Report
Research Team

Focus: Benefit Systems issues profit warning on higher fitness loss and MSSF 16 implementation; Orange Polska: 1Q19 results review - soft as expected, plus acquisition of BlueSoft; GPW’s strong 1Q19 results - 6% beat on EBIT and EBITDA

HEADLINES:
• Benefit Systems: profit warning on higher fitness loss and MSSF 16 implementation NEGATIVE
• Orange Polska: 1Q19 results review - soft as expected NEUTRAL
• Orange Polska: concludes a preliminary agreement to acquire 100% of the shares of BlueSoft NEUTRAL
• GPW: strong 1Q19 results - 6% beat on EBIT and EBITDA driven by better revenues than expected POSITIVE
• mBank: neutral 1Q19 numbers - weak start to 2019E makes our PLN 1.3bn net income look ambitious NEUTRAL
• Santander Bank Polska: neutral numbers, affected by restructuring reserve and BFG NEUTRAL
• Lotos Q1 results, in line with consensus
• PGNiG: 1Q19E initial estimates - weak, as expected
• Gazprom: 4Q18 IFRS results and conference call - strong delivery, positive messages POSITIVE
• Moscow Exchange: RUB 2.4bn provision to be booked in 1Q19E NEGATIVE
• CME: 1Q19 results review - OIBDA up 8% yoy, despite unfavourable currency rates POSITIVE
• Czech macro: premier Babis says that he is still not in favour of a bank tax POSITIVE
• Garanti: 1Q19 review - solid results POSITIVE
• Ford Otosan: 1Q19 results - in line, 2019 guidance reaffirmed NEUTRAL
• Tofas: 1Q19 results - beating consensus on all major lines, but FY19E guidance revised up POSITIVE
• Bizim Toptan: 1Q19 results - 10% EBITDA beat on continued gross margin improvement
• Nostrum Oil & Gas: 1Q19 operational update - production stabilized, no surprised this time NEUTRAL
• EVRAZ: 1Q19 trading update - higher steel volumes, but lower margins qoq NEUTRAL
• Coca-Cola HBC: 1Q19 trading update preview - we are below consensus (due on 2 May)
• CCI: 1Q19E results preview - difficult quarter ahead (due on 2 May)
• Dino: 1Q19E results preview - 30% EBITDA growth expected (due on 9 May)
• CPS: 1Q19E results preview - 8% pro-forma EBITDA yoy drop expected (due on 14 May)
• Short news (PKP)
Underlyings
Benefit Systems S.A. Allotment

Benefit System SA is a Poland-based company engaged in providing work benefits in the area of sport, recreations, culture and entertainment for employers. Its products portfolio includes MultiSport Plus card, program that allows access to the sport and recreation clubs and multi-purpose facilities; MultiBet, providing access to more than 90 cinemas through Poland; and cafeteria programs, which allow employees to select items from such segments as sport, recreation, culture, entertainment, tourism and health and beauty. The Company is a parent entity of a capital group, which includes subsidiaries, such as MyBenefit Sp z o o, FitSport Polska Sp z o o, Vanity Style Sp z o o and Multisport Benefit sro, based in the Czech Republic.

Bizim Toptan Satis Magazalari AS

Central European Media Enterprises Ltd. Cl A

Coca-Cola HBC AG

Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Co. produces, sells and distributes an extensive portfolio of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. Co.'s business is engaged in producing, selling and distributing non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under bottlers' agreements with The Coca-Cola Company. In some Territories, Co. also produces, sells, distributes and markets its own brands of juice and Water beverages. In addition, Co. bottles and distributes beer in Bulgaria and Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia and Co. distributes a selected number of third party premium spirit brands in certain central and eastern European operations.

Coca-Cola Icecek A.S.

Coca-Cola Icecek is a bottler and distributor of alcohol-free beverages in Turkey, Pakistan, Central Asia and the Middle East. Co. focuses on the production, sales and distribution of sparkling and still beverages with The Coca-Cola Company (TCCC) trademarks. Co. has rights to produce, sell and distribute TCCC branded beverages including Coca-Cola, Coca-Cola Zero, Coca-Cola Light, Fanta, Sprite, Cappy, Sen Sun, Powerade and Fuse Tea in TCCC authorized packages throughout Turkey. Co. also has the right to produce, sell and distribute Burn and Gladiator branded energy drinks throughout Turkey, as well as bottling and distribution rights in Turkey for Schweppes branded beverages.

Cyfrowy Polsat SA

Dino Polska S.A.

Dino Polska is engaged in the business of retail sale in non-specialized stores with food, beverages and tobacco. In addition, Co. conducts processing of meats and the resulting products are dedicated, in the form of culinary meat, to external recipients within Co.'s retail chain. As of December 31, 2016, Co. operated a network of 628 Dino stores.

Evraz PLC

Evraz engages in the production and distribution of steel and related products and coal and iron ore mining. Co. also produces vanadium products. Co. has four segments: Steel, which includes production of steel and related products at all mills except for those in North America, and includes the extraction of vanadium ore and production of vanadium products, iron ore mining and enrichment and certain energy-generating companies; Steel, North America, which includes production of steel and related products in the U.S. and Canada; Coal, which includes coal mining and enrichment; and Other operations, which includes energy-generating companies, shipping and railway transportation companies.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi is an automobile manufacturing company based in Turkey. Co. operates as a joint venture between Ford Motor Company and the Koc Group of Companies. Co. is engaged in manufacturing, assembling and selling motor vehicles, primarily commercial vehicles, imports and sells passenger cars and manufactures and imports and sells spare parts of those vehicles. Co. has two plants located in Kocaeli and Eskisehir, has a spare part distribution warehouse in Kartal, Istanbul and a branch in Tubitak Marmara Research Centre, Gebze Campus Technological Free Zone (TEKSEB).

