Report
Research Team

Focus: EMEA steel sector – upgrading NLMK and Erdemir to BUY, keeping MMK and FXPO as BUYs, downgrading EVRAZ to HOLD and keeping SVST a HOLD; keeping our BUY on Sberbank, with higher RUB 286 PT; downgrading Jumbo to HOLD

HEADLINES:
• EMEA steel sector: inflexion point - buy the dip (NLMK and Erdemir upgraded to BUY; MMK and FXPO stay BUY; EVRAZ downgraded to HOLD; SVST stays HOLD)
• Sberbank: value over bottom-up momentum (stays BUY)
• Jumbo: not that cheap, but cheerful (downgraded to HOLD)
• Polish banks: FX mortgage saga - first ruling from Supreme Court after CJEU's ruling in October NEGATIVE
• NLB Group: positive news from the reduction in the P2R POSITIVE
• PKN Orlen: reaches FID on Visbreaker
• Stock Spirits Group: 2H FY18/19E preview (due on 4 December) NEUTRAL
• Short News (Czech banks, PEO, ING, PKO)
Underlyings
Eregli Demir ye celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari is engaged in the production of iron and steel rolled products, alloyed and non-alloyed iron, steel and pig iron castings, cast and pressed products, coke and their by-products.

Evraz PLC

Evraz engages in the production and distribution of steel and related products and coal and iron ore mining. Co. also produces vanadium products. Co. has four segments: Steel, which includes production of steel and related products at all mills except for those in North America, and includes the extraction of vanadium ore and production of vanadium products, iron ore mining and enrichment and certain energy-generating companies; Steel, North America, which includes production of steel and related products in the U.S. and Canada; Coal, which includes coal mining and enrichment; and Other operations, which includes energy-generating companies, shipping and railway transportation companies.

Ferrexpo plc

Ferrexpo is an iron ore pellet producer. Co. produces, develops and markets its product for sale to the metallurgical industry. Co. operate two mines and a processing plant near Kremenchug in Ukraine, and an interest in a port in Odessa. Co. also owns logistics assets in Austria which operate a fleet of vessels operating on the Rhine and Danube waterways and an ocean-going vessel. Co.'s operations are integrated from iron ore mining through to iron ore concentrate and pellet production and subsequent logistics. Co.'s mineral properties lie within the Kremenchug Magnetic Anomaly and are being extracted at the Gorishne-Plavninskoye and Lavrikovskoye and Yeristovskoye deposits.

Jumbo S.A.

Jumbo is a trading company based in Greece. Co.'s main operation is retail sale of toys, baby items, seasonal items, decoration items, books and stationery. A part of its operations is wholesale of toys and similar items to third parties. Co. and its subsidiaries have four geographical segments: Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria and Romania. At June 30 2015, Co. operated 72 stores in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria and in Romania and the on line store e-jumbo.

Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works (GDR)

NLMK (GDR)

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN S.A.

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen's activities are divided into three main business segments: the Refining Segment that comprises crude oil processing as well as wholesale and retail trade in refinery products. The Petrochemical Segment that encompasses production and sale of petrochemicals and chemicals. The Retail Segment that comprises of sales at petrol stations. Co.'s basic products include gasolines, diesel oils, light heating oil, Jet fuel, liquid gas, polyetylene, polypropylene, benzene, butadiene, acetone, phenol, glycols, toluen, ortoxylene.

Sberbank Russia PJSC

Sberbank Russia is an open joint stock commercial bank. Co.'s principal business activity is corporate and retail banking. This includes, but is not limited to, deposit taking and commercial lending in freely convertible currencies, local currencies of countries where the subsidiary banks operate and in Russian Roubles, support of clients' export/import transactions, foreign exchange, securities trading, and trading in derivative financial instruments. Co.'s operations are conducted in both Russian and international markets. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had total assets of RUB25.20 trillion.

Severstal (GDR)

Stock Spirits Group

Stock Spirits Group is a spirits company. Co. along with its subsidiaries are engaged in the production and distribution of branded spirits in Central and Eastern Europe. Co.'s spirits include vodka, flavoured vodka, rum, brandy and herbal bitter liqueurs. Co. has more than 40 brands and export internationally to more than 40 countries worldwide. Co.'s brands include Zoladkowa de Luxe, Lubelska, Zoladkowa Gorzka, Stock Prestige, 1906, Fernet Stock, Bozkov, Amundsen, Keglevich, Limonce, Stock Original, Keglevich, Golden, Stock 84, Fernet Stock Citrus, and Hammerhead. Co. has operations in Poland, Czech Republic, Italy, Slovakia, Croatia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Research Team

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