Auto Parts Distribution: 2024E challenges already priced in (Auto Partner stays HOLD, Inter Cars stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY rating on Inter Cars (CAR) and our HOLD on Auto Partner (APR). The 2024E outlook now seems more challenging for auto parts distributors than we assumed in our February update. We believe, however, that this has already been priced in by the market. The key differences in the 2024E outlook between APR and CAR were reflected in the 1Q24 yoy SG&A dynamics, with CAR weathering the cost pressure better, in our view. Despite the short-term challenges, we believe the long-term fundamentals for the sector remain solid. The softening pressure from minimum wages should allow yoy earnings growth to return to double-digit territory in 2025E at both companies. We maintain our preference for CAR, given its 26-28% discount to APR on the 2024-25E EV/EBITDA multiples, better short-term earnings momentum, and only a slightly lower 3Y EBITDA CAGR (2ppt difference).Auto Partner SA is a Poland-based company engaged in the auto, truck and motorcycle parts industry. The Company is an importer and distributor of spare parts for cars and light commercial vehicles. Auto Partner SA is an enterprising entity with its headquarters as well as logistic and distribution centre located in Bierun near Tychy. The Company has approximately 60 branch offices across the domestic markets and some representative offices in neighboring countries, in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Ukraine and Belarus, among others. Auto Partner SA distributes stabilizer links, steering rod end sets, steering rods, suspension arms, pins, rubber - metal parts, power steering pumps and steering gears, among others.
Inter Cars is an automotive spare parts distributor for passenger cars, commercial vehicles and trucks in Middle-Eastern Europe. The product range of Co. reaches over one million different automotive spare parts for passenger cars and trucks. No matter if the car is European or Asian one, Co.'s customers can find full range of products for their cars as well as all the necessary tools and garage equipment. Besides spare parts distribution, which is the core business of Co., Co. is also an exclusive distributor of legendary motorcycle brand “TRIUMPH” in Poland (via motorcycle distribution network, called Inter Motors) and distributor of spare parts and accessories for other motorcycle brands.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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