Report
Atinc Ozkan ...
  • Piotr Raciborski, CFA

DIGI Communications: heavyweight European telco champion (upgraded to BUY)

We upgrade our rating on DIGI Communications (DIGI) to BUY (from Hold) and lift our price target (PT) to RON 87.4/share (from RON 38.0), 40% upside potential. We see DIGI as a unique mix of a growth and value telco name. On the one hand, it offers an impressive growth outlook (a 12% 2023-26E EBITDA CAGR), driven by geographical expansion and strengthening its position in the local market; while, on the other, the company holds a valuable infrastructure asset, with the market value, according to our estimates, exceeding its current EV by c.60%. We expect DIGI to continue executing its growth strategy, including mobile and fixed-line network rollouts in Spain, Portugal and Belgium, which is likely to put pressure on the FCF and capex, which peaks at EUR 878m in 2025E, on our forecasts. However, we do not see the levered capex as a drawback for the story, as we believe its own network should support DIGI’s success in these new markets and, if needed, could be monetised profitably (as DIGI proved with its FTTH deal in Spain). On our forecasts, DIGI is trading at 2025-26E EV/EBITDAs of 4.7-4.4x, at 11-8% discounts vs. its peers.
Underlying
Digi Communications NV

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Atinc Ozkan

Piotr Raciborski, CFA

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