Report
Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – RU; EBS AV; KRU PW; TKFEN TI; TCELL TI; ENJSA TI; CAR PW; JMT PL; SNP RO; OMV AV; EEG1T ET; KCEL KZ; KMB MS; SNG RO; OGZD LI; VKCO LI; STH PW; PL Banks; LPP PW; PL Macro; EME Macro/Strategy – US; OTP HB

HEADLINES:
• EME Macro/Strategy: Russia can live (but not thrive) without EU gas payments
• Erste Bank: strong start to 2022 with the 1Q22 delivery POSITIVE
• Kruk: publishes detailed 1Q22 - solid trends, but supported by positive revaluations, as suspected NEUTRAL
• Tekfen Holding: 1Q22 results - another major miss NEGATIVE
• Turkcell: 1Q22 results in line, except a 10% NI miss; FY22E guidance maintained NEUTRAL
• Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q22 results review - mixed, but FY guidance revised up NEUTRAL
• Inter Cars: all-time high net profit in 4Q21, in line with preliminary estimates POSITIVE
• Jeronimo Martins: 1Q22 spot on; FY22E guidance maintained NEUTRAL
• OMV Petrom: 1Q22 results - gas business beating expectations
• OMV: 1Q22 results - EBITDA in line
• Ekspress Grupp: 1Q22 EBITDA significantly below our expectations amid growing employee costs NEGATIVE
• Kcell: 1Q22 results review - adjusted EBITDA up 12% yoy, 7% above our expectations POSITIVE
• Komercijalna Banka: 1Q22 results review - on track to reach our 2021E earnings estimate
• Romgaz: 1Q22 operational estimates
• Gazprom: strong 4Q21 results, due to macro factors POSITIVE
• VK: reports weak 1Q22 results NEGATIVE
• STS Group: key takeaways from the 4Q21 results call NEUTRAL
• Polish banks: CHF mortgage saga turns to clients' side again NEGATIVE
• LPP: pending disposal of Russian operations POSITIVE
• Poland macro: NBP survey flags severe worsening in companies' balance sheets
• EME Macro/Strategy: US macro - GDP surprises to the downside in 1Q22
• OTP Bank: 1Q22E preview (due on 6 May)
• AmRest: 1Q22E results preview - EBITDA expected to grow 60% yoy (due on 12 May) NEUTRAL
• Nuclearelectrica: 1Q22E preview - record net profit expected (due on 12 May)
• Astarta Holding: 1Q22E preview (due on 17 May)
• PZU: 1Q22E preview (due on 19 May)
• Short News (BVB)
Underlyings
AmRest Holdings SE

Amrest Holdings SE is a Spain-based company active in the restaurants and bars sector. The Company's core activity is operating Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC), Pizza Hut, Burger King and Starbucks restaurants through its subsidiaries in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, the Russian Federation, Serbia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Spain and France, on the basis of franchises granted, and Applebee's in the United States. Additionally, in Spain and France the Company operates its own brands La Tagiatella, Trastevere and il Pastificcio. It also operates PizzaPortal.pl, an online portal for ordering food from various restaurants. The Company operates through subsidiaries, such as AmRest Sp z o o, AmRest sro, AmRest doo, AmRest Adria doo, Blue Horizon Hospitality Group PTE, AmRest TAG SL, SC Marinopoulos Coffee Company III Srl and Marinopoulos Coffee Company Bulgaria EOOD, among others.

Astarta Holding

Astarta is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. specializes in sugar production, crop growing and cattle farming, ensuring wholesale distribution of sugar for industrial consumers and individuals. Co. produces sugar primarily using its own-grown sugar beet. Co.'s products include sugar and sugar by-products, such as granulated sugar, molasses, and sugar beet pulp; agricultural products comprising barley, wheat, rye, sunflower seed, soy bean, corn, peas, and varietal and regular cycle seeds of agricultural crops; and cattle farming produce, such as milk and meat, as well as canned goods, fodder, and gas.

Ekspress Grupp A.S.

