and other necessities. Co. maintains a store network of 1,004 national and international locations with a national presence in 70 provinces in Turkey's seven geographical regions. Store brand names include M, MM, MMM, 5M, MigroJet, Tansas, Macrocenter and Ramstores. Co. also provides customers alternatives such as internet, call centers, kiosks, catalogues, and mobile shopping networks.

Philip Morris CR AS

Philip Morris CR is engaged in the production, sale, distribution and marketing of cigarettes and other tobacco products and the provision of related services. Co. manufactures the following brands of cigarettes: L & M, Bond, Marlboro, Philip Morris, Petra, Start, Sparta, and Chesterfield.

Podravka d.d.

Sok Marketler Ticaret AS

Sok Marketler Ticaret AS. Sok Marketler Ticaret AS, located in Istanbul, Turkey, owns and operates grocery stores. It sells Amigo, Crown, Deren, Evin, Karmen, Lio, Peki, Piyale and Tempo brands. The Company was founded in 1995.

Sphera Franchise Group SA

Stock Spirits Group

Stock Spirits Group is a spirits company. Co. along with its subsidiaries are engaged in the production and distribution of branded spirits in Central and Eastern Europe. Co.'s spirits include vodka, flavoured vodka, rum, brandy and herbal bitter liqueurs. Co. has more than 40 brands and export internationally to more than 40 countries worldwide. Co.'s brands include Zoladkowa de Luxe, Lubelska, Zoladkowa Gorzka, Stock Prestige, 1906, Fernet Stock, Bozkov, Amundsen, Keglevich, Limonce, Stock Original, Keglevich, Golden, Stock 84, Fernet Stock Citrus, and Hammerhead. Co. has operations in Poland, Czech Republic, Italy, Slovakia, Croatia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Ulker Biskuvi Sanayi A.S.

Ulker Biskuvi Sanayi is a manufacturer and marketer of biscuit, chocolate coated biscuit, wafer, cake and chocolate. Co.'s brands include Potibor, Cizi, Krispi, Haylayf, Mavi YePil, HanYmeller, Bebe BiskUvisi, Biskrem, Krim Kraker, Probis, Cokoprens, As Kraker, Bathak, Ykram, Canpare, Rondo, Altinbasak, Kat Tat, Halley, Kat Kat Tat, Cubuk Kraker, Alpella Ring, Hasat, Bolero, Saklykoy, Dore and Haylayf.

X5 Retail Group N.V. Sponsored GDR RegS

X5 Retail Group is a holding company. The main activity of Co. is the development and operation of grocery retail stores. Co. operates a retail chain of soft-discount, supermarket and hypermarket stores under the brand names "Pyaterochka", "Perekrestok" and "Karusel" in major population centres in Russia, including but not limited to Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nizhniy Novgorod, Rostov-on-Don, Kazan, Samara, Lipetsk, Chelyabinsk, Perm, Ekaterinburg and Kiev, Ukraine.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Fani Tzioukalia

Gabriela Burdach

Jakub Mician

Lukasz Wachelko, CFA

Stefan Lungu, CFA

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