Gazprom (GDR)

Grupa LOTOS S.A.

Grupa Lotos is an oil concern which deals with oil extraction and processing and trading of high quality oil products. Co. supplies the market with, unleaded petrol, diesel oil, fuel oil, aviation fuel, industrial oil, asphalt and paraffin, among other things. Co. is engaged in the production and sales of engine oils and bitumen in Poland. Co. maintains oil exploration and production activities in the Baltic, North Sea and Norwegian Sea and operates three refineries in Gdansk, Jaslo and Czechowice, Poland. Co. markets its products in wholesale markets, as well as in retail markets through a network of petrol stations.

MBANK SA

mBank is a provider of comprehensive corporate banking services in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries make up the mBank Group which is engaged in offering financial services. Co.'s service offering includes a comprehensive financial offer tailored to the needs of corporate clients, Private Banking clients, and retail clients. The business activities of Co. is conducted in the following business segments: Retail Banking and Corporates and Markets.

Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS PJSC

Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO. Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO (MMVB-RTS OAO) is a Russia-based integrated stock exchange that provides electronic trade organization, clearing and settlements on trades, depository and information services. The Company provides trading and settlement services in such segments of the financial market as foreign exchange (FX) market, federal bonds market, market of derivative financial instruments, cash equities market, corporate and regional fixed income market, commodities market, as well as market for state and municipal orders. The Company was established as a result of the merger between MMVB ZAO and RTS OAO. It operates through six branches and three representative offices. As of February 27, 2013, the Company's major shareholder was the Central bank of the Russian Federation with a stake of 22.47%. In January 24, 2014, the Company sold its whole stake in MMVB-IT ZAO.

Nostrum Oil & Gas Plc

Nostrum Oil & Gas is an independent oil and gas company, engaged in the production, development and exploration of oil and gas. Co. operates three exploration concessions and are primarily conducted through its oil and gas producing subsidiary Zhaikmunai LLP located in Kazakhstan. Zhaikmunai LLP carries out its activities in accordance with the Contract for Additional Exploration, Production and Production-Sharing of Crude Hydrocarbons in the Chinarevskoye oil and gas condensate field for the exploration and production of hydrocarbons in Chinarevskoye oil and gas condensate field.

Orange Polska S.A.

Orange Polska SA is a supplier of telecommunications services in Poland. Co. provides services, including fixed-line telecommunication services, Integrated Services Digital Network, voice mail, dial-up and fixed access to the Internet and Voice over Internet Protocol. Co. is one of Poland's three DCS 1800 and GSM 900 mobile telecommunications providers. Co. provides also third generation UMTS services. In addition, Co. provides leased lines, radio-communications and other telecommunications value added services, sells telecommunications equipment, produces electronic phone cards and provides data transmission, telephone directories, multimedia services and various Internet services.

Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA

Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe I Gazownictwo SA Polish Oil & Gas Co (PGNiG) is an integrated natural gas company based in Poland. Co.'s core activity covers exploration and production of natural gas and crude oil as well as import, storage, trade and distribution of gas and liquid fuels. Co.'s scope of activity includes gas trading and commercial support, as well as operation, maintenance and expansion of its distribution system. Co.'s distribution networks comprises over 100 thousand kilometers of gas pipelines (high, upper-medium, medium and low pressure), which cover primarily industrialized and urbanized areas of the country.

Santander Bank Polska SA

Bank Zachodni is a bank seated in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries provide a range of banking services for individual and business customers and operate in domestic and interbank foreign markets. Additionally, Co. provides also the following services, including intermediation in trading securities, leasing, factoring, asset/ fund management, insurance services, trading in stock and shares of commercial companies, and brokerage activity. Operational activity of Co. and its subsidiaries has been divided into five segments: Retail Banking, Business and Corporate Banking, Global Banking and Markets, ALM (Assets and Liabilities Management) and Centre, as well as Santander Consumer.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi A.S.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is a private banking group based in Turkey. Co. operates as an integrated financial services group in every segment of the sector including corporate, commercial, SME, payment systems, retail, private and investment banking together with subsidiaries in pension and life insurance, leasing, factoring, brokerage, and asset management. Co. provides a range of financial services to 13 million customers through a distribution network of 994 domestic branches; 6 foreign branches in Cyprus, Luxembourg and Malta; 3 international representative offices in London, Dusseldorf and Shanghai with more than 4,152 ATMs, a Call Center and internet.

Warsaw Stock Exchange

Gielda Papierow Wartosciowych w Warszawie SA (Warsaw Stock Exchange, GPW) is a Poland-based stock exchange. It is a parent entity of WSE Group that offers products and services within its trading markets of equity, derivate, fixed income and structured products. It also distributes market data. The Company has two business lines: Financial market, which includes trading in equities, derivatives, fixed-income and other instruments, listing, and information services; and Commodity market, which includes trading in electricity and property rights in certificates of origin, operation of a register of certificates of origin, clearing, trade and technical trade operator services. As of December 31, 2011, it operates two wholly owned subsidiaries, WSEInfoEngine SA, providing data transmission and information services; and Instytut Rynku Kapitalowego WSE Research SA, engaged in publishing; as well as 92.47%-owned BondSpot SA.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

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Research Team

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