Ekspress Grupp AS is an Estonia-based company that is principally engaged in the printing and publishing sector. The Company operates through three segments: Online media, Periodicals and Printing services. The Online media segment provides the administration of online classified portals and intermediation of Internet advertising services. The Periodicals segment is engaged in the publishing of newspaper, magazines, custom publications and books in Estonia and Lithuania. The Printing services segment provides printing and related services. It is active through its subsidiaries, joint ventures and associated companies, including UAB Ekspress Leidyba, UAB Adnet media, AS Express Post, AS Linnaleht and OU Hea Lugu, among others. The Company is active in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, the Russian Federation and Finland, among others.

Enerjisa Enerji

Enerjisa Enerji AS is a Turkey-based company engaged in the utilities sector. The Company, together with its subsidiaries, is primarily engaged in making investments in energy companies, and deals with the generation, sale, and distribution of electricity, as well as the trade of natural gas. The Company reports its business activities into two main segments: Electricity Distribution and Retail. The Electricity distribution segment includes the transmission of electricity over lines users through distribution networks and provides infrastructure investments in conformity with the energy market regulation authority (EMRA). The Retail segment conducts mainly retail sales of electricity to customers. Enerjisa Enerji AS operates through a number of subsidiaries, such as Baskent Edas, Ayedas and Toroslar Edas, among others.

Erste Group Bank AG

Erste Group is a financial services provider based in Austria. As of Dec 31 2015, Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro199,743 million and the number of customers was approximately 16.5 million. Co.'s key business is the retail business, covering the entire spectrum from lending, deposit and investment products to current accounts and credit cards. In addition to providing financial services to private individuals, Co.'s core activities also include advisory services and support for corporate clients in financing, investment and access to international capital markets, public sector funding and interbank market operations.

Gazprom (GDR)

Inter Cars S.A.

Inter Cars is an automotive spare parts distributor for passenger cars, commercial vehicles and trucks in Middle-Eastern Europe. The product range of Co. reaches over one million different automotive spare parts for passenger cars and trucks. No matter if the car is European or Asian one, Co.'s customers can find full range of products for their cars as well as all the necessary tools and garage equipment. Besides spare parts distribution, which is the core business of Co., Co. is also an exclusive distributor of legendary motorcycle brand “TRIUMPH” in Poland (via motorcycle distribution network, called Inter Motors) and distributor of spare parts and accessories for other motorcycle brands.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS S.A.

Jeronimo Martins S.G.P.S. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged as a food distribution company with operations in Poland and Portugal. Co. operates in four segments: Portugal Retail, which comprises the business unit of JMR - Gestao de Empresas de Retalho, SGPS, S.A. (Pingo Doce supermarkets); Portugal Cash & Carry, which includes the wholesale business unit Recheio; Poland Retail, which includes the business unit with the brand Biedronka; and Others, which includes marketing services and representations, restaurants in Portugal, health and beauty retail in Poland, and its retail business in Colombia.

KCELL JSC

Komercijalna Banka AD Skopje

Kruk S.A.

Kruk SA. Kruk SA is a Poland-based company, which is engaged in the business support industry. The Company is a multi-operator, which offers loss prevention and debt collection services. The Company divides its business into two main operating segments: Debt Purchase, including acquisition of non-performing debt portfolios, and Debt Collection Outsourcing, offering fee-based collection of debt on client's behalf, focused on consumer and corporate loans. The Company provides services to financial institutions and large corporate customers. It manages receivables of banks, credit intermediaries, leasing companies and digital platform providers, among others. The Company's operating activities concentrate in a number of countries, such as Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Spain. The Company's subsidiaries include Kruk Deutschland GmbH, Presco Investments Sarl and Espand Soluciones de Gestion y Recuperacion de Deuda SL, among others.

LPP S.A.

LPP SA Gdansk is clothing manufacturing group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in the design and distribution of clothing. Co.'s headquarters is located in Gdan'sk, including designing resources for all its brands. Co.'s stores offer its customer products that include jackets, shirts, sweaters, dresses, skirts, trousers, jeans, underwear and garment products. Co. also sells promotion clothing under a special selected brand. Co.'s product offering is addressed to a variety of customers for whom separate brands and chain stores are set up. Co. launches clothing under such brand names as: RESERVED, CROPP, MOHITO, HOUSE, and PROMOSTARS.

