Report
Research Team

Focus: Turkey macro – where we stand; Garanti’s 3Q18 review – in line, with free provisions and tone somewhat better than Akbank; Erdemir’s 3Q18 results – EBITDA 10% above consensus, but net income misses on high tax rate

HEADLINES:
• Turkey macro: where we stand
• Garanti: 3Q18 review - in line, with free provisions and tone somewhat better than Akbank NEUTRAL
• Erdemir: 3Q18 results - EBITDA 10% above consensus, but net income misses on high tax rate NEUTRAL
• Tekfen Holding: 3Q18 review - strong results beat expectations POSITIVE
• X5: strategy refocusing towards smart expansion
• NLMK: 3Q18 financial results - large beat on EBITDA, 3.8% quarterly dividend POSITIVE
• Ford Otosan: 3Q18 results - margin erosion due to cost pressure; domestic guidance revised down NEUTRAL
• EVRAZ: 3Q18 trading update - in line with expectations NEUTRAL
• KAZ Minerals: 3Q18 trading update - on track to meet or beat copper/silver/gold guidance, behind on zinc POSITIVE
• Tauron: preliminary 3Q18 review - a 12% beat on EBITDA, but mining volumes remain weak POSITIVE
• Novatek: delivers upbeat messages during 3Q18 conference call
• Orange Polska: key takeaways from 3Q18 earnings call NEUTRAL
• Play Communications: launches new mobile tariff based on mobile application NEUTRAL
• PGE: 3Q18E prelims - weak quarter in generation & supply, but RES & distribution up (due next week)
• OTP Bank: 3Q18E preview (due on 9 November)
• Short News (PKP, PL media)
Underlyings
Eregli Demir ye celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari is engaged in the production of iron and steel rolled products, alloyed and non-alloyed iron, steel and pig iron castings, cast and pressed products, coke and their by-products.

Evraz PLC

Evraz engages in the production and distribution of steel and related products and coal and iron ore mining. Co. also produces vanadium products. Co. has four segments: Steel, which includes production of steel and related products at all mills except for those in North America, and includes the extraction of vanadium ore and production of vanadium products, iron ore mining and enrichment and certain energy-generating companies; Steel, North America, which includes production of steel and related products in the U.S. and Canada; Coal, which includes coal mining and enrichment; and Other operations, which includes energy-generating companies, shipping and railway transportation companies.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi is an automobile manufacturing company based in Turkey. Co. operates as a joint venture between Ford Motor Company and the Koc Group of Companies. Co. is engaged in manufacturing, assembling and selling motor vehicles, primarily commercial vehicles, imports and sells passenger cars and manufactures and imports and sells spare parts of those vehicles. Co. has two plants located in Kocaeli and Eskisehir, has a spare part distribution warehouse in Kartal, Istanbul and a branch in Tubitak Marmara Research Centre, Gebze Campus Technological Free Zone (TEKSEB).

NLMK (GDR)

NOVATEK JSC Sponsored GDR RegS

Orange Polska S.A.

Orange Polska SA is a supplier of telecommunications services in Poland. Co. provides services, including fixed-line telecommunication services, Integrated Services Digital Network, voice mail, dial-up and fixed access to the Internet and Voice over Internet Protocol. Co. is one of Poland's three DCS 1800 and GSM 900 mobile telecommunications providers. Co. provides also third generation UMTS services. In addition, Co. provides leased lines, radio-communications and other telecommunications value added services, sells telecommunications equipment, produces electronic phone cards and provides data transmission, telephone directories, multimedia services and various Internet services.

OTP Bank Nyrt

OTP Bank is a financial institution based in Hungary. Co. is engaged in retail banking (account management, bankcards and Electronic sevices - OTPdirekt) corporate banking and private banking. In Hungary traditional banking operations are performed by Co. while specialized services, including car leasing, investment funds and insurance are developed and offered by Co.'s subsidiaries. Co. expands its operations throughout the region via its foreign subsidiaries. As of Dec 31 2011, Co. had total assets of HUF10,200,527,000,000 and deposits of HUF6,398,853,000,000.

PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A.

PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna is an electricity company based in Poland. Co. is engaged in the generation and selling of electricity. Co. is a predominant power producer and supplier in Poland and a major heat and power sector company in Central and Eastern Europe. Co. supplies over 5 million households, businesses and institutions through a combination of its own fuel resources (lignite), power generation and final distribution networks. Co.'s activities focus on the following areas: Conventional Power Generation, Renewable Power Generation, Nuclear Power Generation, Wholesale, Distribution and Retail. Co. has 12.2 GW of installed generation capacity.

Play Communications SA

Play Communications SA Formerly known as Play Holdings 2 SARL. Play Communications SA, formerly Play Holdings 2 SARL, is a Luxembourg-based provider of financial investment services. The Company is the owner of mobile operator P4 Sp z o o, that provides a wide range of mobile telecommunications services, including voice, data transmission services, messaging, video service (PLAY NOW), as well as Value Added Services and sales of handsets and other devices, to individual and business subscribers in Poland.

TAURON Polska Energia S.A.

Tauron Polska Energia is engaged in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat in Poland. Co. generates electricity from various conventional and renewable energy sources, including hard coal, lignite, natural gas, biomass, wind, solar, and hydro power. It is also involved in quarrying, crushing, and breaking of limestone; quarrying of stone for the construction industry; mining of hard coal; trading in electricity; and production of technical gases. In addition, Co. engages in the repair and maintenance of machinery and electrical equipment; electrical installations; and construction of power lines.

Tekfen Holding

Tekfen Holding conducts its operations in four main business segments: Contracting, Agriculture, Real Estate and Other operations. Contracting group focuses on construction of petroleum and gas facilities, land and sea terminals, offshore platforms and tank farms. Agricultural group has operations in chemical fertilizer, ground and vegetable grain, production, distribution and trade of seedling and sapling. Real estate group operates in designing, constructing, renting, and sale of real estates such as residents, offices, shopping centers and hotels. Operations of other segment comprise of light-pulp trading, cotton yarn production and trading, insurance services and holding operations.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is a private banking group based in Turkey. Co. operates as an integrated financial services group in every segment of the sector including corporate, commercial, SME, payment systems, retail, private and investment banking together with subsidiaries in pension and life insurance, leasing, factoring, brokerage, and asset management. Co. provides a range of financial services to 13 million customers through a distribution network of 994 domestic branches; 6 foreign branches in Cyprus, Luxembourg and Malta; 3 international representative offices in London, Dusseldorf and Shanghai with more than 4,152 ATMs, a Call Center and internet.

X5 Retail Group N.V. Sponsored GDR RegS

X5 Retail Group is a holding company. The main activity of Co. is the development and operation of grocery retail stores. Co. operates a retail chain of soft-discount, supermarket and hypermarket stores under the brand names "Pyaterochka", "Perekrestok" and "Karusel" in major population centres in Russia, including but not limited to Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nizhniy Novgorod, Rostov-on-Don, Kazan, Samara, Lipetsk, Chelyabinsk, Perm, Ekaterinburg and Kiev, Ukraine.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
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