Report
Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash – European refining and petrochemicals margins monthly: June 2020

If we thought May was bad, June has proven to be even worse. As the lockdowns continued to reduce demand, and OPEC cuts reduced the availability of crude oil, benchmark margins sank even further and company model refining margins were negative as well. There was a marginal improvement in product cracks, with gasoline cracks increasing from -USD 4.1/bbl to -USD 0.3/bbl. Diesel cracks also improved, but were just USD 4.0/bbl, while fuel oil cracks remained at a relatively strong level of -USD 9.4/bbl. Rising consumption should lead to improvements but, as OPEC reverses its cuts, fuel oil will suffer, in our opinion. PKN Orlen, MOL and Hellenic Petroleum all reported negative model refining margins. Olefin margins remain weak, but ethylene improved, while propylene weakened. Aromatics remain very weak, but polymer margins are still flat. PKN’s petchems margins were the strongest, close to their average for the month, while MOL’s margins are 30% below the June average currently.
Underlyings
MOL Nyrt

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN S.A.

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen's activities are divided into three main business segments: the Refining Segment that comprises crude oil processing as well as wholesale and retail trade in refinery products. The Petrochemical Segment that encompasses production and sale of petrochemicals and chemicals. The Retail Segment that comprises of sales at petrol stations. Co.'s basic products include gasolines, diesel oils, light heating oil, Jet fuel, liquid gas, polyetylene, polypropylene, benzene, butadiene, acetone, phenol, glycols, toluen, ortoxylene.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Jonathan Lamb

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