Mail.ru Group Ltd. Sponsored GDR

Mail.Ru Group is an Internet company based in the Russian Federation. Co. operates the email service [email protected] and two IM networks in Russia - Mail.Ru Agent and ICQ. Co. operates two Russian-language online social networking sites: Moi [email protected] and Odnoklassniki.ru, and owns a strategic minority equity stake in the social network Vkontakte. Co. is also engaged in developing projects in E-commerce and operating more than 40 thematic vertical sites, targeting various user categories. Co. is also Russia's predominant online games company. Co. maintains a portfolio of online games which includes 34 MMO games and over 30 games for social networking sites.

OMV AG

OMV is an international energy company with activities in Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P). Co. explores and develops oil and gas resources and supply energy to over 100 million people. OMV has three operating segments: Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing, including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P), as well as the segment Corporate and Other (Co&O).

OTP Bank Nyrt

OTP Bank is a financial institution based in Hungary. Co. is engaged in retail banking (account management, bankcards and Electronic sevices - OTPdirekt) corporate banking and private banking. In Hungary traditional banking operations are performed by Co. while specialized services, including car leasing, investment funds and insurance are developed and offered by Co.'s subsidiaries. Co. expands its operations throughout the region via its foreign subsidiaries. As of Dec 31 2011, Co. had total assets of HUF10,200,527,000,000 and deposits of HUF6,398,853,000,000.

Petrom S.A.

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen Spolka Akcyjna

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen is an insurance group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in offering a broad range of insurance and financial products. Co. pursues three main lines of business: Property and Casualty Insurance, offered by PZU; Life Insurance, offered by PZU Zycie; and Open-end Pension Funds, offered by PTE PZU, the manager of OFE PZU Zlota Jesien. Co. maintains a network of sales and service outlets including 500 outlets throughout Poland, including 243 shared outlets (common for PZU and PZU Zycie), 137 outlets of PZU Zycie and 120 outlets of PZU. Co.'s business is focused on the Polish market but it also conducts insurance business in the Lithuanian and Ukrainian markets.

Societatea Nationala De Gaze Naturale ROMGAZ SA

Societatea Nationala Nuclearelectrica SA

STS Group AG

STS Group AG is a Germany-based supplier of vehicle parts. The Company develops and manufactures solutions for acoustic and thermal insulation (soft trim) and components made of plastics or composite material (hard trim) for the automobile and trucking industries, focusing on four categories of vehicles: medium and heavy commercial vehicles (MHCV), light commercial vehicles (LCV), agriculture and construction vehicles (ACV), and light vehicles (LV), and supplying its products directly to Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs). The Company operates through three business segments: STS Acoustics, which includes mainly soft trim products with acoustic and thermal features that reduce noise and protect against heat; STS Plastics, which includes mainly hard trim products used for exterior body parts or interior modules, and Materials, which includes semi-finished goods from mixed composite recyclables. The Company operates production facilities in Europe, China, Mexico and Brazil.

Tekfen Holding

Tekfen Holding conducts its operations in four main business segments: Contracting, Agriculture, Real Estate and Other operations. Contracting group focuses on construction of petroleum and gas facilities, land and sea terminals, offshore platforms and tank farms. Agricultural group has operations in chemical fertilizer, ground and vegetable grain, production, distribution and trade of seedling and sapling. Real estate group operates in designing, constructing, renting, and sale of real estates such as residents, offices, shopping centers and hotels. Operations of other segment comprise of light-pulp trading, cotton yarn production and trading, insurance services and holding operations.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri is a provider of mobile services in Turkey. Co. provides mobile voice, internet and other services over its mobile communications network. Subscribers can choose between postpaid and prepaid services. Postpaid subscribers sign a subscription contract, and receive monthly bills for services, while prepaid subscribers must purchase a starter pack which consists of a SIM card and inclusive airtime. GSM offers a range of services that include voice, circuit switched data, packet data and fax, in addition to standard service offerings such as call barring, call forwarding, call waiting and roaming into areas serviced by other GSM carriers.

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Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

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