CEE Utilities: pricing in the windfall taxes (CEZ, Fintel Energija, Ignitis Group and Photon Energy stay BUY)
We reiterate our positive view on the utilities. Among the larger names, we favour the Polish utilities, with Tauron as our top pick. Even with the windfall tax being floated in Poland, the carve-out story remains compelling and overshadows the potential hit, in our view. CEZ offers the smallest upside but here, the windfall tax seems to be priced in and the stock is trading at a very generous dividend yield, even if the tax is imposed. We find decent upside for the less liquid names that are less exposed to a possible windfall tax risk or other State interventions. Ignitis stands out, with high upside and limited policy and regulatory risk, followed by Photon and Fintel, two fully-green producers.CEZ Group is a dynamic, integrated electricity conglomerate based in the Czech Republic and with operations in a number of countries of Central and Southeastern Europe and Turkey. Co. is an international group consisting of nearly 120 companies, Czech and foreign. Co.'s primary activities involve the production and transmission of electricity through nuclear, coal-fired and hydro power stations; production and distribution of heat and processing of secondary products generated during the production of electricity and heat as well as coal mining. Co. has operating companies in Poland, Bulgaria, Romania, the Netherlands, Ireland, Germany, Hungary, Albania, Turkey, Serbia, and Slovakia.
Photon Energy NV. Photon Energy NV is a company engaged in renewable energy industry. The Company offers solutions and maintenance services for photovoltaic (PV) systems. It divides its activity into five segments: Wholesale and Import of PV Components that includes purchasing and sale of PV systems components and sales, distribution and support; Engineering and Construction Services that comprises project engineering and turnkey construction of PV plants; Production of Electricity that includes special purpose entities (SPE) engaged in building of PV plants and distribution network and electricity production; Operations, Maintenance and Supervision of PV Power Plants of third parties and internally owned; PV Investment that represents joint venture (JV) companies; Corporate Operations that comprises financing and insurance solutions for PV investors, investments in PV projects, among others. On September 3, 2014, it established new wholly owned subsidiary, Global Investment Protection AG (GIP).
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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